United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2016
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 United States Senate election in New Hampshire will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary election to select the candidates who will appear on the general election ballot will take place on September 13, 2016.[1]
Incumbent Republican Senator Kelly Ayotte is running for re-election to a second term in office.[2] If she is the Republican Vice Presidential nominee, which she has been speculated by some to be, she can appear on the ballot for both Vice President and Senate at the same time.[3]
Contents
Republican primary
Ayotte is predicted to face opposition in the primary from a Tea Party candidate. In October 2013, former New Hampshire Republican State Committee Chairman Jack Kimball said: "There is no question in my mind that she will garner a primary challenger".[3]
Candidates
Declared
- Kelly Ayotte, incumbent Senator[2]
- Jim Rubens, former State Senator, candidate for Governor in 1998 and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[4]
Potential
- Andrew Hemingway, businessman and candidate for Governor in 2014[5]
- Bill O'Brien, State Representative and former Speaker of the New Hampshire House of Representatives[6][7][5]
Declined
- Ovide Lamontagne, attorney, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Governor in 1996 and 2012[8][5][9]
Endorsements
| Kelly Ayotte |
|---|
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Polling
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Hypothetical polling |
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Potential
- Jackie Cilley, State Representative, former State Senator and candidate for Governor of New Hampshire in 2012[13]
- Dan Feltes, State Senator[13]
- Paul Hodes, former U.S. Representative and 2010 nominee[3][14]
- Chris Pappas, Executive Councilor[13]
- Stefany Shaheen, Portsmouth City Councilor and daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen[13]
- Donna Soucy, State Senator[13]
- Mike Vlacich, campaign manager for Senator Shaheen[13]
Declined
- Mark Connolly, former Deputy Secretary of State and Director of Securities Regulation (running for Governor)[13][15]
- John Lynch, former Governor of New Hampshire[16]
- Ann McLane Kuster, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[17]
- Shawn O'Connor, businessman (running for NH-01)[13][18][19]
- Carol Shea-Porter, former U.S. Representative (running for NH-01)[3][20][21]
- Colin Van Ostern, Executive Councilor (running for Governor)[13][22]
Endorsements
| Maggie Hassan |
|---|
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General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[24] | Tossup | March 25, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[25] | Tossup | March 31, 2016 |
| Roll Call[26] | Tilt R | March 31, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Tossup | March 21, 2016 |
Polling
- With Ayotte
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte (R) |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University | May 25–28, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
| WBUR | May 12–15, 2016 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 4% |
| Dartmouth College | April 11–16, 2016 | 362 | ± 5.15% | 37% | 35% | — | 28% |
| WMUR/UNH | April 7–17, 2016 | 553 | ± 4.2% | 43% | 42% | — | 15% |
| WMUR/UNH | February 20–28, 2016 | 628 | ± 3.7% | 45% | 41% | 4% | 10% |
| Marist Poll | January 28, 2016 | 2,258 | ± 2.1% | 45% | 40% | — | 15% |
| Gravis Marketing | January 15–18, 2016 | 1,197 | ± 2.8% | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2016 | 1,036 | ± 3% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 30–December 2, 2015 | 990 | ± 3.1% | 42% | 42% | – | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 16–18, 2015 | 880 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 44% | – | 13% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 5–6, 2015 | 1,035 | ± 3.1% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
| WMUR/UNH | September 21–October 2, 2015 | 519 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 43% | 1% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 21-24, 2015 | 841 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 43% | - | 13% |
| NBC News/Marist Poll | July, 2015 | 910 | ± 3.2% | 50% | 42% | - | 8% |
| WMUR/UNH | July 7–20, 2015 | 472 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 41% | 1% | 12% |
| The Tarrance Group | July 5-6, 2015 | 600 | ± 4% | 51% | 44% | — | 5% |
| Fabrizio, Lee and Associates | June 25-28, 2015 | 500 | ± ? | 52% | 41% | — | 7% |
| WMUR/UNH | May 6–22, 2015 | 524 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 43% | 2% | 9% |
| Gravis Marketing | April 21–22, 2015 | 1,117 | ± 3% | 51% | 43% | — | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 45% | 46% | — | 9% |
| Gravis Marketing | March 18–19, 2015 | ? | ± ? | 47% | 45% | — | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | February 17–18, 2015 | 424 | ± 4.7% | 46% | 45% | — | 9% |
| NBC News/Marist | February 3–10, 2015 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 44% | 48% | — | 7% |
| New England College | December 1, 2014 | 541 | ± 4.21% | 48.1% | 42.5% | 4.4% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 46% | 40% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,038 | ± 3% | 45% | 44% | — | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 19–21, 2013 | 933 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 46% | — | 10% |
- With Rubens
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Rubens (R) |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMUR/UNH | April 7–17, 2016 | 553 | ± 4.2% | 30% | 46% | — | 24% |
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Hypothetical polling |
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See also
References
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- Official campaign websites
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