United States presidential election in Florida, 2016
<templatestyles src="Module:Hatnote/styles.css"></templatestyles>
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
 |
|||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||
The 2016 United States presidential election in Florida will take place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participate. Voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.
On March 15, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Florida voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Green, Libertarian, America's Party, Constitution, and Socialism and Liberation parties' respective nominees for President. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated weren't able to vote in any primaries. Florida is a 'winner take all' voting state for Republicans, but is a proportional voting state for Democrats.
Contents
Primary elections
Democratic primary
Debates and Forums
March 9, 2016 – Miami, Florida
| Candidate | Airtime | Polls[1] |
|---|---|---|
| Clinton | 23:29 | 51.0% |
| Sanders | 17:51 | 39.6% |
The eighth debate took place on March 9, 2016, at 9:00 PM Eastern Standard Time in Building 7 of the Kendall Campus of Miami Dade College in Miami, Florida. It was broadcast through a partnership between Univision and The Washington Post.[2][3] The debate was discussed during a job interview conducted in early 2015 between the Democratic National Committee's then-Communications Director Mo Elleithee and future Hispanic Media Director Pablo Manriquez. After starting at the DNC in April 2015, Manriquez "talked about the idea for a debate for Democratic candidates on Univision to anyone who had ears to listen."[4] The debate was officially announced on November 2, 2015.[5]
Opinion polling
<templatestyles src="Module:Hatnote/styles.css"></templatestyles>
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary results | March 15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 64.5% |
Bernie Sanders 33.3% |
Other 2.3% |
| ARG[6]
Margin of error: ± 5.0% |
March 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 37% |
Others / Undecided 5% |
| Quinnipiac[7]
Margin of error: ± 4.3% |
March 8–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 60% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Others / Undecided 6% |
| Public Policy Polling[8]
Margin of error: ± 3.9% |
March 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 57% |
Bernie Sanders 32% |
Others / Undecided 11% |
| CBS News/YouGov[9]
Margin of error: ± 4.5% |
March 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 62% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Others / Undecided 4% |
| Florida Atlantic University[10]
Margin of error: ± 5% |
March 8–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 59% |
Bernie Sanders 31% |
Others / Undecided 10% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[11]
Margin of error: ± 4.4% |
March 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Others / Undecided 5% |
| WTSP/Mason-Dixon[12]
Margin of error: ± 4.5% |
March 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 68% |
Bernie Sanders 23% |
Others / Undecided 9% |
| Quinnipiac[13]
Margin of error: ± 4.3% |
March 2–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 62% |
Bernie Sanders 32% |
Others / Undecided 6% |
| SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[14]
Margin of error: ± 3.4% |
March 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Bernie Sanders 30% |
Others / Undecided 9% |
| CNN/ORC[15]
Margin of error: ± 6.0% |
March 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Others / Undecided 5% |
| Wash Post/Univision[16]
Margin of error: ± 6.0% |
March 2-5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 64% |
Bernie Sanders 26% |
Others / Undecided 10% |
| University of North Florida[17]
Margin of error: ± 3.7% |
February 22–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 54% |
Bernie Sanders 24% |
Others / Undecided 22% |
| Public Policy Polling[18]
Margin of error: ± 5% |
February 24–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 57% |
Bernie Sanders 32% |
Others / Undecided 11% |
| Gravis Marketing[19]
Margin of error: ± 4.3% |
February 24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 42% |
|
| Quinnipiac[20]
Margin of error: ± 4.5% |
February 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 59% |
Bernie Sanders 33% |
Others / Undecided 8% |
| Florida Southern College[21]
Margin of error: ± 4.0% |
January 30 – February 6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 43% |
Bernie Sanders 26% |
Others / Undecided 31% |
| Florida Atlantic University[22]
Margin of error: ± 5.0% |
January 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 62% |
Bernie Sanders 26% |
Martin O'Malley 2% Not Reported |
<templatestyles src="Template:Hidden begin/styles.css"/>
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic University[22]
Margin of error: ± 5.2% |
November 15–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 66% |
Bernie Sanders 22% |
Martin O'Malley 4% Other 4.5% Undecided 3.7% |
| Bay News 9/ News13[23]
Margin of error: ± 3.9% |
October 28 – November 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 66% |
Bernie Sanders 24% |
Martin O'Malley 3% Other 2% Undecided 6% |
| Saint Leo University Polling Institute[24]
Margin of error: ±6.0% |
October 17–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 50.9% |
Joe Biden 15.2% | Bernie Sanders 13.3% Unsure/Don't Know 8.5% |
| Quinnipiac University[25]
Margin of error: ± 4.8% |
September 25 – October 5, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 43% |
Joe Biden 19% |
Bernie Sanders 19% Someone else/Undecided 13% |
| Public Policy Polling[26]
Margin of error: ± 5.1% |
September 11–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 55% |
Bernie Sanders 18% |
Joe Biden 17% Martin O'Malley 2% Jim Webb 1% Lincoln Chafee 1% Lawrence Lessig 0% Someone else/Undecided 6% |
| Gravis Marketing[27]
Margin of error: ± 4% |
September 5–11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 41.6% |
Joe Biden 21.4% |
Bernie Sanders 12.5% Martin O'Malley 1.5% Jim Webb 1.3% Lincoln Chafee 0.4% Unsure 21.3% |
| Quinnipiac University[28]
Margin of error: ± 5% |
Posted September 4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 52% |
Bernie Sanders 20% |
Joe Biden 15% Lincoln Chafee 4% Martin O'Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Other 1% Undecided 6% |
| Quinnipiac University[29]
Margin of error: ± 5.3% |
August 7–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 48% |
Bernie Sanders 15% |
Joe Biden 11% Martin O'Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Lincoln Chafee 0% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 6% Undecided 17% |
| St Pete Polls[30]
Margin of error: ± 3.0% |
July 18–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 55% |
Bernie Sanders 29% |
Jim Webb 2% Martin O'Malley 1% Lincoln Chafee <1% Unsure or someone else 13% |
| Mason-Dixon[31]
Margin of error: ± 4.5% |
July 20–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 17% |
Martin O'Malley 2% Lincoln Chafee 0% Jim Webb 0% Undecided 23% |
| Gravis Marketing[32]
Margin of error: ± 3% |
June 16–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 64.8% |
Bernie Sanders 20.6% |
Martin O'Malley 2.1% Bill De Blasio 1.7% Jim Webb 0.9% Lincoln Chafee 0.4% Unsure 9.5% |
| Quinnipiac University[33]
Margin of error: ± 5% |
June 4–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 64% |
Joe Biden 9% |
Bernie Sanders 8% Martin O'Malley 1% Lincoln Chafee 0% Jim Webb 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 5% Undecided 13% |
| Quinnipiac University[34]
Margin of error: ± 5.3% |
March 17–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 65% |
Joe Biden 11% |
Elizabeth Warren 7% Bernie Sanders 3% Jim Webb 2% Martin O'Malley 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 2% Undecided 10% |
| Joe Biden 42% |
Elizabeth Warren 19% |
Bernie Sanders 6% Jim Webb 3% Martin O'Malley 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 4% Undecided 22% |
||
| Public Policy Polling[35]
Margin of error: ± 5.1% |
March 19–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Joe Biden 14% |
Elizabeth Warren 10% Bernie Sanders 3% Martin O'Malley 2% Jim Webb 1% Other/Undecided 11% |
| [36]
Margin of error: ± 5% |
February 24–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 52% |
Elizabeth Warren 14% |
Joe Biden 9% Martin O'Malley 2% Mark Warner 2% Jim Webb 2% Undecided 18% |
| Quinnipiac University[37]
Margin of error: ± 5.5% |
January 22 – February 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Joe Biden 11% |
Elizabeth Warren 9% Bernie Sanders 2% Martin O'Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 4% Undecided 10% |
| Joe Biden 39% |
Elizabeth Warren 22% |
Bernie Sanders 3% Martin O'Malley 2% Jim Webb 2% Other 4% Wouldn't vote 5% Undecided 23% |
<templatestyles src="Template:Hidden begin/styles.css"/>
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University[38]
Margin of error: ± 4.6% |
July 17–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton 67% |
Joe Biden 8% |
Elizabeth Warren 8% Andrew Cuomo 1% Martin O'Malley 0% Brian Schweitzer 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 3% Undecided 11% |
| Public Policy Polling[39]
Margin of error: ± 6.2% |
June 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton 66% |
Elizabeth Warren 8% |
Joe Biden 7% Cory Booker 5% Andrew Cuomo 4% Mark Warner 1% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% Martin O'Malley 0% Brian Schweitzer 0% Someone else/Undecided 9% |
| Quinnipiac University[40]
Margin of error: ± 4.4% |
April 23–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton 64% |
Joe Biden 11% |
Elizabeth Warren 6% Andrew Cuomo 1% Martin O'Malley 1% Brian Schweitzer 1% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 3% Undecided 13% |
| Quinnipiac University[41]
Margin of error: ± 4.3% |
January 22–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton 64% |
Joe Biden 9% |
Elizabeth Warren 5% Andrew Cuomo 1% Martin O'Malley 1% Mark Warner 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 2% Undecided 16% |
<templatestyles src="Template:Hidden begin/styles.css"/>
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University[42]
Margin of error: ± 4.2% |
November 12–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton 70% |
Joe Biden 9% |
Elizabeth Warren 4% Andrew Cuomo 2% Martin O'Malley 1% Mark Warner 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 2% Undecided 10% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ± 5.7% |
March 15–18, 2013 | Hillary Clinton 62% |
Joe Biden 12% |
Andrew Cuomo 5% Elizabeth Warren 3% Martin O'Malley 1% Brian Schweitzer 1% Mark Warner 1% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% Deval Patrick 0% Someone Else/Undecided 14% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ± 4.9% |
January 11–13, 2013 | Hillary Clinton 65% |
Joe Biden 15% |
Andrew Cuomo 4% Elizabeth Warren 4% Deval Patrick 1% Mark Warner 1% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% Martin O'Malley 0% Brian Schweitzer 0% Someone Else/Undecided 11% |
| Andrew Cuomo 22% |
Elizabeth Warren 15% |
Deval Patrick 5% Martin O'Malley 4% Kirsten Gillibrand 3% Mark Warner 2% Brian Schweitzer 1% Someone Else/Undecided 48% |
Results
Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 1,101,414 | 64.44% | 141 | 23 | 164 |
| Bernie Sanders | 568,839 | 33.28% | 73 | 2 | 75 |
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 38,930 | 2.28% | |||
| Uncommitted | N/A | 0 | 7 | 7 | |
| Total | 1,709,183 | 100% | 214 | 32 | 246 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
| Florida Democratic primary, March 15, 2016 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Delegates | Votes Clinton | Votes Sanders | Votes Qualified | Clinton delegates | Sanders delegates | |
| 1 | 3 | 26987 | 18497 | 45484 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 50190 | 34073 | 84263 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 4 | 32070 | 27974 | 60044 | 2 | 2 | |
| 4 | 4 | 33920 | 22765 | 56685 | 2 | 2 | |
| 5 | 6 | 55855 | 18639 | 74494 | 4 | 2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 37995 | 24443 | 62438 | 3 | 2 | |
| 7 | 5 | 37410 | 26795 | 64205 | 3 | 2 | |
| 8 | 5 | 39384 | 24376 | 63760 | 3 | 2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 40609 | 19880 | 60489 | 3 | 2 | |
| 10 | 5 | 38011 | 22213 | 60224 | 3 | 2 | |
| 11 | 5 | 38061 | 21590 | 59651 | 3 | 2 | |
| 12 | 5 | 35498 | 23172 | 58670 | 3 | 2 | |
| 13 | 6 | 44121 | 29707 | 73828 | 4 | 2 | |
| 14 | 6 | 49146 | 23617 | 72763 | 4 | 2 | |
| 15 | 5 | 32793 | 20712 | 53505 | 3 | 2 | |
| 16 | 6 | 43921 | 25856 | 69777 | 4 | 2 | |
| 17 | 4 | 29899 | 17045 | 46944 | 3 | 1 | |
| 18 | 6 | 42804 | 20620 | 63424 | 4 | 2 | |
| 19 | 4 | 31958 | 17235 | 49193 | 3 | 1 | |
| 20 | 7 | 61998 | 15761 | 77759 | 6 | 1 | |
| 21 | 7 | 57723 | 22100 | 79823 | 5 | 2 | |
| 22 | 6 | 49602 | 22209 | 71811 | 4 | 2 | |
| 23 | 6 | 44510 | 19974 | 64484 | 4 | 2 | |
| 24 | 8 | 59274 | 13893 | 73167 | 6 | 2 | |
| 25 | 3 | 24897 | 9287 | 34184 | 2 | 1 | |
| 26 | 4 | 32069 | 14148 | 46217 | 3 | 1 | |
| 27 | 4 | 30709 | 12258 | 42967 | 3 | 1 | |
| Total | 140 | 1101414 | 568839 | 1670253 | 93 | 47 | |
| PLEO | 28 | 1101414 | 568839 | 1670253 | 18 | 10 | |
| At Large | 46 | 1101414 | 568839 | 1670253 | 30 | 16 | |
| Gr. Total | 214 | 1101414 | 568839 | 1670253 | 141 | 73 | |
| Total vote | 64.44% | 33.28% | 1,709,183 | ||||
| Source: Florida Department of State Division of Elections | |||||||
Republican primary
Forums and Debates
March 10, 2016 – Coral Gables, Florida
| Candidate | Airtime | Polls[43] |
|---|---|---|
| Trump | 27:21 | 36.0% |
| Cruz | 21:42 | 21.8% |
| Rubio | 21:23 | 18.0% |
| Kasich | 18:49 | 12.0% |
The twelfth debate was the fourth and final debate to air on CNN and led into the Florida, Illinois, North Carolina, Missouri, and Ohio primaries on March 15. The candidates debated at the University of Miami, moderated by Jake Tapper and questioned by CNN chief political correspondent Dana Bash, Salem Radio Network talk-show host Hugh Hewitt, and Washington Times contributor Stephen Dinan. The Washington Times cohosted the debate.[44] The debate was originally scheduled considering the unlikelihood that a candidate would clinch the Republican nomination before March 15, due to the overall size of the field.[45] On the day of the debate, CNN summarized the immediate stakes: "This debate comes just five days ahead of 'Super Tuesday 3', when more than 350 delegates are decided, including winner-take-all contests in Florida and Ohio. Both Trump and Rubio are predicting [a win in] Florida. For Trump, a win here would fuel his growing momentum and further grow his delegate lead; for Rubio, losing his home state could be the death knell for his campaign."[46] This was the twelfth and final debate appearance of Rubio, who suspended his campaign on March 15.[47]
Results
Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:
| Florida Republican primary, March 15, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
 Donald Trump |
1,079,870 | 45.72% | 99 | 0 | 99 |
| Marco Rubio | 638,661 | 27.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ted Cruz | 404,891 | 17.14% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 159,976 | 6.77% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 43,511 | 1.84% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 21,207 | 0.90% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 4,450 | 0.19% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 2,624 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 2,493 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 1,899 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 1,211 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) | 693 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) | 319 | 0.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 2,361,805 | 100.00% | 99 | 0 | 99 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
See also
- Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
- Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
- Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
References
<templatestyles src="Reflist/styles.css" />
Cite error: Invalid <references> tag; parameter "group" is allowed only.
<references />, or <references group="..." />External links
- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
- 2016 Presidential primaries, ElectionProjection.com
- Interactive Map, 2016 Florida Primary Election Results - ap.com
- Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Florida
- ↑ realclearpolitics.com"
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 22.0 22.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps06182015_Sk32gth.pdf
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_FL_32415.pdf
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_FL_611.pdf
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
