Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Given the large number of potential candidates, the scores of certain low-polling and infrequently-polled candidates have been combined within the "other" column; their exact scores may be viewed by viewing the footnotes associated with each poll. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, and do not include Republican-leaning independents. The statewide polls are ordered by the scheduled date of the state's primary or caucus. Open-ended polls are included and marked with an asterisk (*), but closed-ended versions of such polls are listed where possible. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version used for debate qualification is prioritized, then the version among likely voters, then registered voters, then adults.
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Contents
- 1 Background
- 2 Polling in the four early primary states
- 3 Polling for Super Tuesday
- 4 Primary and caucus calendar
- 5 Iowa caucus
- 6 New Hampshire primary
- 7 Nevada caucus
- 8 South Carolina primary
- 9 Alabama primary
- 10 Arkansas primary
- 11 California primary
- 12 Colorado primary
- 13 Maine primary
- 14 Massachusetts primary
- 15 Minnesota primary
- 16 North Carolina primary
- 17 Oklahoma primary
- 18 Tennessee primary
- 19 Texas primary
- 20 Utah primary
- 21 Vermont primary
- 22 Virginia primary
- 23 Idaho primary
- 24 Michigan primary
- 25 Mississippi primary
- 26 Missouri primary
- 27 North Dakota caucus
- 28 Washington primary
- 29 Arizona primary
- 30 Florida primary
- 31 Illinois primary
- 32 Wisconsin primary
- 33 Wyoming caucus
- 34 Ohio primary
- 35 Kansas primary
- 36 Georgia primary
- 37 Oregon primary
- 38 Connecticut primary
- 39 Delaware primary
- 40 Indiana primary
- 41 Maryland primary
- 42 Montana primary
- 43 New Jersey primary
- 44 New Mexico primary
- 45 Pennsylvania primary
- 46 New York primary
- 47 Notes
- 48 References
- 49 See also
- 50 External links
Background
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The Democratic National Committee has determined that candidates may qualify for the first two Democratic primary debates either by polling at 1% or higher in at least three national or early-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) polls sponsored or conducted by designated organizations (in different regions if by the same organization) published after January 1, 2019 up until June 12, 2019, or by a fundraising threshold requiring at least 65,000 unique donors with at least 200 in 20 different states. Should more than 20 candidates meet either threshold, then candidates meeting both thresholds will be given highest priority for entry into the debates, followed by those with the highest polling average and those with the most donors. The pollsters and sponsors of polls designated for consideration by the DNC are the Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, The Des Moines Register, Fox News, the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, National Public Radio, Quinnipiac University, Reuters, the University of New Hampshire, USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and Winthrop University.[1] Open-ended polls do not count towards the polling threshold.[2]
For the third and fourth primary debates, candidates will be required to meet both polling and fundraising thresholds, with the prior considering only polls between June 28 and August 28, 2019 and increased to 4 qualifying polls at 2% support, now excluding surveys sponsored by the Las Vegas Review-Journal and Reuters; the latter requirement has also been increased, to 130,000 unique donors with at least 400 in 20 different states.[3]
Individuals who have been included in national Democratic primary polls but have either ruled out their candidacy or not expressed interest in running include Stacey Abrams, Michael Avenatti, Sherrod Brown, Hillary Clinton, Mark Cuban, Andrew Cuomo, Al Franken, Eric Garcetti, Tim Kaine, Jason Kander, Joe Kennedy III, John Kerry, Mitch Landrieu, Terry McAuliffe, Chris Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, Howard Schultz, Oprah Winfrey, and Mark Zuckerberg.
Polling in the four early primary states
The following Morning Consult[4] weekly poll archive[5][6][7] graph depicts the evolution of the standing of each candidate in the early primary states (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina) since February 2019.
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Polling for Super Tuesday
The following Morning Consult[8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15] graph depicts the evolution of the standing of each candidate in the March 3, 2020 Super Tuesday states (Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia) since January 7, 2020.
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Primary and caucus calendar
The following dates reflect either the confirmed or expected dates of Democratic primaries and caucuses in 2020. Those for contests in U.S. territories with no date yet set are based on dates estimated by The Green Papers based on past years. The pledged delegate numbers listed below are based on the presidential votes in 2008, 2012, and 2016, as well as the number of electoral votes of each state in 2020. The number of DNC members and distinguished party leaders in the count of unpledged PLEO (party leaders and elected officials) delegates is based on the 2016 Democratic National Convention, while the number of unpledged officeholders (governors, members of Congress, and their equivalents in non-state jurisdictions) reflects their current total. The numbers of pledged delegates do not yet account for delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.[16][17][18]
States listed with a lavender background and an asterisk (*) do not yet have a date set by existing statute. States with a light yellow background and a dagger (†) are set to shift their primary or caucus date following the expected passage of legislation moving the dates of their contests. If not already listed as such, the date to which the contest is expected to be moved is listed in parentheses. Party-run primaries (also described as either a firehouse primary or caucus in some jurisdictions) are listed with two asterisks (**).[16][17][18]
Date | State/territory | Type | Eligibility | P | U | T |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 3 | Iowa | Caucus | Closed | 41 | 8 | 49 |
Feb 11 | New Hampshire | Primary | Mixed | 24 | 9 | 33 |
Feb 22 | Nevada | Caucus | Closed | 36 | 12 | 48 |
Feb 29 | South Carolina | Primary | Open | 54 | 9 | 63 |
Mar 3 | Alabama | Primary | Open | 52 | 9 | 61 |
American Samoa* | Caucus | Open | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
Arkansas | Primary | Open | 31 | 5 | 36 | |
California | Primary | Mixed | 416 | 79 | 495 | |
Colorado | Primary | Mixed | 67 | 13 | 80 | |
Maine | Primary | Closed | 24 | 8 | 32 | |
Massachusetts | Primary | Mixed | 91 | 23 | 114 | |
Minnesota | Primary | Closed | 75 | 17 | 92 | |
North Carolina | Primary | Mixed | 110 | 12 | 122 | |
Oklahoma | Primary | Mixed | 37 | 5 | 42 | |
Tennessee | Primary | Open | 64 | 9 | 73 | |
Texas | Primary | Closed | 228 | 34 | 262 | |
Utah | Primary | Mixed | 29 | 6 | 35 | |
Vermont | Primary | Open | 16 | 7 | 23 | |
Virginia | Primary | Open | 99 | 25 | 124 | |
Mar 3–10 | Democrats Abroad | Caucus** | Open | 13 | 4 | 17 |
Mar 10 | Idaho | Primary | Closed | 20 | 5 | 25 |
Michigan | Primary | Open | 125 | 22 | 147 | |
Mississippi | Primary | Open | 36 | 5 | 41 | |
Missouri | Primary | Open | 68 | 10 | 78 | |
North Dakota | Caucus** | Open | 14 | 4 | 18 | |
Washington | Primary | Closed | 89 | 18 | 107 | |
Mar 14 | Northern Marianas* | Caucus | Closed | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Mar 17 | Arizona | Primary | Closed | 67 | 11 | 78 |
Florida | Primary | Closed | 219 | 29 | 248 | |
Illinois | Primary | Open | 155 | 29 | 184 | |
Apr 4 | Hawaii | Primary** | Closed | 24 | 9 | 31 |
Apr 7 | Wisconsin | Primary | Open | 84 | 13 | 90 |
Apr 10 | Alaska | Primary** | Closed | 15 | 4 | 18 |
Apr 17 | Wyoming | Caucus | Closed | 13 | 4 | 17 |
Apr 26 | Puerto Rico | Primary | Open | 51 | 8 | 59 |
Apr 28 | Ohio | Primary | Mixed | 136 | 17 | 153 |
May 2 | Guam* | Caucus | Closed | 7 | 5 | 11 |
Kansas | Primary** | Closed | 39 | 6 | 39 | |
May 12 | Nebraska | Primary | Mixed | 29 | 4 | 29 |
May 19 | Georgia | Primary | Open | 105 | 15 | 120 |
Oregon | Primary | Closed | 61 | 14 | 66 | |
Jun 2 | Connecticut | Primary | Closed | 60 | 15 | 64 |
Delaware | Primary | Closed | 21 | 11 | 28 | |
District of Columbia† | Primary | Closed | 20 | 26 | 43 | |
Indiana | Primary | Open | 82 | 7 | 77 | |
Maryland | Primary | Closed | 96 | 23 | 102 | |
Montana | Primary | Open | 19 | 6 | 22 | |
New Jersey | Primary | Mixed | 126 | 21 | 128 | |
New Mexico | Primary | Closed | 34 | 11 | 40 | |
Pennsylvania | Primary | Closed | 186 | 23 | 176 | |
Rhode Island | Primary | Mixed | 26 | 9 | 30 | |
South Dakota | Primary | Mixed | 16 | 5 | 19 | |
Jun 6 | Virgin Islands* | Caucus | Closed | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Jun 9 | West Virginia | Primary | Mixed | 28 | 6 | 30 |
Jun 20 | Louisiana | Primary | Closed | 54 | 7 | 57 |
Jun 23 | Kentucky | Primary | Closed | 54 | 6 | 52 |
New York† | Primary | Closed | 273 | 46 | 270 | |
N/A | Unassigned | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
Total delegates | 3,979 | 765 | 4,744 |
Iowa caucus
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The Iowa Democratic caucus was held on February 3, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Amy Klobuchar |
Andrew Yang |
Tom Steyer |
Other | Un- decided[lower-alpha 1] |
270 to Win | Feb 3, 2020 | Jan 22 – Feb 2, 2020 | 22.6% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6%[lower-alpha 2] | 5.6% |
RealClear Politics | Feb 3, 2020 | Jan 20 – Feb 2, 2020 | 23.0% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5%[lower-alpha 3] | 7.6% |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 3, 2020 | until Feb 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 22.2% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9%[lower-alpha 5] | 6.6% |
Average | 22.6% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0%[lower-alpha 6] | 6.6% |
The results of a final poll from The Des Moines Register were not released as scheduled on February 1, after an interviewee complained that Pete Buttigieg was not given as a poll option during their interview, with the omission reportedly attributed to human error. As the polling firm was unable to determine whether the mistake was an isolated incident or not, pollster Ann Selzer decided to withhold the results of the poll altogether, marking the first time in 76 years that the final pre-caucus poll was not released by the Register.[19][20] The poll was later leaked on Twitter, with results confirmed by FiveThirtyEight showing Sanders in the lead with 22%, followed by Warren with 18%, Buttigieg with 16% and Biden with 13%.[21]
Polling from December 1, 2019, to February 3, 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
Emerson College | Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 21% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 28% | 4% | 14% | 5% | 2% | – |
Data for Progress [1] | Jan 28 – Feb 2, 2020 | 2,394 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 24%[lower-alpha 8] | 22% | – | – | 28% | – | 25% | – | – | – |
18% | 18% | 2% | 9% | 22% | 4% | 19% | 6% | 2%[lower-alpha 9] | – | ||||
YouGov/CBS News (MRP) | Jan 22–31, 2020 | 1,835 (RV) | ± 3% | 25% | 21% | [lower-alpha 10] | 5% | 25% | [lower-alpha 10] | 16% | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] | [lower-alpha 10] |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 46%[lower-alpha 11] | – | – | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | 14% |
15% | 19% | 3% | 11% | 17% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 12] | 12% | ||||
American Research Group | Jan 27–30, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | 9% | 2% | 16% | 23% | 3% | 15% | 5% | 4%[lower-alpha 13] | 6% |
Civiqs/Data for Progress | Jan 26–29, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 20%[lower-alpha 14] | 18% | 1% | 0% | 31% | 2% | 25% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 15] | 2% |
15% | 15% | 2% | 8% | 28% | 2% | 21% | 5% | 0%[lower-alpha 16] | 2% | ||||
Park Street Strategies | Jan 24–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 20% | 17% | 1% | 12% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 5% | <1%[lower-alpha 17] | 6% |
Monmouth University | Jan 23–27, 2020 | 544 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 29%[lower-alpha 18] | 20% | – | – | 25% | – | 19% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 19] | 6% |
22%[lower-alpha 20] | 17% | – | 12% | 22% | – | 16% | 5% | <1%[lower-alpha 21] | 6% | ||||
23% | 16% | 1% | 10% | 21% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 1%[lower-alpha 22] | 5% | ||||
Civiqs/Iowa State University | Jan 23–27, 2020 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 15% | 17% | 2% | 11% | 24% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 23] | 3%[lower-alpha 24] |
Emerson College | Jan 23–26, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 30% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 25] | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Jan 23–26, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 25.4% | 17.6% | 0.8% | 5.6% | 18.6% | 2.2% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 13.6%[lower-alpha 26] | – |
Change Research/Crooked Media | Jan 22–26, 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 22%[lower-alpha 27] | 23% | – | – | 30% | – | 20% | – | – | 5% |
18% | 19% | 1% | 10% | 27% | 4% | 15% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 28] | – | ||||
Siena College/New York Times | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 23%[lower-alpha 29] | 23% | – | – | 30% | – | 19% | – | – | 8%[lower-alpha 30] |
17% | 18% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 1%[lower-alpha 31] | 8% | ||||
Morningside College | Jan 17–23, 2020 | 253 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 19% | 18% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 32] | 4% |
YouGov/CBS News | Jan 16–23, 2020 | 1401 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 7% | 26% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 33] | 1% |
Civiqs/Data for Progress | Jan 19–21, 2020 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 17% | 19% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 3% | 19% | 5% | 0%[lower-alpha 34] | 5% |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Jan 15–18, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 24% | 16% | 1% | 11% | 14% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 2%[lower-alpha 35] | – |
Neighbourhood Research and Media/Breitbart | Jan 14–17, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 23% | 17% | –[lower-alpha 36] | 11% | 10% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 6%[lower-alpha 37] | 13% |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 28%[lower-alpha 38] | 25% | – | – | 24% | – | 16% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 39] | 4% |
24% | 17% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 4% | 15% | 4% | 4%[lower-alpha 40] | 5% | ||||
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register | January 2–8, 2020 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 15% | 16% | 2% | 6% | 20% | 2% | 17% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 41] | 11% |
YouGov/CBS News | Dec 27, 2019 – Jan 3, 2020 | 953 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 23% | 23% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 2% | 16% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 42] | 1% |
Civiqs/Iowa State University | Dec 12–16, 2019 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 15% | 24% | 3% | 4% | 21% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 4%[lower-alpha 43] | 4% |
Emerson College | Dec 7–10, 2019 | 325 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 23% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 22% | 3% | 12% | 2% | 8%[lower-alpha 44] | – |
Harris withdraws from the race |
Polling during November 2019 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
Civiqs/Iowa State University | Nov 15–19, 2019 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 12% | 26% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 18% | 2% | 19% | 4% | 6%[lower-alpha 45] | 3% |
Des Moines Register/CNN | Nov 8–13, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 3% | 16% | 3% | 6%[lower-alpha 46] | 5% |
YouGov/CBS News | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 856 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 22% | 21% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 1% | 4%[lower-alpha 47] | – |
Monmouth University | Nov 7–11, 2019 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 19% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 6%[lower-alpha 48] | 8% |
University of Iowa | Oct 28 – Nov 10, 2019 | 465 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 15% | 16% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 23% | 3% | 2%[lower-alpha 49] | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | Nov 5–6, 2019 | 715 (LV) | – | 13% | 20% | – | 3% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 21% | 3% | – | 10% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 30 – Nov 5, 2019 | 698 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 15% | 19% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 17% | 3% | 20% | 3% | 4%[lower-alpha 50] | 8% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race |
Polling before November 2019 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
Siena College/New York Times | Oct 25–30, 2019 | 439 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 17% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 22% | 8%[lower-alpha 51] | 6% |
Civiqs/Iowa State University | Oct 18–22, 2019 | 598 (LV) | ± 5% | 12% | 1% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 28% | 8%[lower-alpha 53] | 4% |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Oct 16–18, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 7%[lower-alpha 54] | 29% |
Emerson College | Oct 13–16, 2019 | 317 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 23% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 13% | 23% | 15%[lower-alpha 55] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Oct 8–10, 2019 | 548 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 22% | 2% | 17% | 3% | –[lower-alpha 56] | 1% | 5% | 25% | 26%[lower-alpha 57] | –[lower-alpha 56] |
YouGov/CBS News | Oct 3–11, 2019 | 729 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 22% | 2% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 21% | 22% | 7%[lower-alpha 58] | – |
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register [2] | Sep 14–18, 2019 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 11%[lower-alpha 59] | 14% |
David Binder Research | Sep 14–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 25% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 9%[lower-alpha 60] | 6% |
Civiqs/Iowa State University | Sep 13–17, 2019 | 572 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 16% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 24% | 11%[lower-alpha 61] | 8% |
YouGov/CBS News | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 835 | ± 4.3% | 29% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 26% | 17% | 9%[lower-alpha 62] | – |
Change Research | Aug 9–11, 2019 | 621 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 17% | 3% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 28% | 9%[lower-alpha 63] | – |
Monmouth University | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 28% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 3% | <1% | 9% | 19% | 11%[lower-alpha 64] | 10% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jul 23–25, 2019 | 630 | ± 3.3% | 23% | 2% | 7% | 12% | – | 2% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 16% |
YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 706 | ± 4.4% | 24% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 17% | 9%[lower-alpha 65] | – |
Steyer announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 420 (LV) | – | 16% | 1% | 25% | 16% | 1% | 2% | 16% | 18% | 5%[lower-alpha 66] | – |
David Binder Research | Jun 29 – Jul 1, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 17% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 20% | 9%[lower-alpha 67] | 9% |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Jun 28 – Jul 1, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 24% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 13% | 6%[lower-alpha 68] | 21% |
Change Research | Jun 17–20, 2019 | 308 (LV) | – | 27% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 18% | 20% | 7%[lower-alpha 69] | – |
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register | Jun 2–5, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 24% | 1% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 16% | 15% | 6%[lower-alpha 70] | 6% |
Change Research | May 15–19, 2019 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 24% | 1% | 14% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 24% | 12% | 9%[lower-alpha 71] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 | 576 | ± 4.1% | 35% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 10% | – | 16% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Gravis Marketing | Apr 17–18, 2019 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 19% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 19% | 6% | 7%[lower-alpha 72] | 16% |
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Apr 4–9, 2019 | 351 | ± 5.2% | 27% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 16% | 7% | 7%[lower-alpha 73] | 12% |
David Binder Research | Mar 21–24, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 9%[lower-alpha 74] | 7% |
Emerson College | Mar 21–24, 2019 | 249 | ± 6.2% | 25% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 24% | 9% | 8%[lower-alpha 75] | – |
Public Policy Polling (D)[lower-alpha 76] | Mar 14–15, 2019 | 678 | – | 29% | 4% | – | 5% | 6% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 22% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register | Mar 3–6, 2019 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 27% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 25% | 9% | 5%[lower-alpha 77] | 10% |
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Klobuchar announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 | 558 | ± 3.6% | 25% | 4% | – | 17% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 1%[lower-alpha 78] | 25% |
Emerson College | Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2019 | 260 | ± 6.0% | 29% | 4% | 0% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 11% | 15%[lower-alpha 79] | – |
Booker announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Gabbard announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Dec 13–17, 2018 | 1,291 (LV) | – | 20% | 4% | – | 7% | 5% | 19% | 20% | 7% | 18%[lower-alpha 80] | – |
Selzer/CNN/Des Moines Register | Dec 10–13, 2018 | 455 | ± 4.6% | 32% | 4% | – | 5% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 8% | 7%[lower-alpha 81] | 6% |
David Binder Research | Dec 10–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 30% | 6% | – | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 8%[lower-alpha 82] | 6% |
David Binder Research | Sep 20–23, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 8% | – | 10% | – | – | 12% | 16% | 6%[lower-alpha 83] | 9% |
Yang announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D)[lower-alpha 84] | Mar 3–6, 2017 | 1,062 | – | – | 17% | – | 3% | 11% | – | – | – | 34%[lower-alpha 85] | 32% |
New Hampshire primary
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The New Hampshire Democratic primary was held on February 11, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Amy Klobuchar |
Andrew Yang |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Tom Steyer |
Other | Un- decided[lower-alpha 1] |
270 to Win | Feb 10, 2020 | Feb 4–9, 2020 | 27.3% | 20.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9%[lower-alpha 86] | 6.4% |
RealClear Politics | Feb 10, 2020 | Feb 6–9, 2020 | 28.7% | 21.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3%[lower-alpha 87] | 6.3% |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 10, 2020 | until Feb 10, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 26.0% | 21.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5%[lower-alpha 88] | 5.8% |
Average | 27.3% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2%[lower-alpha 89] | 6.2% | ||
New Hampshire primary results (February 11, 2020) | 25.6% | 24.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 19.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7%[lower-alpha 90] | – |
Polling from January 1, 2020, to February 11, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |||
New Hampshire primary (popular vote) | Feb 11, 2020 | – | – | 8.4% | 24.3% | 3.3% | 19.7% | 25.6% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 2.7%[lower-alpha 91] | – | |||
AtlasIntel | Feb 8–10, 2020 | 431 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 12% | 24% | 3% | 14% | 24% | 1% | 11% | 5% | – | 6% | |||
Data For Progress[lower-alpha 92] | Feb 7–10, 2020 | 1296 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 9% | 26% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 3% | 14% | 5% | – | – | |||
American Research Group | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 13% | 20% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 5%[lower-alpha 93] | 2% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 14% | 30% | 2% | 11% | 4% | 4%[lower-alpha 94] | – | |||
Change Research | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 9% | 21% | 6% | 8% | 30% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 1%[lower-alpha 95] | 9% | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 12% | 19% | 3% | 14% | 27% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 96] | 7% | |||
Elucd | Feb 7–9, 2020 | 492 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 8% | 20% | –[lower-alpha 97] | 12% | 26% | –[lower-alpha 98] | 10% | –[lower-alpha 99] | –[lower-alpha 100] | 15% | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Feb 6–9, 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 11% | 22% | 5% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 1%[lower-alpha 101] | 10% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 7–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 20% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 4%[lower-alpha 102] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 7–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 103] | 12% | |||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 512 (LV) | – | 14% | 20% | 0% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 16% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 104] | 13% | |||
YouGov/CBS News | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 848 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 12% | 25% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 1% | 17% | 1% | 3%[lower-alpha 105] | – | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 384 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 6% | 28% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 106] | 11% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 6–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 24% | 5% | 9% | 31% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 107] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 6–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 11% | 25% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 4%[lower-alpha 108] | 9% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 4–7, 2020 | 440 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 14% | 17% | 4% | 8% | 25% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 5%[lower-alpha 109] | 4% | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Feb 4–7, 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 5% | 28% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 110] | 11% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 5–6, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 32% | 2% | 13% | 2% | 3%[lower-alpha 111] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 5–6, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 6% | 24% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 4%[lower-alpha 112] | 12% | |||
Marist/NBC News | Feb 4–6, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 25% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 3%[lower-alpha 113] | 5% | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 12% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 25% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 114] | 15% | |||
Monmouth University | Feb 3–5, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 17% | 20% | 4% | 9% | 24% | 3% | 13% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 115] | 5% | |||
17%[lower-alpha 116] | 22% | – | 13% | 27% | – | 13% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 117] | 4% | |||||||
19%[lower-alpha 118] | 28% | – | – | 28% | – | 16% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 119] | 5% | |||||||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 3–5, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 11% | 31% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 120] | – | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 3–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 24% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 1%[lower-alpha 121] | 14% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 2–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 13% | 17% | 6% | 11% | 32% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 3%[lower-alpha 122] | – | |||
Iowa caucuses | ||||||||||||||||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 2–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 24% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 123] | 14% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 1–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 13% | 12% | 4% | 12% | 32% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 4%[lower-alpha 124] | – | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 29% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 2%[lower-alpha 125] | – | |||
Saint Anselm College | Jan 29 – Feb 2, 2020 | 491 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 14% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 126] | 11% | |||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10[3] | Jan 29 – Feb 1, 2020 | 454 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 31% | No voters | 17% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 127] | 7% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Jan 28–31, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 19% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 128] | 4% | |||
YouGov/UMass Amherst/WCVB | Jan 17–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 25% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 129] | 3% | |||
American Research Group | Jan 24–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 28% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 8%[lower-alpha 130] | 6% | |||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | Jan 23–26, 2020 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 29% | 0% | 16% | 1% | 7%[lower-alpha 131] | 9% | |||
Marist/NBC News | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 697 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 15% | 17% | 6% | 10% | 22% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 132] | 7% | |||
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Jan 15–23, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 25% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 133] | 10% | |||
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR | Jan 17–21, 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 6% | 29% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 4%[lower-alpha 134] | 5%[lower-alpha 135] | |||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe | Jan 15–19, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 3%[lower-alpha 136] | 24% | |||
Emerson College/WHDH | Jan 13–16, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 14% | 18% | 5% | 10% | 23% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 7%[lower-alpha 137] | – | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | Jan 8–12, 2020 | 434 (LV) | – | 26% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 2% | 7%[lower-alpha 138] | 12% | |||
Patinkin Research Strategies/Yang 2020[lower-alpha 139] | Jan 5–7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 21% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 19% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 3%[lower-alpha 140] | 7% | |||
Monmouth University | Jan 3–7, 2020 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 19% | 20% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 141] | 7% | |||
21%[lower-alpha 142] | 20% | – | 7% | 21% | – | 15% | 5% | 5%[lower-alpha 143] | 8% | |||||||
24%[lower-alpha 144] | 23% | – | – | 21% | – | 18% | – | 5%[lower-alpha 145] | 8% | |||||||
YouGov/CBS News | Dec 27, 2019 – Jan 3, 2020 |
487 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 25% | 13% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 3% | 18% | 2% | 3%[lower-alpha 146] | – |
Polling before January 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Deval Patrick |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR | Dec 3–8, 2019 | 442 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 17% | 1% | 18% | 5% | – | 3% | – | <1% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 11%[lower-alpha 147] | 12%[lower-alpha 148] |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Nov 22–26, 2019 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 14% | 2% | 22% | 6% | 4% | 2% | – | 0% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 7%[lower-alpha 149] | – |
Boston Globe/Suffolk University | Nov 21–24, 2019 | 500 (LV) | – | 12% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% | 16% | 14% | 4% | 6%[lower-alpha 150] | 21% |
Saint Anselm College | Nov 13–18, 2019 | 255 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 15% | 3% | 25% | 3% | 1% | 6% | – | 0% | 9% | 15% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 151] | 13% |
Patrick announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/CBS News | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 535 (RV) | ± 5% | 22% | 1% | 16% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 20% | 31% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 152] | – |
Quinnipiac University | Nov 6–10, 2019 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.8 | 20% | 1% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 3% | – | – | 14% | 16% | 4% | 5%[lower-alpha 153] | 14% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Oct 21–27, 2019 | 574 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 15% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | – | 21% | 18% | 5% | 4%[lower-alpha 154] | 10% |
Boston Herald/FPU | Oct 9–13, 2019 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 24% | 2% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | – | 22% | 25% | 1% | 4%[lower-alpha 155] | 7% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Oct 8–10, 2019 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 18% | 2% | 7% | –[lower-alpha 156] | 2% | –[lower-alpha 156] | 1% | – | 9% | 25% | 2% | 32% | –[lower-alpha 156] |
YouGov/CBS News | Oct 3–11, 2019 | 506 | ± 5.4% | 24% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | – | 17% | 32% | 5% | 5%[lower-alpha 157] | – |
Saint Anselm College | Sep 25–29, 2019 | 423 | ± 4.8% | 24% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 3% | <1% | – | 11% | 25% | 2% | 3%[lower-alpha 158] | 9% |
Monmouth University | Sep 17–21, 2019 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 25% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | – | 12% | 27% | 2% | 3%[lower-alpha 159] | 9% |
HarrisX/No Labels | Sep 6–11, 2019 | 595 | ± 4.0% | 22% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 21% | 15% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 160] | 14% |
Boston Herald/FPU | Sep 4–10, 2019 | 425 | ± 4.8% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 2% | – | 29% | 17% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 161] | 9% |
Emerson College | Sep 6–9, 2019 | 483 | ± 4.4% | 24% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 1% | – | 13% | 21% | 3% | 7%[lower-alpha 162] | – |
YouGov/CBS News | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 526 | ± 5.2% | 26% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 25% | 27% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 163] | – |
Gravis Marketing | Aug 2–6, 2019 | 250 | ± 6.2% | 15% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | – | 21% | 12% | 4% | 8%[lower-alpha 164] | 11% |
Suffolk University | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 21% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 0% | – | 17% | 14% | 1% | 6%[lower-alpha 165] | 21% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jul 23–25, 2019 | 587 | ± 3.3% | 21% | 1% | 8% | – | 13% | – | 0% | – | 13% | 16% | 1% | 7% | 19% |
YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 530 | ± 5% | 27% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 2% | – | 20% | 18% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 166] | – |
University of New Hampshire/CNN | Jul 8–15, 2019 | 386 | ± 5.0% | 24% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 2% | – | 19% | 19% | 1% | 4%[lower-alpha 167] | 9% |
Saint Anselm College | Jul 10–12, 2019 | 351 | ± 5.2% | 21% | 1% | 12% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 0% | – | 10% | 17% | 5% | 3%[lower-alpha 168] | 11% |
Change Research | Jul 6–9, 2019 | 1,084 | ± 3.0% | 19% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 1% | – | 20% | 22% | 1% | 3%[lower-alpha 169] | – |
Change Research | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 420 | – | 13% | 2% | 14% | 2% | 13% | 1% | 2% | – | 26% | 24% | 2% | 4%[lower-alpha 170] | – |
Change Research | Jun 17–20, 2019 | 308 | – | 24% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 28% | 21% | 1% | 3%[lower-alpha 171] | – |
YouGov/CBS News | May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 | 502 | ± 4.9% | 33% | 3% | 10% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 4% | – | 20% | 17% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 172] | – |
Tel Opinion Research* | May 20–22, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 33% | – | 7% | – | 7% | – | 1% | – | 12% | 11% | – | – | 28% |
Monmouth University | May 2–7, 2019 | 376 | ± 5.1% | 36% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 2% | – | 18% | 8% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 173] | 11% |
Change Research | May 3–5, 2019 | 864 | ± 3.3% | 26% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 3% | – | 30% | 9% | 2% | 4%[lower-alpha 174] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 | 551 | ± 4.0% | 34% | 1% | 10% | – | 7% | 1% | 3% | – | 16% | 9% | – | – | 19% |
Suffolk University | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 429 | ± 4.7% | 20% | 3% | 12% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | – | 12% | 8% | 1% | 4%[lower-alpha 175] | 27% |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire | Apr 10–18, 2019 | 241 | ± 6.3% | 18% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | – | 30% | 5% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 176] | 12% |
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Saint Anselm College | Apr 3–8, 2019 | 326 | ± 5.4% | 23% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 6% | – | 16% | 9% | – | 9%[lower-alpha 177] | 13% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire | Feb 18–26, 2019 | 240 | ± 6.3% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 5% | – | 26% | 7% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 178] | 14% |
Emerson College | Feb 21–22, 2019 | 405 | ± 4.8% | 25% | 5% | 1% | – | 12% | 8% | 5% | – | 27% | 9% | – | 10%[lower-alpha 179] | – |
Sanders announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Feb 7–15, 2019 | 337 | ± 6.4% | 28% | 3% | – | – | 14% | 1% | 6% | – | 20% | 9% | – | 9%[lower-alpha 180] | 9% |
Klobuchar announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 | 518 | ± 4.1% | 22% | 4% | – | – | 13% | 2% | 2% | – | 13% | 9% | – | 0%[lower-alpha 181] | 35% |
Booker announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Gabbard announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Change Research | Jan 2–3, 2019 | 1,162 | – | 24% | 3% | – | – | 4% | 2% | 9% | – | 26% | 11% | – | 22%[lower-alpha 182] | – |
University of New Hampshire | Aug 2–19, 2018 | 198 | ± 7.0% | 19% | 6% | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | 30% | 17% | – | 12%[lower-alpha 183] | 12% |
Suffolk University | Apr 26–30, 2018 | 295 | ± 5.7% | 20% | 8% | – | – | 4% | – | – | 4% | 13% | 26% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 184] | 18% |
30% | 10% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 8% | 25% | – | – | 6%[lower-alpha 185] | 12% | ||||
University of New Hampshire | Apr 13–22, 2018 | 188 | ± 7.1% | 26% | 5% | – | – | 6% | 1% | – | – | 28% | 11% | – | 9%[lower-alpha 186] | 13% |
University of New Hampshire | Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018 | 219 | ± 6.6% | 35% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 0% | – | – | 24% | 15% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 187] | 15% |
Yang announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of New Hampshire | Oct 3–15, 2017 | 212 | ± 6.7% | 24% | 6% | – | – | 1% | 1% | – | – | 31% | 13% | – | 14%[lower-alpha 188] | 11% |
Head-to-head polls | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Undecided | |
Tel Opinion Research | May 20–22, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 63% | 21% | – | – | 15% | |
66% | – | 22% | – | 13% | |||||
58% | – | – | 29% | 13% | |||||
American Research Group | Mar 21–27, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 47% | – | 45% | – | 7% | |
58% | – | – | 33% | 8% |
Nevada caucus
<templatestyles src="Module:Hatnote/styles.css"></templatestyles>
The Nevada Democratic caucus was held on February 22, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tom Steyer |
Amy Klobuchar |
Others | Undecided[lower-alpha 1] | |
270 to Win | Feb 21, 2020 | Feb 14–21, 2020 | 30.0% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 1.3%[lower-alpha 189] | 4.9% | |
RealClear Politics | Feb 21, 2020 | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 32.5% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 2.0%[lower-alpha 190] | 1.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 21, 2020 | until Feb 21, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 30.5% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 11.0%[lower-alpha 191] | –[lower-alpha 192] | |
Average | 31.0% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 4.7%[lower-alpha 193] | 2.0% | |||
Nevada caucus results, first alignment (February 22, 2020) | 34.0% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 1.5%[lower-alpha 194] | – |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Nevada Democratic Caucus | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |
Data for Progress[4][lower-alpha 195] | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 1010 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 16% | – | 15% | – | 8% | – | 35% | 8% | 16% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 196] | – | |
AtlasIntel | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | – | 14% | – | 5% | – | 38% | 11% | 9% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 197] | 5% | |
Emerson College | Feb 19–20, 2020 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 16% | – | 17% | – | 11% | – | 30% | 10% | 12% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 198] | – | |
Early voting occurred in the Nevada caucuses[22] | ||||||||||||||||
Beacon Research/Tom Steyer | Feb 12–15, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 19% | – | 13% | – | 7% | – | 24% | 18% | 10% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 199] | 6% | |
Data for Progress[5][lower-alpha 200] | Feb 12–15, 2020 | 766 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 14% | – | 15% | – | 9% | – | 35% | 10% | 16% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 201] | – | |
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP Nevada | Feb 11–13, 2020 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 18% | – | 10% | – | 10% | – | 25% | 11% | 13% | – | 5%[lower-alpha 202] | 8% | |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Suffolk University/USA Today[6] | Jan 8–11, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 2% | 8% | – | 4% | – | 18% | 8% | 11% | 4% | 4%[lower-alpha 203] | 22% | |
MyersResearch/Strategic Services/Yang 2020[lower-alpha 204] | Jan 6–8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 28% | 2% | 6% | – | – | – | 29% | 8% | 14% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 205] | 4% | |
Fox News | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 635 | ± 4.0% | 23% | 3% | 6% | – | 2% | – | 17% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 13%[lower-alpha 206] | 6% | |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/CBS News | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 33% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2% | – | 23% | 2% | 21% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 207] | – | |
Fox News | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 627 | ± 4.0% | 24% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 2% | – | 18% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 4%[lower-alpha 208] | 10% | |
Emerson Polling | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 1% | – | 19% | 3% | 22% | 5% | 10%[lower-alpha 209] | – | |
Mellman Group/The Nevada Independent | Oct 28 – Nov 2, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 19% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 210] | 9% | |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
CNN/SSRS | Sep 22–26, 2019 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.1% | 22% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 22% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 211] | 13% | |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Sep 19–23, 2019 | 500 (LV) | – | 23% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 14% | 3% | 19% | 3% | 4%[lower-alpha 212] | 21% | |
YouGov/CBS News | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 27% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 29% | 2% | 18% | 1% | 9%[lower-alpha 213] | – | |
Gravis Marketing | Aug 14–16, 2019 | 382 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 25% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 15% | 2% | 13%[lower-alpha 214] | 9% | |
Change Research | Aug 2–8, 2019 | 439 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 26% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 22% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 215] | – | |
Morning Consult | Jul 1–21, 2019 | 749 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 12% | 3% | 10%[lower-alpha 216] | – | |
Steyer announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Jun 6–11, 2019 | 370 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 36% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 13% | – | 19% | 2% | 3%[lower-alpha 217] | 8% | |
Change Research | May 9–12, 2019 | 389 (LV) | – | 29% | 2% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 24% | – | 12% | 1% | 4%[lower-alpha 218] | – | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Mar 28–30, 2019 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 26% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 10% | 23% | – | 10% | 3% | 9%[lower-alpha 219] | – |
South Carolina primary
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The South Carolina Democratic primary was held on February 29, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Amy Klobuchar |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[lower-alpha 220] |
270 to Win | Feb 28, 2020 | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 35.8% | 20.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% |
RealClear Politics | Feb 28, 2020 | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 39.7% | 24.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | –[lower-alpha 221] |
FiveThirtyEight | Feb 28, 2020 | until Feb 27, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 38.4% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 7.7%[lower-alpha 222] |
Average | 38.0% | 21.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 4.9%[lower-alpha 223] | ||
South Carolina primary results (February 29, 2020) | 48.7% | 19.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | – |
Polling in January and February 2020 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |
Atlas Intel | Feb 25–28, 2020 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | – | 8% | 2% | 4% | 24% | 12% | 7% | – | 2% | 6% | |
Emerson College | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | – | 11% | 2% | 6% | 25% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | |
Trafalgar Group | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 43.9% | – | 9.6% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 22.8% | 10.5% | 5.6% | – | – | – | |
Starboard Communications | Feb 26, 2020 | 1,102 (LV) | ± 2.82% | 40% | – | 9% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 9% | – | – | 12% | |
Data for Progress | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 1416 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 34% | – | 13% | 3% | 5% | 25% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | |
Change Research [7]/ Post and Courier |
Feb 23–27, 2020 | 543 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 28% | – | 11% | 5% | 4% | 24% | 16% | 12% | – | – | 1% | |
Tenth Democratic primary debate | |||||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Feb 23–25, 2020 | 454 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 36% | – | 6% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 15% | 8% | – | 0% | 15% | |
East Carolina University | Feb 23–24, 2020 | 1,142 (LV) | ± 3.37% | 31% | – | 6% | 2% | 2% | 23% | 20% | 8% | – | – | 8% | |
Public Policy Polling | Feb 23–24, 2020 | 866 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 36% | – | 7% | 6% | 3% | 21% | 7% | 8% | – | – | 11%[lower-alpha 224] | |
Nevada caucuses | |||||||||||||||
Clemson University | Feb 17–25, 2020 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | – | 8% | 2% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 8% | – | – | 12% | |
YouGov/CBS News | Feb 20–22, 2020 | 1,238 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 28% | – | 10% | 1% | 4% | 23% | 18% | 12% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 225] | 1% | |
Marist Poll/NBC News | Feb 18–21, 2020 | 539 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 27% | – | 9% | 3% | 5% | 23% | 15% | 8% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 226] | 9% | |
997 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 25% | – | 9% | 3% | 5% | 24% | 15% | 8% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 227] | 9% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 23% | – | 11% | 4% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 11% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 228] | 4% | |
Winthrop University | Feb 9–19, 2020 | 443 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 24% | – | 7% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 1%[lower-alpha 229] | 2%[lower-alpha 230] | 22% | |
Change Research/The Welcome Party | Feb 12–14, 2020 | 1015 (LV) | – | 23% | – | 15% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 20% | 9% | – | – | 1% | |
East Carolina University | Feb 12–13, 2020 | 703 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 28% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 14% | 7% | – | 0% | 8% | |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||||
Iowa caucus | |||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Jan 31 – Feb 3, 2020 | 277 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 28% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 1% | 0%[lower-alpha 231] | 8% | |
East Carolina University | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 469 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 37% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 14% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 0%[lower-alpha 232] | 10% | |
Change Research/ Post and Courier |
Jan 26–29, 2020 | 651 (LV) | ± 4% | 25% | – | 7% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 3% | 1%[lower-alpha 233] | 10% | |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
GQR Research/Unite the Country[lower-alpha 234] | Jan 9–13, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 36%[lower-alpha 235] | –[lower-alpha 236] | 5%[lower-alpha 237] | –[lower-alpha 238] | –[lower-alpha 239] | 15%[lower-alpha 240] | 12%[lower-alpha 241] | 10%[lower-alpha 242] | –[lower-alpha 243] | –[lower-alpha 244] | –[lower-alpha 245] | |
Fox News | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 808 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 2% | 3%[lower-alpha 246] | 11% |
Polling before January 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
Change Research/ Post and Courier |
Dec 6–11, 2019 | 392 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 27% | 5% | 9% | – | – | 20% | 5% | 19% | 13%[lower-alpha 247] | – |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
YouGov/FairVote [8] | Nov 22 – Dec 2, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 39% | 2% | 10% | 2% | – | 13% | 7% | 10% | 13%[lower-alpha 248] | 4% |
Quinnipiac University | Nov 13–17, 2019 | 768 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 33% | 2% | 6% | 3% | – | 11% | 5% | 13% | 7%[lower-alpha 249] | 18% |
YouGov/CBS News | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 933 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 2% | 8% | 5% | – | 15% | 2% | 17% | 6%[lower-alpha 250] | – |
University of North Florida |
Nov 5–13, 2019 | 426 (LV) | – | 36% | 2% | 3% | 4% | – | 10% | 8% | 10% | 6%[lower-alpha 251] | 23% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Oct 16–21, 2019 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 16% | 7%[lower-alpha 252] | 15% |
Change Research/ Post and Courier |
Oct 15–21, 2019 | 731 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 30% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 1% | 13% | 5% | 19% | 11%[lower-alpha 253] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus |
Oct 8–10, 2019 | 607 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 32% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 8% | – | 16% | 33%[lower-alpha 254] | –[lower-alpha 255] |
YouGov/CBS News | Oct 3–11, 2019 | 915 (RV) | ±3.9% | 43% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 16% | 2% | 18% | 6%[lower-alpha 256] | – |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 3–7, 2019 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 10%[lower-alpha 257] | 19% |
Fox News | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 803 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 8%[lower-alpha 258] | 16% |
Winthrop University | Sep 21–30, 2019 | 462 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 17% | 6%[lower-alpha 259] | 12% |
CNN/SSRS | Sep 22–26, 2019 | 406 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 37% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 16% | 4%[lower-alpha 260] | 10% |
YouGov/CBS News | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 849 (RV)[lower-alpha 261] | ± 4.3% | 43% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 18% | 1% | 14% | 9%[lower-alpha 262] | – |
Change Research | Aug 9–12, 2019 | 521 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 1% | 16% | 1% | 17% | 7%[lower-alpha 263] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus |
Jul 23–25, 2019 | 554 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 31% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 9% | – | 12% | 8%[lower-alpha 264] | 24% |
Monmouth University | Jul 18–22, 2019 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 9% | 3%[lower-alpha 265] | 17% |
YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 997 (RV)[lower-alpha 266] | ± 3.8% | 39% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 17% | 1% | 12% | 9%[lower-alpha 267] | – |
Fox News | Jul 7–10, 2019 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 35% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 5% | 3%[lower-alpha 268] | 20% |
Steyer announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 421 (LV) | – | 27% | 6% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 16% | 0% | 15% | 8%[lower-alpha 269] | – |
Change Research | Jun 17–20, 2019 | 308 (LV) | – | 39% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 0% | 15% | 5%[lower-alpha 270] | – |
Change Research | Jun 11–14, 2019 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 37% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 9% | – | 17% | 8%[lower-alpha 271] | – |
YouGov/CBS News | May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 | 552 (LV) | – | 45% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 18% | – | 8% | 8%[lower-alpha 272] | – |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 183 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 36% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 13% | – | 12% | 4%[lower-alpha 273] | – |
Tel Opinion Research* | May 22–24, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 2% | 3% | 7% | – | 10% | – | 8% | – | 32% |
Crantford Research | May 14–16, 2019 | 381 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 4% | 8% | 10% | – | 7% | – | 8% | – | – |
Change Research | May 6–9, 2019 | 595 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 2% | 15% | – | 8% | 5%[lower-alpha 274] | – |
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus |
Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 12% | – | 5% | 1%[lower-alpha 275] | 20% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2019 | 744 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 14% | – | 6% | 12%[lower-alpha 276] | – |
– | 12% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 24% | – | 11% | 12%[lower-alpha 277] | – | ||||
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Emerson College | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 | 291 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 37% | 6% | 0% | 9% | 5% | 21% | – | 5% | 16%[lower-alpha 278] | – |
Change Research | Feb 15–18, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 10% | – | 13% | 8% | 14% | – | 9% | 12%[lower-alpha 279] | – |
– | 28% | 1% | 35% | – | – | – | 20% | 18%[lower-alpha 280] | – | ||||
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||
Firehouse Strategies/ Øptimus |
Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 | 557 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 5% | – | 12% | 2% | 8% | – | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 281] | 31% |
Head-to-head polling | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
YouGov/FairVote[9][lower-alpha 282] | Nov 22 – Dec 2, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 73% | 27% | – | – | – | – |
66% | – | 34% | – | – | – | ||||
61% | – | – | 29% | [lower-alpha 283] | 6% | ||||
– | 39% | 61% | – | – | – | ||||
– | 36% | – | 64% | – | – | ||||
– | – | 54% | 46% | – | – | ||||
Tel Opinion Research | May 22–24, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 71% | 10% | – | – | – | 19% |
70% | – | 15% | – | – | 16% | ||||
67% | – | – | 15% | – | 18% |
Alabama primary
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The Alabama Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 28–March 2, 2020 | 44.5% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 1.0% | 4.5% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 40.2% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 0.5% | 14.1% | |||
Average | 42.35% | 19.7% | 16.95% | 10.95% | 0.75% | 9.3% | |||||
Alabama primary results (March 3, 2020) | 63.3% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 0.2% | 2.6% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Alabama Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 949 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 18% | – | 3% | – | – | 20% | 10% | 8%[lower-alpha 284] | – | |||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 237 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 47% | 18% | – | – | – | – | 22% | 12% | 2%[lower-alpha 285] | – | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
SurveyMonkey | July 2–16, 2019 | 257 | ± 7.8% | 36% | – | 2% | 5% | 13% | 1% | 15% | 9% | 10%[lower-alpha 286] | – | |||
Change Research | March 20–23, 2019 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 42% | – | 9% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 4%[lower-alpha 287] | – | |||
– | – | 14% | 4% | 16% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 9%[lower-alpha 288] | – |
Arkansas primary
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The Arkansas Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 6–March 2, 2020 | 27.7% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 0.5% | 19.5% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 27.5% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 0.3% | 20.6% | |||
Average | 27.6% | 21.65% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 0.4% | 20.05% | |||||
Arkansas primary results (March 3, 2020) | 40.5% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 10.0% | 0.7% | 9.7% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Arkansas Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 714 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 28% | 25% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 13%[lower-alpha 289] | – | ||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 36% | 22% | 2% | 23% | 15% | 2%[lower-alpha 290] | – | ||||||
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | February 6–7, 2020 | 496 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 10.1%[lower-alpha 291] | 11% |
California primary
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The California Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Elizabeth Warren |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 20–March 1, 2020 | 33.0% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 1.2% | 16.4% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | February 28–March 2, 2020 | 35.0% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 1.5% | 10.5%[lower-alpha 292] | |||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 31.2% | 21.7% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 0.7% | 16.8% | |||
Average | 33.1% | 21.6% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 1.1% | 14.5% |
Polling from January 1, 2020 to March 3, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Swayable | March 1–2, 2020 | 3,388 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 20.8% | 19.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 28.7% | 4.0% | 9.6% | – | 6.0%[lower-alpha 293] | – | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | February 28–March 2, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 25% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 32% | – | 16% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 294] | – | ||
Point Blank Political | February 29–March 1, 2020 | 1,220 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 34% | 1% | 14% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 295] | 9% | ||
Emerson College/Nexstar | February 29–March 1, 2020 | 545 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 38% | 2% | 16% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 296] | – | ||
AtlasIntel | February 24–March 2, 2020 | 727 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 26% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 34% | – | 15% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 297] | 4% | ||
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
YouGov/CBS News | February 27–29, 2020 | 1,411 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 31% | 3% | 18% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 298] | – | ||
Suffolk University | February 26–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 14% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 35% | 3% | 12% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 299] | – | ||
YouGov/Hoover Institution/Stanford University |
February 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 27% | 5% | 17% | – | 5%[lower-alpha 300] | – | ||
Point Blank Political | February 26–28, 2020 | 2,276 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 34% | 3% | 14% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 301] | 10% | ||
Tenth Democratic primary debate | |||||||||||||||
SSRS/CNN | February 22–26, 2020 | 488 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 35% | 3% | 14% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 302] | 8% | ||
Point Blank Political | February 23–25, 2020 | 2,098 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 34% | 3% | 13% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 303] | 13% | ||
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 3,002 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 34% | 2% | 17% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 304] | 7% | ||
Nevada caucuses | |||||||||||||||
Change Research/KQED News | February 20–23, 2020 | 1,069 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 37% | 3% | 20% | 4%[lower-alpha 305] | 3%[lower-alpha 306] | – | ||
Monmouth University | February 16–19, 2020 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 24% | 5% | 10% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 307] | 13% | ||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | February 12–20, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 24% | 2% | 16% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 308] | 6% | ||
Public Policy Institute of California | February 7–17, 2020 | 573 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 32% | 3% | 13% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 309] | 8% | ||
SurveyUSA | February 13–16, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 15% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 25% | 3% | 9% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 310] | 9% | ||
YouGov/USC | February 1–15, 2020 | – | – | 21% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 29% | 2% | 20% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 311] | 9%[lower-alpha 312] | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly | Feb 6-9, 2020 | 843 (LV) | – | 8%[lower-alpha 313] | 8% | 15% | 7% | 25% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 6%[lower-alpha 314] | 3%[lower-alpha 315] | ||
11% | 13% | 14% | 5% | 29% | 3% | 16% | 4% | 5%[lower-alpha 316] | 1%[lower-alpha 317] | ||||||
Iowa Caucuses | |||||||||||||||
Change Research/KQED News | January 25–27, 2020 | 1,967 (LV) | – | 15% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 30% | 2% | 16% | 5% | 4%[lower-alpha 318] | 13% | ||
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | January 15–21, 2020 | 2,895 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 26.3% | 1.8% | 19.6% | 3.9% | 3.6%[lower-alpha 319] | 11.7% | ||
SurveyUSA | January 14–16, 2020 | 565 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 20% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 320] | 4% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Public Policy Institute of California/Mercury News | January 3–12, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 24% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 27% | – | 23% | 3% | 5%[lower-alpha 321] | 7% | ||
Tulchin Research/USC Rossier/The Hill | January 3–10, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | – | 25% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 322] | 6% | ||
Capitol Weekly | January 1–9, 2020 | 1,053 (LV) | – | 20% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 24% | 2% | 21% | 7% | 3%[lower-alpha 323] | – |
Polling before January 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
Change Research/KQED News | December 6–10, 2019 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 19% | 3% | 12% | – | – | 26% | 23% | 4% | 13%[lower-alpha 324] | – |
CNN/SSRS | December 4–8, 2019 | 508 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 21% | 3% | 9% | – | – | 20% | 17% | 6% | 12%[lower-alpha 325] | 11% |
Capitol Weekly | December 3–7, 2019 | 581 (LV) | –[lower-alpha 326] | 19% | 2% | 14% | – | – | 19% | 23% | 5% | 17%[lower-alpha 327] | 1% |
19% | 2% | 13% | 4% | – | 19% | 21% | 5% | 17%[lower-alpha 328] | 0% | ||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | November 21–27, 2019 | 1,252 (LV) | – | 14% | 1% | 12% | 7% | – | 24% | 22% | 3% | 12%[lower-alpha 329] | 9% |
SurveyUSA | November 20–22, 2019 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 28% | 3% | 8% | 10% | – | 18% | 13% | 5% | 11%[lower-alpha 330] | 5% |
Capitol Weekly | November 1–12, 2019 | 695 (LV) | – | 18% | 1% | 14% | 6% | – | 21% | 27% | 4% | 8%[lower-alpha 331] | 1% |
Public Policy Institute of California |
November 3–12, 2019 | 682 (LV) | – | 24% | 1% | 7% | 8% | – | 17% | 23% | 5% | 6%[lower-alpha 332] | 9% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Change Research | October 15–18, 2019 | 1,631 (LV) | – | 19% | 1% | 9% | 8% | 1% | 24% | 28% | 3% | 6%[lower-alpha 333] | – |
SurveyUSA | October 15–16, 2019 | 553 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 33% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 5%[lower-alpha 334] | 8% |
Capitol Weekly | October 1–14, 2019 | 590 (LV) | – | 21% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 15% | 35% | 3% | 9%[lower-alpha 335] | – |
Public Policy Institute of California |
September 16–25, 2019 | 692 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 21% | 23% | 3% | 7%[lower-alpha 336] | 9% |
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | September 13–18, 2019 | 2,272 | – | 20% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 19% | 29% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 337] | 8% |
Emerson College | September 13–16, 2019 | 424 | ± 4.7% | 26% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 26% | 20% | 7% | 4%[lower-alpha 338] | – |
SurveyUSA | September 13–15, 2019 | 547 | ± 4.8% | 27% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 18% | 16% | 7% | 4%[lower-alpha 339] | 7% |
Change Research/KQED | September 12–15, 2019 | 3,325 | ± 1.7% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 11% | 2% | 23% | 25% | 3% | 5%[lower-alpha 340] | – |
Capitol Weekly | September 1–13, 2019 | 599 | – | 18% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 21% | 29% | 4% | 5%[lower-alpha 341] | – |
Capitol Weekly | September 1–13, 2019 | 5,510 | – | 18% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 2% | 17% | 33% | 3% | 7%[lower-alpha 342] | – |
SurveyUSA | August 1–5, 2019 | 528 | ± 6.3% | 25% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 21% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 343] | 10% |
PPIC | July 14–23, 2019 | 766 | ± 4.4% | 11% | – | 5% | 19% | – | 12% | 15% | – | 14%[lower-alpha 344] | 25% |
YouGov/CBS News | July 9–18, 2019 | 1,514 | ± 2.9% | 24% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 1% | 16% | 19% | 1% | 9%[lower-alpha 345] | – |
Quinnipiac University | July 10–15, 2019 | 519 | ± 5.7% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 18% | 16% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 346] | 10% |
Capitol Weekly | July 1–15, 2019 | 816 | – | 20% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 2% | 16% | 25% | 1% | 7%[lower-alpha 347] | – |
Change Research | July 9–11, 2019 | 1,609 | ± 2.5% | 17% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 2% | 20% | 22% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 348] | – |
Swalwell withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly[23] | June 1–30, 2019 | 813 | – | 23% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 2% | 19% | 23% | 2% | 9%[lower-alpha 349] | – |
UC Berkeley | June 4–10, 2019 | 2,131 | ± 3.0% | 22% | 1% | 10% | 13% | 3% | 17% | 18% | 1% | 3%[lower-alpha 350] | 11% |
Capitol Weekly[23] | May 1–31, 2019 | 1,180 | – | 29% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 22% | 11% | 0% | 6%[lower-alpha 351] | – |
Change Research | May 25–28, 2019 | 1,649 | ± 2.4% | 30% | 1% | 12% | 15% | 3% | 23% | 12% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 352] | – |
Capitol Weekly[23] | April 15–30, 2019 | 1,204 | – | 20% | 2% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 20% | 10% | – | 9%[lower-alpha 353] | – |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | April 6–9, 2019 | 2,003 | ± 2.2% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 10% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 7%[lower-alpha 354] | – |
– | 5% | 11% | 27% | 16% | 28% | 9% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 355] | – | ||||
Swalwell announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University | April 3–8, 2019 | 482 | ± 5.9% | 26% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 1% | 6%[lower-alpha 356] | 13% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Change Research | February 9–11, 2019 | 948 | – | 26% | 3% | 1% | 26% | 8% | 20% | 7% | 0% | 7%[lower-alpha 357] | – |
– | 7% | 2% | 53% | – | – | 23% | 1% | 15%[lower-alpha 358] | – |
Colorado primary
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The Colorado Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Elizabeth Warren |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[lower-alpha 1] |
||||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | Feb 24–Mar 2, 2020 | 29.3% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 1.0% | 22.1% | ||||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | ||||||||||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 3, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 26.8% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 0.5% | 22.4% | ||||
Average | 28.0% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 0.8% | 22.1% | ||||||
Colorado primary results (March 3, 2020) | 37.0% | 24.6% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 1.0% | 12.3% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Colorado Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Michael Bennet |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
John Hickenlooper |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 921 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 20% | 19% | 12% | – | – | 29% | 12% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 359] | – | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | 18% | 16% | 8% | – | – | 32% | 21% | – | 5%[lower-alpha 360] | – | ||
Elucd | Feb 26–Mar 1, 2020 | 561 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | 10% | 9% | 10% | – | – | 34% | 14% | – | 9%[lower-alpha 361] | 14% | ||
Magellan Strategies | Feb 24–25, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | – | 11% | 11% | 12% | – | – | 27% | 15% | – | 9%[lower-alpha 362] | 15% | ||
Data for Progress | Feb 23–25, 2020 | 471 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | 10% | 14% | 14% | – | – | 34% | 20% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 363] | 1% | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang and Bennet withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Aug 16–19, 2019 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 1% | 25% | – | 5% | 13% | – | 26% | 20% | 4% | 8%[lower-alpha 364] | – | ||
Hickenlooper withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling | Jul 12–14, 2019 | 519 (LV) | – | 5% | 22% | – | 7% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 0% | 14%[lower-alpha 365] | – |
Maine primary
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The Maine Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Undecided[lower-alpha 1] | ||
270 to Win | Mar 3, 2020 | Feb 10–Mar 2, 2020 | 28.7% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 1.3% | 17.0% | ||
RealClear Politics | Mar 3, 2020 | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 38.5% | 24.5% | 14.0% | 18.0% | –[lower-alpha 366] | 5.0% | ||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 3, 2020 | until Mar 2, 2020 [lower-alpha 4] | 31.1% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 0.7% | 19.6% | ||
Average | 32.8% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 1.0% | 11.9% | ||||
Maine primary results (March 3, 2020) | 32.4% | 33.4% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 0.9% | 5.9% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Maine Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 209 (LV) | ± 9.0% | 22% | 28% | 10% | – | 27% | 11% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 367] | – | ||||
Change Research | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 507 (LV) | – | 24% | 10% | – | – | 43% | 16% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 368] | – | ||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 385 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 25% | 18% | 1% | – | 34% | 20% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 369] | – | ||||
SocialSphere/Colby College | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 350 (LV) | – | 12% | 14% | 16% | – | 25% | 9% | 2% | 10%[lower-alpha 370] | 12% | ||||
Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Maine People's Resource Center | Oct 14–21, 2019 | 728 (LV) | ± 3.63% | 26.8% | – | 9.1% | 5.0% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 1.7% | 11.4%[lower-alpha 371] | 4.4% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019 | 366 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 19% | – | 9% | 4% | 12% | 31% | 3% | 20%[lower-alpha 372] | –[lower-alpha 373] | ||||
Gravis Marketing | Jun 24, 2019 | 243 | ± 6.3% | 25% | – | 8% | 2% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 15%[lower-alpha 374] | 11% |
Massachusetts primary
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The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Others/ Undecided[lower-alpha 375] |
|
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | Until March 3, 2020 | 22.4% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 1.8% | 26.2% | |
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 3, 2020 [lower-alpha 4] | 24.4% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 0.4% | 21.6% | |
Average | 23.4% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 1.1% | 23.9% | |||
Massachusetts primary results (March 3, 2020) | 26.6% | 21.4% | 33.4% | 11.7% | 0.7% | 6.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Massachusetts Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Deval Patrick |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |
Klobuchar withdraws from the race; endorses Biden | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 917 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | 18% | – | 11% | – | 5% | – | – | 27% | 15% | 8%[lower-alpha 376] | – | |
Buttigieg withdraws from the race; endorses Biden | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 26% | 15% | – | 2% | – | 1% | – | – | 26% | 28% | 2%[lower-alpha 377] | – | |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 26–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | - | 11.0% | 13.0% | – | 12.4% | – | 5.0% | – | – | 24.2% | 22.2% | 3.6%[lower-alpha 378] | 8.6% | |
WBUR/MassINC | Feb 23-26, 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 9% | 13% | - | 14% | - | 6% | - | - | 25% | 17% | 9%[lower-alpha 379] | 8% | |
UMass Amherst | Feb 18-24, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 12% | 9% | - | 14% | - | 7% | - | - | 25% | 23% | 8%[lower-alpha 380] | 3% | |
Falchuk & DiNatale | Feb 16-18, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 13% | 13% | – | 13% | – | 14% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 5%[lower-alpha 381] | 8% | |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12-19, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 14% | 12% | – | 15% | – | 9% | – | – | 21% | 20% | 6%[lower-alpha 382] | 4% | |
Patrick withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Falchuk & DiNatale | Jan 27-30, 2020 | 334 (LV) | – | 16% | 8% | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 12% | 23% | 7%[lower-alpha 383] | – | |
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Patrick announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
WBUR | Oct 16–20, 2019 | 456 | ± 4.6% | 18% | – | 0% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | – | 13% | 33% | 7%[lower-alpha 384] | 15% | |
Suffolk University | Sep 3–5, 2019 | 500 | - | 26% | – | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 8% | 24% | 6%[lower-alpha 385] | 25% | |
Moulton withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Suffolk University | Jun 5–9, 2019 | 370 | ± 5.1% | 22% | – | 1% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 1% | – | 6% | 10% | 5%[lower-alpha 386] | 42% | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Moulton announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 371 | ± 5.0% | 23% | – | 2% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 8% | – | 26% | 14% | 8%[lower-alpha 387] | – | |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Sanders announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Booker announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Nov 7–14, 2018 | 655 | – | 19% | – | 3% | – | 6% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 1%[lower-alpha 388] | 27% |
Hypothetical polling
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Minnesota primary
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The Minnesota Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[lower-alpha 1] |
|||
270 to Win | Mar 2, 2020 | Feb 20–22, 2020 | 28.0% | 22.0% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 19.5% | |||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 2, 2020 | until Mar 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 24.4% | 26.2% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 17.2% | |||
Average | 26.2% | 24.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 18.3% | |||||
Minnesota Primary results (March 3, 2020) | 5.6% | 29.9% | 15.4% | 38.6% | 8.3% | 0.3% | 1.8% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Minnesota Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,472 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 20% | 14% | 4% | – | 21% | – | 27% | 8% | 6%[lower-alpha 389] | – | |||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.84% | 27% | 16% | – | – | 2% | – | 32% | 21% | 1%[lower-alpha 390] | – | |||
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune/ MPR News Minnesota |
Feb 17–20, 2020 | 500(LV) | ± 4.5% | 8% | 3% | 3% | – | 29% | – | 23% | 11% | 2%[lower-alpha 391] | 21% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12–19, 2020 | 450(LV) | ± 6.4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | – | 27% | – | 21% | 16% | 4%[lower-alpha 392] | 4% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23–Oct 15, 2019 | 249 | – | 14% | – | 7% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 13% | 25% | 5%[lower-alpha 393] | 21% | |||
Change Research | Jun 8–12, 2019 | 772 | ± 3.7% | 20% | – | 11% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 19% | 21% | 5%[lower-alpha 394] | – |
North Carolina primary
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The North Carolina Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date Updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 21–March 2, 2020 | 27.8% | 25.8% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 0.8% | 17.0% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | February 27–March 2, 2020 | 36.7% | 23.3% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 1.0% | 14.0% | |||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 34.5% | 22.1% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 0.2% | 17.5% | |||
Average | 33.0% | 23.7% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 0.7% | 16.2% | |||||
North Carolina primary results (March 3, 2020) | 43.0% | 24.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 0.5% | 8.9% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 North Carolina Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Spry Strategies/Civitas | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 11% | – | 3% | – | 18% | 7% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 395] | 11% | |||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,209 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 18% | – | 4% | – | 23% | 10% | – | 10%[lower-alpha 396] | – | |||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 334 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 36% | 18% | – | 3% | – | 27% | 14% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 397] | – | |||
Elucd | Feb 26–Mar 1, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 25% | 15% | – | 6% | – | 26% | 12% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 398] | 10% | |||
East Carolina University | Feb 27–28, 2020 | 499 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 29% | 14% | – | 4% | – | 25% | 11% | – | 9%[lower-alpha 399] | 9% | |||
Spry Strategies/Civitas | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 27% | 16% | – | 4% | – | 19% | 11% | – | 10%[lower-alpha 400] | 15% | |||
Marist College | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 568 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 24% | 15% | – | 7% | – | 26% | 11% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 401] | 7% | |||
974 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 22% | 15% | – | 7% | – | 27% | 11% | – | 9%[lower-alpha 402] | 8% | |||||
High Point University | Feb 21–28, 2020 | 274 (LV) | – | 14% | 20% | – | 8% | – | 28% | 12% | – | 13%[lower-alpha 403] | 7% | |||
472 (RV) | – | 14% | 18% | – | 8% | – | 31% | 11% | – | 11%[lower-alpha 404] | 7% | |||||
Data for Progress | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 536 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 25% | 18% | – | 10% | – | 27% | 11% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 405] | – | |||
Public Policy Polling | Feb 23–24, 2020 | 852 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 23% | 17% | – | 9% | – | 20% | 11% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 406] | 11%[lower-alpha 407] | |||
Spry Strategies/Civitas | Feb 21–23, 2020 | 561 (LV) | ± 3.75% | 20% | 20% | – | 3% | – | 20% | 9% | – | 13%[lower-alpha 408] | 14% | |||
Meredith College | Feb 16–24, 2020 | 430 (LV) | – | 17.9% | 17.0% | 0.7% | 10.0% | – | 19.5% | 10.9% | – | 7.6%[lower-alpha 409] | 16.5%[lower-alpha 410] | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 16% | 19% | – | 10% | – | 23% | 13% | – | 13%[lower-alpha 411] | 6% | |||
SurveyUSA/WRAL News | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 698 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 20% | 22% | – | 11% | – | 22% | 8% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 412] | 11% | |||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
High Point University | Jan 31–Feb 6, 2020 | 225 (LV) | – | 24% | 16% | 0% | 8% | – | 20% | 11% | 3% | 9%[lower-alpha 413] | 8% | |||
399 (RV) | – | 19% | 13% | 1% | 6% | – | 25% | 12% | 4% | 8%[lower-alpha 414] | 12% | |||||
Public Policy Polling | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 604 (LV) | – | 25% | 14% | – | 9% | – | 16% | 12% | 5% | 7%[lower-alpha 415] | 13%[lower-alpha 416] | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling | Jan 10–12, 2020 | 509 (LV) | – | 31% | 8% | 1% | 6% | – | 18% | 15% | 5% | 6%[lower-alpha 417] | 11%[lower-alpha 418] | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg launches his campaign | ||||||||||||||||
Fox News | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 669 | ± 3.5% | 37% | – | 2% | 6% | 4% | 14% | 15% | 2% | 8%[lower-alpha 419] | 10% | |||
HighPoint University | Nov 1–7, 2019 | 347[lower-alpha 420] | ± 6.4% | 33% | – | 2% | 4% | 5% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 6%[lower-alpha 421] | 10% | |||
1,049[lower-alpha 422] | ± 3.6% | 18% | – | 2% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 7%[lower-alpha 423] | 23% | |||||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 324 | – | 29% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 15% | 0% | 3%[lower-alpha 424] | 32% | |||
High Point University | Sep 13–19, 2019 | 348 (A) | – | 31% | – | 4% | 3% | 6% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 3%[lower-alpha 425] | 9% | |||
SurveyUSA/Civitas | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 534 | ± 6.1% | 36% | – | 1% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 426] | 17% | |||
Emerson College | May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 | 397 | ± 4.9% | 39% | – | 1% | 8% | 5% | 22% | 15% | 1% | 7%[lower-alpha 427] | – |
Oklahoma primary
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The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 17–March 2, 2020 | 28.0% | 23.7% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 1.5% | 18.5% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 30.6% | 22.1% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 1.1% | 18.9% | |||
Average | 29.3% | 22.9% | 14.85% | 12.95% | 1.3% | 18.7% | |||||
Oklahoma primary results (March 3, 2020) | 38.7% | 25.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 1.7% | 6.9% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Oklahoma Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 472 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 38% | 11% | 1% | – | 1% | 26% | 13% | 9%[lower-alpha 428] | – | ||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 35% | 19% | – | – | – | 28% | 16% | 2%[lower-alpha 429] | – | ||||
SoonerPoll | Feb 17–21, 2020 | 409 | 4.84% | 21% | 20% | 10% | – | 7% | 13% | 9% | 2%[lower-alpha 430] | 19% | ||||
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associated | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 242 | – | 11% | 18% | 9% | – | 7% | 17% | 8% | 3%[lower-alpha 431] | 8% | ||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
SoonerPoll | Jul 17–27, 2019 | 152 | – | 26% | – | 6% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 11%[lower-alpha 432] | 34% |
Tennessee primary
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The Tennessee Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 28–March 2, 2020 | 31.0% | 27.0% | 18.5% | 12.0% | 0.5% | 11.0% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 29.0% | 24.7% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 0.2% | 18.1% | |||
Average | 30.0% | 25.85% | 17.1% | 12.15% | 0.35% | 14.55% | |||||
Tennessee primary results (March 3, 2020) | 41.7% | 25.0% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 0.4% | 7.0% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Tennessee Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,527 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 28% | 17% | 8% | – | 27% | 9% | 11%[lower-alpha 433] | – | |||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 368 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 34% | 20% | 2% | – | 27% | 15% | 3%[lower-alpha 434] | – | |||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 128 | ± 11.2% | 33% | – | 6% | 12% | 13% | 18% | 11%[lower-alpha 435] | – |
Texas primary
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The Texas Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|
270 to Win | Mar 2, 2020 | Feb 17-Mar 1, 2020 | 30.2% | 25.6% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 1.0% | 12.8% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 2, 2020 | Feb 27-Mar 1, 2020 | 29.5% | 28.0% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 8.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020 [lower-alpha 4] | 28.2% | 25.5% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 0.4% | 16.1% | |
Average | 29.0% | 26.5% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 0.9% | 12.6% | |||
Texas primary results (March 3, 2020) | 30.0% | 34.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 0.4% | 9.3% |
Polling from January 1, 2020 to March 3, 2020 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,378 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 27% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 28% | 12% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 436] | – | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 30% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 28% | 15% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 437] | – | ||
Emerson College/Nexstar | Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 26% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 31% | 14% | – | 5%[lower-alpha 438] | – | ||
Elucd | Feb 26-Mar 1, 2020 | 833 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 31% | 13% | – | – | 11% | ||
AtlasIntel | Feb 24-Mar 2, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 25% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 35% | 9% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 439] | 4% | ||
YouGov/CBS News | Feb 27–29, 2020 | 635 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 30% | 17% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 440] | – | ||
Marist College | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 556 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 34% | 10% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 441] | 9% | ||
1,050 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 18% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 35% | 8% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 442] | 9% | ||||
Data for Progress | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 13% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 443] | – | ||
SSRS/CNN | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 387 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 20% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 29% | 15% | – | 0% | 5%[lower-alpha 444] | ||
Latino Decisions/Univision/ University of Houston |
Feb 21–26, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 20% | 20% | 6% | 2% | 26% | 11% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 445] | 6% | ||
University of Texas at Tyler | Feb 17–26, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 19% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 29% | 10% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 446] | 5% | ||
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas | Feb 24–25, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | –[lower-alpha 447] | 11% | 7% | 25% | 17% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 448] | 5%[lower-alpha 449] | ||
24% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 24% | 14% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 450] | 5%[lower-alpha 451] | ||||||
Nevada caucuses | ||||||||||||||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 20% | 18% | 7% | 9% | 23% | 14% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 452] | 3% | ||
YouGov/University of Houston | Feb 6-18, 2020 | 1,352 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 20% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 20% | 17% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 453] | 5% | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune | Jan 31-Feb 9, 2020 | 575 (LV) | ± 4.09% | 22% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 24% | 15% | 6% | 13%[lower-alpha 454] | – | ||
University of Texas At Tyler/Dallas News | Jan 21–30, 2020 | 372 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 34% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 17% | 3% | 5%[lower-alpha 455] | – | ||
Data for Progress[10][upper-alpha 1] | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 26% | 7% | 10% | 4% | 20% | 14% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 456] | 12% | ||
Texas Lyceum | Jan 10–19, 2020 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.89% | 28% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 26% | 13% | 0% | 5%[lower-alpha 457] | 7% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Castro withdraws from the race |
Polling before January 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Julian Castro |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 327 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 35% | 2% | 9% | 3% | – | 1% | – | 15% | 13% | 3% | 11%[lower-alpha 458] | 9% | |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of Texas at Tyler | Nov 5–14, 2019 | 427 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 28% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 2% | – | 18% | 19% | 2% | 4%[lower-alpha 459] | – | |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune |
Oct 18–27, 2019 | 541 | ± 4.2% | 23% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 14% | 12% | 18% | 4% | 4%[lower-alpha 460] | 5% | |
University of Texas at Tyler | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 474 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 28% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 461] | – | |
Texas Tribune | Aug 29–Sep 15, 2019 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 26% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 14% | 12% | 18% | 3% | 4%[lower-alpha 462] | 6% | |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 4–9, 2019 | 456 | ± 5.5% | 28% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 1 | 1%[lower-alpha 463] | 12% | |
Univision/UH | Aug 31– Sep 6, 2019 | 1004 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 20% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 5% | – | 19% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 4%[lower-alpha 464] | 10% | |
Ragnar Research | Sep 3–5, 2019 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 23% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 7% | – | 12% | 12% | 15% | –[lower-alpha 465] | 7%[lower-alpha 466] | 18% | |
Climate Nexus | Aug 20–25, 2019 | 639 | – | 24% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 7% | – | 21% | 12% | 12% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 467] | 9% | |
TEXAS LYCEUM | Aug 16–25, 2019 | 358 | ± 5.2% | 24% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 2% | 8%[lower-alpha 468] | 2% | |
Emerson College | Aug 1–3, 2019 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 28% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 5% | <1% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 3% | 5%[lower-alpha 469] | – | |
YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 910 | ± 4.2% | 27% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 1% | 17% | 12% | 16% | 1% | 6%[lower-alpha 470] | – | |
YouGov/University of Texas | May 31 – Jun 9, 2019 | 483 | ± 5.0% | 23% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 0% | 8%[lower-alpha 471] | 7% | |
Quinnipiac University | May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 | 407 | ± 5.8% | 30% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | <1% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 472] | 8% | |
Change Research | May 30 – Jun 3, 2019 | 1,218 | ± 2.8% | 24% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 27% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 473] | – | |
Emerson College | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 342 | ± 5.3% | 23% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 22% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 11%[lower-alpha 474] | – | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Change Research | Apr 18–22, 2019 | 1,578 | ± 2.5% | 20% | 2% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 25% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 475] | – | |
– | 4% | 21% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 33% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 0%[lower-alpha 476] | – |
Utah primary
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The Utah Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | Feb 22–March 2, 2020 | 26.3% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 1.5% | 20.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | Until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 26.3% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 1.3% | 20.9% | |
Average | 26.3% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 1.4% | 20.5% | |||
Utah primary results (March 3, 2020) | 36.1% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 0.8% | 13.0% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Utah Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 143 (LV) | ± 9.0% | 27% | 29% | 7% | 6% | 22% | 6% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 477] | – | ||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 622 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 23% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 29% | 19% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 478] | – | ||||
HarrisX/University of Utah/Deseret News | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 298 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 6% | 19% | 18% | 4% | 28% | 15% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 479] | 8% | ||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Salt Lake Tribune/Suffolk | Jan 18–22, 2020 | 132 (LV) | ± 8.5% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 27% | 14% | 5% | 4%[lower-alpha 480] | 21% |
Vermont primary
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The Vermont Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 4–March 2, 2020 | 52.0% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 1.0% | 12.0% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 53.0% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 0.9% | 12.6% | |||
Average | 52.5% | 14.1% | 10.55% | 9.6% | 0.95% | 12.3% | |||||
Vermont primary results (March 3, 2020) | 50.6% | 12.5% | 21.9% | 9.4% | 0.8% | 4.8% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Vermont Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided |
|||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 147 (LV) | ± 11.0% | 11% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 48% | 17% | 2%[lower-alpha 481] | – | |||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 236 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 16% | 8% | 1% | – | 57% | 16% | 2%[lower-alpha 482] | – | |||||
Vermont Public Radio | Feb 4–10, 2020 | 332 | ± 4.0% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 51% | 13% | 2%[lower-alpha 483] | 7% |
Virginia primary
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The Virginia Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates Polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Michael Bloomberg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[lower-alpha 1] |
||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | Until March 3, 2020 | 28.8% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 0.7% | 23.9%[lower-alpha 484] | ||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Until March 3, 2020 | 44.0% | 24.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 2.5% | ||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 3, 2020 | until Mar 3, 2020 [lower-alpha 4] | 39.9% | 21.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 0.5% | 13.1% | ||
Average | 37.6% | 21.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 0.4% | 13.2% | ||||
Virginia primary results (March 3, 2020) | 53.3% | 23.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Virginia Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided |
||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,435 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 20% | – | 4% | – | 3% | – | 20% | 11% | 6%[lower-alpha 485] | – | ||
AtlasIntel | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 545 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 11% | – | 1% | – | 1% | – | 28% | 10% | 3%[lower-alpha 486] | 4% | ||
Change Research | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 510 (LV) | – | 45% | 10% | – | – | – | 4% | – | 25% | 13% | 3%[lower-alpha 487] | – | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 327 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 39% | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 17% | 1%[lower-alpha 488] | – | ||
Data for Progress | Feb 23 – 25, 2020 | 499 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 19% | 17% | – | 12% | – | 5% | – | 28% | 17% | 2%[lower-alpha 489] | – | ||
Monmouth University | Feb 13 – 16, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 18% | 22% | – | 11% | – | 9% | – | 22% | 5% | 1%[lower-alpha 490] | 11% | ||
Christopher Newport University | Feb 3 – 23, 2020 | 561 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 13% | – | 8% | – | 5% | – | 17% | 8% | 6%[lower-alpha 491] | 16%[lower-alpha 492] | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
University of Mary Washington | Sep 3 – 15, 2019 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 23% | – | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 9% | 46%[lower-alpha 493] | – | ||
Hampton University | May 29 – Jun 6, 2019 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | – | 2% | 11% | 7% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 13% | 10%[lower-alpha 494] | – | ||
Change Research | Apr 26–30, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | – | 3% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 10% | 5%[lower-alpha 495] | – |
Idaho primary
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The Idaho Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Swayable | Mar 8–9, 2020 | 833 (LV) | ± 7% | 52% | 2% | 37% | 9% | – |
Data for Progress | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 329 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 51% | 2% | 47% | – | – |
Michigan primary
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The Michigan Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 496] |
|
270 to Win | Mar 10, 2020 | Mar 4–9, 2020 | 57.0% | 32.3% | 1.3% | 9.4% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 10, 2020 | Mar 4–9, 2020 | 55.7% | 33.3% | 1.3% | 9.7% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 10, 2020 | until Mar 9, 2020[lower-alpha 497] | 55.3% | 31.9% | 1.2% | 11.6% | |
Average | 56.0% | 32.5% | 1.3% | 10.2% | |||
Michigan primary results (March 10, 2020) | 52.9% | 36.4% | 0.6% | 10.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Michigan Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |
Swayable | Mar 9, 2020 | 3,126 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | 10%[lower-alpha 498] | – | |
AtlasIntel | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 528 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 3% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | 1% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 499] | 5% | |
Data for Progress | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 320 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | 2%[lower-alpha 500] | – | |
Mitchell Research & Communications | Mar 8, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 1% | – | 1% | – | 1% | – | 33% | 3% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 501] | 5% | |
Target Insyght | Mar 8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 65% | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | 24% | 3% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 502] | 1% | |
Concord Public Opinion Partners/ The Welcome Party |
Mar 7–8, 2020 | 305 (LV) | – | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | 1%[lower-alpha 503] | 22% | |
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)[lower-alpha 504] | ± 5.8% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | |
Monmouth University | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 411 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 51% | 3% | – | <1% | – | <1% | – | 36% | 1% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 505] | 2% | |
ROI Rocket | Mar 4–8, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | |
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | 9%[lower-alpha 506] | 13%[lower-alpha 507] | |
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 11% | – | 6% | – | 3% | – | 23% | 7% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 508] | 16% | |
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 662 (LV) | – | 16% | 13% | – | 11% | – | 8% | – | 25% | 13% | – | – | 14%[lower-alpha 509] | |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University |
Jan 8–20, 2020 | 477 (RV) | – | 27% | 9.1% | – | 6.3% | – | 1.9% | – | 21.6% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 5.3%[lower-alpha 510] | 10.6% | |
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 34% | – | 3% | 8% | 3% | 0% | – | 28% | 19% | 2% | 3%[lower-alpha 511] | – | |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 203 | – | 30% | – | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 512] | 23% | |
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 208 (LV) | – | 19% | – | 1% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 15% | 25% | 1% | 0%[lower-alpha 513] | 27% | |
Denno Research | Sep 21–24, 2019 | 217 | – | 27% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 1% | 4%[lower-alpha 514] | 23%[lower-alpha 515] | |
Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 324 | – | 35% | – | 2% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 14% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 516] | 13%[lower-alpha 517] | |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 268 | ± 6.0% | 27% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 518] | – | |
Denno Research | May 8–10, 2019 | 235 | – | 37% | – | 3% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 9% | 0% | 4%[lower-alpha 519] | 23% | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 317 | ± 5.5% | 40% | – | 3% | 0% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 23% | 11% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 520] | – |
Mississippi primary
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The Mississippi Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|
270toWin | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 72.5% | 25.0% | 0.5% | 2.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight | March 10, 2020 | until March 9, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 70.7% | 23.4% | 0.4% | 5.5% | |
Average | 71.6% | 24.2% | 0.5% | 3.7% | |||
Mississippi primary results (March 10, 2020) | 81.1% | 14.8% | 0.4% | 3.7% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Mississippi Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||||
Swayable | Mar 8–9, 2020 | 1,247 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 68% | – | – | – | 28% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 521] | – | |||||
Data for Progress | Mar 4–7, 2020 | 340 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 77% | – | – | – | 22% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 522] | – | |||||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 282 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 7% | 5%[lower-alpha 523] | 3% | |||||
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College | Jun 20–21, 2019 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6%[lower-alpha 524] | 21% |
Missouri primary
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The Missouri Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
270 to Win | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 57.6% | 34.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% |
RealClear Politics | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 61.0% | 30.7% | 2.5% | 5.8% |
FiveThirtyEight | March 10, 2020 | until March 9, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 60.3% | 32.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% |
Average | 59.6% | 32.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | ||
Missouri primary results (March 10, 2020) | 60.1% | 34.6% | 0.7% | 4.6% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Missouri Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
Swayable | Mar 9, 2020 | 2,037 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | – | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 525] | – | |||
Øptimus | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 402 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 68% | – | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 526] | – | |||
Data for Progress | Mar 4–7, 2020 | 348 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 527] | – | |||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 10%[lower-alpha 528] | 6% | |||
Emerson Polling/Nexstar | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 529] | <6% | |||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Americana Analytics | Feb 20–21, 2020 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 2.83% | 22% | 17% | 11% | – | 9% | – | 11% | 10% | 1%[lower-alpha 530] | 17% | |||
Remington Research Group | Jan 22–23, 2020 | 1,460 (LV) | – | 39% | 14% | 6% | – | 8% | – | 7% | 9% | 3%[lower-alpha 531] | 14% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Show Me Victories | Sept 13–16, 2019 | 400 | ± 5% | 34% | – | 10% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 8%[lower-alpha 532] | – | |||
Remington Research Group | Jul 10–11, 2019 | 1,122 | – | 43% | – | 5% | 13% | – | 1% | 4% | 15% | – | 19% |
North Dakota caucus
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The North Dakota Democratic caucus is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Swayable | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 383 (LV) | ± 9% | 65% | 0% | 31% | 4% | – |
Washington primary
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The Washington Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[lower-alpha 533] |
|
270 to Win | Mar 10, 2020 | Feb 15 – Mar 9, 2020 | 33.5% | 34.0% | 1.3% | 34.7% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 9, 2020 | No averages at this time | |||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 10, 2020 | until Mar 9, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 39.8% | 37.1% | 1.4% | 21.7% | |
Average | 36.65% | 36.55% | 1.35% | 28.2% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Washington Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Jay Inslee |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
Swayable | Mar 9, 2020 | 1,840 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | 25%[lower-alpha 534] | – | ||
Data for Progress | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 497 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 6% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 535] | – | ||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Survey USA/KING-TV | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | 10% | – | 13%[lower-alpha 536] | 5% | ||
Data for Progress | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 737 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 5%[lower-alpha 537] | – | 3%[lower-alpha 538] | – | ||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Elway Research/Cascade Public Media | Feb 15–18, 2020 | 404 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 10% | 15% | 9% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 11% | 0% | 2%[lower-alpha 539] | 22% | ||
Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Survey USA/KING-TV | Jan 26–28, 2020 | 536 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 21% | 12% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 540] | 7% | ||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Inslee withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 | 1,265 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 19% | – | 5% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 11%[lower-alpha 541] | 16% |
Arizona primary
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The Arizona Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
270 to Win | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 3–16, 2020 | 50.6% | 29.4% | 1.0% | 19.0% |
RealClear Politics | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 6–15, 2020 | 51.7% | 33.7% | 1.0% | 13.6% |
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 51.6% | 26.9% | 1.1% | 20.4% |
Average | 51.3% | 30.0% | 1.0% | 17.7% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Arizona Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||||
Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 1,167 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | 19%[lower-alpha 542] | – | ||||
Marist/NBC News | Mar 10–15, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 53% | – | – | – | 36% | – | – | 8%[lower-alpha 543] | 3% | ||||
913 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | 9%[lower-alpha 544] | 5% | ||||||
Monmouth University | Mar 11–14, 2020 | 373 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 5% | 3% | – | 31% | 3% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 545] | 5% | ||||
Latino Decisions/Univision/ Arizona State University |
Mar 6–11, 2020 | 541 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 57%[lower-alpha 546] | – | – | – | 38%[lower-alpha 546] | – | – | – | 5%[lower-alpha 546] | ||||
51% | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | 6%[lower-alpha 547] | 8% | ||||||||
Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
OH Predictive Insights | Mar 3–4, 2020 | 398 (LV) | ± 4.91% | 45% | 12% | – | – | 17% | 13% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 548] | 9% | ||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
OH Predictive Insights | Oct 31 – Nov 8, 2019 | 260 (LV) | ± 6.08% | 29% | – | 9% | 5% | 16% | 18% | 4% | 19%[lower-alpha 549] | – | ||||
Emerson Polling | Oct 25–28, 2019 | 339 | ± 5.2% | 28% | – | 12% | 4% | 21% | 21% | 5% | 7%[lower-alpha 550] | – | ||||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 209 | – | 24% | – | 5% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 551] | 31% | ||||
Change Research | Sep 27–28, 2019 | 396 (LV) | – | 15% | – | 13% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 8% | 7%[lower-alpha 552] | – | ||||
Bendixen&Amandi | Sep 9–12, 2019 | 250 | ± 4.3% | 29% | – | 5% | 4% | 18% | 24% | 2% | 8%[lower-alpha 553] | 10% | ||||
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 197 | ± 7.0% | 35% | – | 6% | 4% | 16% | 10% | 0% | 11%[lower-alpha 554] | – |
Florida primary
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The Florida Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|
270 to Win | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 5–16, 2020 | 65.5% | 23.0% | 1.8% | 9.7% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 64.7% | 25.7% | 2.0% | 7.6% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020 [lower-alpha 4] | 63.8% | 24.7% | 1.4% | 10.1% | |
Average | 64.7% | 24.5% | 1.7% | 9.1% |
Polling from February 12, 2020 to March 17, 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided |
||
Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 4,035 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 64% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 12%[lower-alpha 555] | – | ||
AtlasIntel | Mar 14–16, 2020 | 532 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 67% | – | – | – | 27% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 556] | 2% | ||
Point Blank Political | Mar 11–13, 2020 | 3,165 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61%[lower-alpha 546] | – | – | – | 32%[lower-alpha 546] | – | – | 7% | ||
57% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 29% | 4% | 1%[lower-alpha 557] | 5% | ||||||
Emerson College/Nexstar | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 434 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 65% | – | – | – | 27% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 558] | 6% | ||
Gravis Marketing | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 66% | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 9% | ||
ROI Rocket | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 877 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 67% | – | – | – | 27% | – | –[lower-alpha 559] | –[lower-alpha 559] | ||
Latino Decisions/Univision | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 531 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 67%[lower-alpha 546] | – | – | – | 32%[lower-alpha 546] | – | – | 2% | ||
63% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 560] | 4% | ||||||
University of North Florida | Mar 5–10, 2020 | 1,502 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 66% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 561] | 7% | ||
St Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com | Mar 6–8, 2020 | 2,480 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 69% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 14% | 1% | 0%[lower-alpha 562] | 9% | ||
Point Blank Political | Mar 6–8, 2020 | 3,376 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61%[lower-alpha 546] | – | – | – | 32%[lower-alpha 546] | – | – | 7% | ||
55% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 29% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 563] | 7% | ||||||
Florida Atlantic University | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 399 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 564] | 10% | ||
Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
St Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com | Mar 4, 2020 | 1,882 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 5% | 0%[lower-alpha 565] | 6% | ||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
St Pete Polls | Feb 25–26, 2020 | 2,788 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 34% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 1%[lower-alpha 566] | 10% | ||
Saint Leo University | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 342 (LV) | – | 25% | 25% | 11% | 5% | 17% | 7% | 4%[lower-alpha 567] | 7% | ||
Florida Southern College | Feb 17–21, 2020 | 313 (LV) | ± 5.54% | 22% | 23% | 9% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 1%[lower-alpha 568] | 9% | ||
St Pete Polls | Feb 18–19, 2020 | 2,412 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 27% | 32% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 2%[lower-alpha 569] | 10% | ||
Tel Opinion Research/Politico/ Let’s Preserve the American Dream |
Feb 13–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 20% | 26% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 5%[lower-alpha 570] | 16% | ||
St Pete Polls | Feb 12–13, 2020 | 3,047 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 26% | 27% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 1%[lower-alpha 571] | 11% |
Polling before February 11, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | Jan 27–28, 2020 | 2,590 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 41% | 17% | – | 6% | – | 5% | – | 9% | 7% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 572] | 10% |
Tel Opinion Research/Let’s Preserve the American Dream/Politico | Jan 21–23, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41%[lower-alpha 573] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21% | 18% | – | – | 20% |
29% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 4% | – | 17% | 12% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 574] | 28% | ||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Florida Atlantic University | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 3% | – | 6% | – | 16% | 10% | 5% | 5%[lower-alpha 575] | 4%[lower-alpha 576] |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Siena College/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | – | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 1%[lower-alpha 577] | 29% |
Tel Opinion Research | Sep 15–18, 2019 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.54% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 26% | – | – | 18% |
37% | – | – | 5% | 6% | – | – | 9% | 18% | 2% | – | 20% | ||||
24% | – | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 11% | 1% | 3%[lower-alpha 578] | 49% | ||||
Florida Atlantic University | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 34% | – | 1% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 24% | 2% | 8%[lower-alpha 579] | 6% |
St. Pete Polls | Jun 22–23, 2019 | 2,022 | ± 2.2% | 47% | – | 3% | 8% | 6% | – | 2% | 8% | 12% | – | 7% | 6% |
Change Research | Jun 16–17, 2019 | 1,130 | ± 2.9% | 33% | – | 2% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 20% | 15% | 3% | 2%[lower-alpha 580] | – |
Quinnipiac University | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 417 | ± 5.8% | 41% | – | 1% | 8% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 12% | <1% | 1%[lower-alpha 581] | 12% |
Climate Nexus | Jun 7–11, 2019 | 676 | ± 2.6% | 32% | – | 2% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 16% | 10% | 2% | 9%[lower-alpha 582] | 14% |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 228 | ± 6.5% | 34% | – | 2% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 1% | 6%[lower-alpha 583] | – |
Florida Atlantic University | May 16–19, 2019 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 39% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 1% | 14%[lower-alpha 584] | – |
Tel Opinion Research* | May 8, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 39% | – | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 5% | – | – | 28% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Tel Opinion Research* | Mar 21, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 37% | – | 2% | – | 4% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 6% | – | – | 31% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Bendixen & Amandi International | Mar 1–4, 2019 | 300 | – | 26% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 0%[lower-alpha 585] | 46% |
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Booker announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 4% | – | – | 11% | 7% | – | 34%[lower-alpha 586] | 17% |
Illinois primary
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The Illinois Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[lower-alpha 1] |
|||||
270toWin | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 7–16, 2020 | 58.6% | 30.2% | 2.0% | 9.2% | |||||
RealClear Politics | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 60.0% | 30.5% | –[lower-alpha 587] | 9.5% | |||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 61.5% | 26.6% | 1.5% | 10.4% | |||||
Average | 60.0% | 29.1% | 1.8% | 9.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Illinois Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||||
Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 1,861 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 63% | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 10%[lower-alpha 588] | – | ||||
Emerson College/Nexstar | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 567 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 589] | 6% | ||||
Gravis Marketing | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 63% | – | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 12% | ||||
ROI Rocket | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 960 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | –[lower-alpha 559] | –[lower-alpha 559] | ||||
Victory Research | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.83% | 55% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 1%[lower-alpha 590] | 8% | ||||
Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club | Mar 8, 2020 | 457(LV) | ± 4.58% | 64% | – | – | – | – | 32% | – | 4%[lower-alpha 591] | –[lower-alpha 592] | ||||
55% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 593] | 16% | ||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Victory Research | Feb 17–19, 2020 | 1,200(LV) | ± 2.83% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | – | 6.3% | 25.6% | 6.6% | 4.4%[lower-alpha 594] | 10.9% | ||||
Southern Illinois University | Feb 10–17, 2020 | 475 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 14% | 17% | 13% | – | 8% | 22% | 6% | 2%[lower-alpha 595] | 17% | ||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Victory Research | Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2019 | 1,500 (RV) | ±2.83% | 23.2% | 3.6% | 15.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 12.3%[lower-alpha 596] | 6.9% | ||||
Victory Research | Jul 26–29, 2019 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 36.1% | – | 9.3% | 8.6% | 1.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.2%[lower-alpha 597] | 7.3% |
Wisconsin primary
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The Wisconsin Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on April 7, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
||||||
270 to Win | April 5, 2020 | March 6–29, 2020 | 55.3% | 37.0% | 7.7% | ||||||
RealClear Politics | April 5, 2020 | March 6–29, 2020 | 55.3% | 37.0% | 7.7% | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight | April 5, 2020 | until March 29, 2020 [lower-alpha 4] | 51.6% | 36.0% | 12.4% | ||||||
Average | 54.1% | 36.7% | 9.2% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Wisconsin Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided |
||
Marquette University Law School[11] | Mar 24–29, 2020 | 394 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | 4%[lower-alpha 598] | ||
Public Policy Polling | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 898(LV) | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | – | 3%[lower-alpha 599] | 3% | ||
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)[lower-alpha 504] | ± 6.4% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | ||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School | Feb 19–23, 2020 | 490 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 15% | 17% | – | 13% | – | 11% | 29% | 9% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 600] | 4% | ||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 428 (LV) | – | 13% | 13% | – | 12% | – | 9% | 30% | 12% | – | – | 11%[lower-alpha 601] | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 464 (RV) | – | 21.8% | 8.4% | – | 7.7% | – | 3% | 28.4% | 14.7% | 2.2% | 2.5%[lower-alpha 602] | 10.9% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School[12] | Jan 8–12, 2020 | 358 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 23% | 6% | 1% | 15% | – | 4% | 19% | 14% | 6% | 3%[lower-alpha 603] | 9% | ||
Fox News | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 23% | 7% | 3% | 9% | – | 4% | 21% | 13% | 3% | 6%[lower-alpha 604] | 10% | ||
Marquette University Law School[13] | Dec 3–8, 2019 | 358 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 23% | 3% | 4% | 15% | – | 3% | 19% | 16% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 605] | 11% | ||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School | Nov 13–17, 2019 | 801 (RV) | – | 30% | – | 3% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 2% | 6%[lower-alpha 606] | 10% | ||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 292 | – | 23% | – | 1% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 607] | 19% | ||
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 274 (LV) | – | 17% | – | 2% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 608] | 35% | ||
Fox News | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 17% | 22% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 609] | 9% | ||
Marquette University Law School | Aug 25–29, 2019 | 444 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 28% | – | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 20% | 17% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 610] | 13% | ||
Change Research | Aug 9–11, 2019 | 935 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 20% | – | 1% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 24% | 29% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 611] | – | ||
Change Research | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 1261 (LV) | – | 18% | – | 3% | 15% | 17% | 1% | 19% | 19% | 1% | 6%[lower-alpha 612] | – | ||
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 238 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 0% | 2%[lower-alpha 613] | – | ||
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Apr 15–18, 2019 | 485 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 24% | – | 4% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 11%[lower-alpha 614] | 14% | ||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Mar 15–17, 2019 | 324 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 24% | – | 2% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 39% | 14% | 1% | 10%[lower-alpha 615] | – |
Wyoming caucus
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The Wyoming Democratic caucuses were scheduled to take place on April 4, 2020.[18] However, in person caucuses were cancelled due to the 2020 coronavirus pandemic in the United States, with the entire caucus instead being conducted by mail. The deadline for mail-in ballots to arrive was extended to April 17, 2020.[24] Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Montana State University Billings | Oct 7–16, 2019 | 14 (LV) | – | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 82% | 2% | <1%[lower-alpha 616] | 16% |
Ohio primary
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The Ohio Democratic primary was originally scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18] Due to the 2019-20 coronavirus pandemic, the primary was delayed. Initially, the Governor suggested the primary be held on June 2, 2020,[25] however, further deliberations resulted in the legislature and Governor agreeing on suspending in-person voting, and selecting a mail-in ballot deadline of April 28, 2020.[26]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
|
270 to Win | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.0% | 7.5% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.0% | 7.5% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 16, 2020 | until Mar 13, 2020 [lower-alpha 4] | 58.7% | 32.3% | 9.0% | |
Average | 57.9% | 34.1% | 8.0% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Ohio Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |||
Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 2,027 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 66% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 10%[lower-alpha 617] | – | |||
Marist/NBC News | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 58% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 4%[lower-alpha 618] | 4% | |||
830 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | – | 4%[lower-alpha 619] | 4% | |||||
Emerson College/Nexstar | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 1%[lower-alpha 620] | 7% | |||
ROI Rocket | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 880 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 61% | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | –[lower-alpha 559] | –[lower-alpha 559] | |||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang and Bennet withdraw from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Iowa Caucuses | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University |
Jan 8–20, 2020 | 428 (RV) | – | 32.1% | 10.1% | – | 6.1% | – | 20.8% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 5.7%[lower-alpha 621] | 9.8% | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Williamson withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Castro withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Ryan withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Climate Nexus | Oct 1–7, 2019 | 443 (LV) | – | 32% | – | 3% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 17%[lower-alpha 622] | –[Note 1] | |||
Emerson | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 353 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 29% | – | 0% | 5% | 7% | 27% | 21% | 3% | 5%[lower-alpha 623] | 2% | |||
Quinnipiac | Jul 17–22, 2019 | 556 | ± 5.1% | 31% | – | 1% | 6% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 6%[lower-alpha 624] | 11% | |||
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 222 | ± 6.6% | 29% | – | 3% | 6% | 5% | 19% | 12% | 3% | 6%[lower-alpha 625] | – |
Kansas primary
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The Kansas Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 2, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Bernie Sanders |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gabbard withdraws from the race | ||||||||
Public Policy Polling | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 550 (LV) | – | 59% | 3% | 35% | – | 4% |
Georgia primary
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The Georgia Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on March 24, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic, and will instead occur on May 19, 2020.[27]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates Polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Undecided[lower-alpha 1] | ||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 14, 2020 | until Feb 13, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 67.3% | 30.1% | 2.6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Georgia | Mar 4–14, 2020 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 66% | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | 1%[lower-alpha 626] | 11% |
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Landmark | Feb 12, 2020 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 32% | 14% | 5% | – | 14% | 4% | – | 6%[lower-alpha 627] | 26% |
Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
SurveyUSA | Nov 15–18, 2019 | 536 | ± 5.2% | 36% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | – | 5% | 9% |
Climate Nexus | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 457 | ± 3.6% | 31% | – | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 2% | 11%[lower-alpha 628] | 19% |
Landmark | Sep 18–21, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.1% | 41% | – | 5% | 6% | 8% | 17% | 2% | 6%[lower-alpha 629] | 15% |
Change Research | Sep 7–11, 2019 | 755 | ± 3.6% | 33% | – | 7% | 7% | 17% | 22% | 3% | 10%[lower-alpha 630] | – |
SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 402 | ± 6.4% | 31% | – | 5% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 11%[lower-alpha 631] | 9% |
Oregon primary
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The Oregon Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 19, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Undecided | Beto O'Rourke |
Kamala Harris |
Elizabeth Warren |
Cory Booker |
Andrew Yang |
Pete Buttigieg |
Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gabbard withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Warren withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Yang withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Mar 18–19, 2019 | 238 | ± 6.4% | 27% | 26% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 7% [lower-alpha 632] |
Connecticut primary
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The Connecticut Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.[28]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Feb 24–Mar 12, 2020 | 383 (RV) | – | 42.1% | 24.5% | – | – | 19.5%[lower-alpha 633] | 13.8% | |||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[14] | Dec 16, 2019–Jan 2, 2020 | 348 (RV) | – | 33.0% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 3.4%[lower-alpha 634] | 15.2% |
Delaware primary
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The Delaware Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.[29]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gabbard withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Data For Progress | Nov 15–25, 2019 | 481 (LV) | –[lower-alpha 635] | 35% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 10%[lower-alpha 636] | 15% |
Indiana primary
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The Indiana Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on May 5, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.[30]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warren withdraws from the race | |||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||
We Ask America | Apr 29–May 5, 2019 | 280 | ± 5.9% | 33% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 23% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 637] | 15% |
Maryland primary
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The Maryland Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.[31]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||||
Gonzales Research & Media Services | Feb 22–28, 2020 | 331 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 19% | 15% | 5% | – | 4% | 23% | 8% | – | 27% | |||
Goucher College | Feb 13–19, 2020 | 371 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 18% | 16% | 7% | – | 6% | 24% | 6% | 4%[lower-alpha 638] | 18% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Goucher College | Sept 13–19, 2019 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 33% | – | 5% | 6% | 1% | 10% | 21% | 9%[lower-alpha 639] | 15% |
Montana primary
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The Montana Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.[18] Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Steve Bullock |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bullock withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Montana State University Billings | Oct 7-16, 2019 | 40 (LV) | – | 15% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 40% | No voters | 2%[lower-alpha 640] | 25% |
New Jersey primary
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The New Jersey Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates Polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Undecided[lower-alpha 1] | ||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 8, 2020 | until Feb 18, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 35.5% | 30.5% | 34.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warren withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Super Tuesday | |||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Nevada caucuses | |||||||||||||
FDU | Feb 12-16, 2020 | 805 | ± 4% | 16% | 23% | – | 10% | – | – | 25% | 8% | 7%[lower-alpha 641] | 11% |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Iowa caucuses | |||||||||||||
Emerson College | Jan 16–19, 2020 | 388 | ± 4.9% | 28% | 9% | – | 6% | – | – | 25% | 15% | 16%[lower-alpha 642] | – |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Sep 12–16, 2019 | 713 | ± 3.7% | 26% | – | 9% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 7%[lower-alpha 643] | 8% |
Change Research | Aug 16–20, 2019 | 1176 | ± 2.9% | 26% | – | 5% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 21% | 23% | 3%[lower-alpha 644] | – |
New Mexico primary
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The New Mexico democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gabbard withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Emerson Polling | Jan 3-6, 2020 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 27% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 28% | 8% | 10% | 11%[lower-alpha 645] | - |
Pennsylvania primary
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The Pennsylvania Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the 2019-20 coronavirus pandemic, and is instead scheduled for June 2, 2020.[32]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
||||||
270 to Win | Mar 18, 2020 | Feb 11–Mar 8, 2020 | 39.5% | 28.0% | 32.5% | ||||||
RealClear Politics | Feb 23, 2020 | Jan 20–Feb 20, 2020 | 39.5% | 28.0% | 32.5% | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 8, 2020 | until Feb 20, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 54.4% | 29.3% | 16.3% | ||||||
Average | 44.5% | 28.4% | 27.1% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)[lower-alpha 504] | ± 5.1% | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – |
Warren withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 537 (LV) | – | 20% | 19% | – | 12% | – | – | 25% | 9% | 5%[lower-alpha 646] | 10%[lower-alpha 647] |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Franklin & Marshall College | Jan 20–26, 2020 | 292 (RV) | ± 9.0% | 22% | 7% | – | 6% | – | – | 15% | 14% | 18%[lower-alpha 648] | 19% |
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University |
Jan 8-20, 2020 | 502 (RV) | – | 31.3% | 9.1% | – | 6.5% | – | – | 20.5% | 11.5% | 8.8%[lower-alpha 649] | 11% |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Sestak withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Franklin & Marshall College | Oct 21–27, 2019 | 226 (RV) | ± 8.9% | 30% | – | 1% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 12% | 18% | 15%[lower-alpha 650] | 16% |
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 304 | – | 28% | – | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 14% | 16% | 3%[lower-alpha 651] | 30% |
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23-Oct 15, 2019 | 246 (LV) | – | 27% | – | 1% | 3% | 4% | No voters | 14% | 18% | 5%[lower-alpha 652] | 29% |
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc. | Sep 30 – Oct 6, 2019 | 307 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 17% | – | 0% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 7%[lower-alpha 653] | 52% |
Franklin & Marshall College | Jul 29 – Aug 4, 2019 | 295 | ± 8.7% | 28% | – | 2% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 12% | 21% | 3%[lower-alpha 654] | 19% |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 246 | ± 6.3% | 46% | – | 2% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 8% | 2%[lower-alpha 655] | – |
Quinnipiac University | May 9–14, 2019 | 431 | ± 6.2% | 39% | – | 5% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 13% | 8% | 3%[lower-alpha 656] | 12% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Muhlenberg College | Apr 3–10, 2019 | 405 | ± 5.5% | 28% | – | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 8% | 9%[lower-alpha 657] | 20% |
Emerson College | Mar 26–28, 2019 | 359 | ± 5.1% | 39% | – | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 20% | 11% | 10%[lower-alpha 658] | – |
New York primary
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The New York Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the 2019-20 coronavirus pandemic, and is instead scheduled for June 23, 2020.[33]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
||||||
270 to Win | Feb 24, 2020 | Feb 16–20, 2020 | 13.0% | 25.0% | 62.0% | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 18, 2020 | until Mar 18, 2020 [lower-alpha 4] | 48.3% | 30.3% | 21.4% | ||||||
Average | 30.7% | 27.7% | 41.6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gabbard withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||
Siena College Research Institute | Feb 16–20, 2020 | 315 (RV) | – | 13% | 21% | 9% | – | 9% | 25% | 11% | 1%[lower-alpha 659] | 11% |
Iowa caucus is held | ||||||||||||
Civis Analytics/Data For Progress | Jan 13–19, 2020 | 845 (LV) | – | 30% | 17% | 7% | – | 2% | 17% | 14% | 15%[lower-alpha 660] | – |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Siena College | Nov 12–18, 2019 | 797 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 24% | – | 5% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 14% | 12%[lower-alpha 661] | 29%[lower-alpha 662] |
Siena College | Oct 6–10, 2019 | 340 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 21% | – | 4% | 4% | 1% | 16% | 21% | 10%[lower-alpha 663] | 24%[lower-alpha 664] |
de Blasio withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Siena College* | Sep 8–12, 2019 | 359 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 22% | – | 3% | 4% | 1% | 15% | 17% | 4%[lower-alpha 665] | 34% |
Gillibrand withdraws from the race |
Head-to-head polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 7] |
Margin of error |
Bill de Blasio |
Kirsten Gillibrand |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | Jun 2–6, 2019 | 385 | – | 25% | 56% | 11% | 8% |
Notes
- Partisan clients
- ↑ By the time of the sampling period, Data for Progress had endorsed the Elizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaign
- Additional candidates
- ↑ 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.18 1.19 1.20 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.26 Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ↑ Gabbard with 1.8%; Bloomberg with 1.3%; Bennet with 0.5%; Patrick not reported
- ↑ Gabbard with 1.5%; Bloomberg with 1.0%; Bennet and Patrick not reported
- ↑ 4.00 4.01 4.02 4.03 4.04 4.05 4.06 4.07 4.08 4.09 4.10 4.11 4.12 4.13 4.14 4.15 4.16 4.17 4.18 4.19 4.20 4.21 4.22 4.23 4.24 4.25 4.26 4.27 4.28 4.29 FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ↑ Gabbard and Bloomberg with 1.2%; Bennet with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1.5%; Bloomberg with 1.2%; Bennet with 0.3%; Patrick with 0.0%
- ↑ 7.00 7.01 7.02 7.03 7.04 7.05 7.06 7.07 7.08 7.09 7.10 7.11 7.12 7.13 7.14 7.15 7.16 7.17 7.18 7.19 7.20 7.21 7.22 7.23 7.24 7.25 7.26 7.27 7.28 7.29 7.30 7.31 7.32 7.33 7.34 7.35 7.36 7.37 7.38 7.39 7.40 7.41 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑ After reallocation of delegates from candidates estimated to not clear the viability threshold in each precinct
- ↑ Bloomberg with 2%
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.4 Data not yet released, but all other candidates each have <5%
- ↑ If the contest came down to Biden and Sanders
- ↑ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; others with 2%
- ↑ Re-allocating support to second choice for candidates receiving <15% of first choice votes
- ↑ Bennet with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Bloomberg with <1%
- ↑ If only the four candidates listed were viable in the voters' caucus sites
- ↑ "None of these/won't caucus" with 1%
- ↑ If only the six candidates listed were viable in the voters' caucus sites
- ↑ "None of these/won't caucus" with <1%
- ↑ Bennet with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%; other with <1%; "no one" with 0%
- ↑ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Reported as "Unsure"
- ↑ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; Someone Else with 1%
- ↑ Patrick with 0.2%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.0%; "Other/Please Specify" with 0.4%; "Don't Know/Refused" with 13%
- ↑ If voters could choose only one of Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders or Warren
- ↑ Delaney and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%
- ↑ If the field is narrowed to these top four candidates
- ↑ Listed as "don't know/refused"
- ↑ Bloomberg with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ↑ Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Bennet and Bloomberg with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Not listed separately from "others"
- ↑ Trump with 5%; "others" with 2%
- ↑ If the only viable candidates to caucus for were the four listed in this poll
- ↑ "None of these/wouldn't vote" with 2%
- ↑ Booker with 4%, Bennet and Delaney with <1%, Patrick with 0%, Other with <1%
- ↑ Booker with 3%; Bloomberg with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ↑ Booker with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ↑ Booker with 3%; Castro with 1%; Delaney, Bloomberg, Bennet, Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Booker with 4%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ↑ Bennet, Bloomberg, Booker, Bullock, Castro and Williamson with 1%; Delaney, Messam, Patrick and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Booker with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; none with 2%
- ↑ Booker, Bullock, and Castro with 1%, Messam, Delaney, Bennet, Williamson, and Sestak with 0%, "Someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Booker with 2%; Bullock and Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bloomberg, Delaney, and Williamson with <1%; Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Castro with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Delaney, O'Rourke and Ryan with 0%
- ↑ Bennett, Booker, Bullock and Castro with 1%; Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 3%; Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ As evidenced by Sestak being listed in second choices but not first preferences and the lack of an 'other' column in the first preferences topline
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard and Yang with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; Messam and Sestak with no voters[lower-alpha 52]
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 3%; Yang with 1%; Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam and Sestak with no voters; refused with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 5%; Bullock with 4%; Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet and Williamson with 1%; Castro with 0%; Delaney, Messam, Ryan and Sestak with no voters; everyone else with 4%
- ↑ 56.0 56.1 The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ↑ Yang with 1%; a different Democratic candidate, don't know, or refused with 25%
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Bennet, Gabbard, Williamson, and Ryan with 1%, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, and Yang with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard, Steyer, and Yang with 2%, Bullock, Castro, and Delaney with 1%, Bennet, de Blasio, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "none of these" with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Yang with 2%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%; Yang with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Ryan and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ↑ Bullock, Gabbard, and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Castro, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Gillibrand and Yang with 2%; Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Inslee, O'Rourke, and Williamson with <1%; de Blasio, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Castro and Steyer with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with <1%; Messam and Moulton with 0%; others with <1%
- ↑ Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ↑ Delaney with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; de Blasio and Messam with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Delaney with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, and Yang with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Ryan, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, and Inslee with <1%; Bennet, Hickenlooper, McAuliffe, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Delaney with 3%; Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet and McAuliffe with 0%; others with <1%
- ↑ Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Gillibrand and Yang with 0%; others with 4%
- ↑ Poll sponsored by End Citizens United
- ↑ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, and Inslee with 1%; Bloomberg, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%
- ↑ Gillibrand with 1%
- ↑ Brown with 4%; Castro with 2%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 1%; Gabbard and Yang with 0%; others with 8%
- ↑ Kennedy with 5%; Clinton with 4%; Brown with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Gillibrand, Kerry, and Swalwell with 1%; Holder, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 3%; Brown, Castro, Delaney, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bullock, Garcetti, Gillibrand, Holder, Inslee, Steyer, Swalwell, and Yang with <1%
- ↑ Brown with 3%; Bloomberg and Kerry with 2%; Delaney with 1%; Garcetti with 0%; others with <1%
- ↑ Gillibrand and Holder with 2%; Avenatti and Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Garcetti, Landrieu, and Patrick with <1%; others with 1%
- ↑ Poll sponsored by O'Say Can You See PAC, the PAC that supported O'Malley in 2016
- ↑ O'Malley with 18%; Cuomo with 8%; Castro and Sandberg with 4%; Gillibrand with 3%; Schultz with 1%
- ↑ Patrick with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bloomberg with 0.5%
- ↑ Patrick with 1.0%; Bennet with 0.3%; Bloomberg not reported
- ↑ Bloomberg with 2.3%; Patrick with 0.7%; Bennet with 0.5%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 0.9%; Patrick with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.5%
- ↑ Patrick with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.3%; Booker with 0.1%; Boyd, Burke, Bullock, Castro, De La Fuente III, Delaney, Dunlap, Ellinger, Gleib, Greenstein, Harris, Hewes, Koos, Kraus, Krichevsky, Moroz, Sloan, Sestak, Thistle, Torgesen, Wells and Williamson with 0.0%; other (write-in candidates) with 1.5%
- ↑ Patrick with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.3%; Booker with 0.1%; Boyd, Burke, Bullock, Castro, De La Fuente III, Delaney, Dunlap, Ellinger, Gleib, Greenstein, Harris, Hewes, Koos, Kraus, Krichevsky, Moroz, Sloan, Sestak, Thistle, Torgesen, Wells and Williamson; other (write-in candidates) with 1.5%
- ↑ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ↑ Bennet, Bloomberg and Patrick with 1%; other with 2%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "someone else" with 2%
- ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%
- ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; other with 2%; refused with 0%
- ↑ Not yet released
- ↑ Not yet released
- ↑ Not yet released
- ↑ Not yet released
- ↑ Bennet and Bloomberg with 0%; Patrick with no voters; other with 1%
- ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ↑ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with no voters; other with 2%
- ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 1%; others with 1%
- ↑ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ↑ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "another candidate" with 3%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 2%; Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Patrick and Bennet with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with <1%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ If the primary came down to the five candidates listed in this poll
- ↑ "None of these/won't vote" with 3%
- ↑ If the primary came down to the four candidates listed in this poll
- ↑ "None of these/won't vote" with 3%
- ↑ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "someone else" with 4%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet and Patrick with <1%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick with no voters; other with 2%
- ↑ Patrick with 1%; Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Bloomberg (explicitly as a write in) and Patrick with 2%; Bennet with 1%; "Other" with 3%; Delaney not reported
- ↑ Bloomberg with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; Delaney with <1%
- ↑ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Bloomberg and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with <1%; Delaney with 0%; some other candidate with 2%; would not vote with <1%
- ↑ Listed as "Don't know/refused"
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with no voters; "someone else" with 6%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 4%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with no voters; other with 1%
- ↑ Sponsored by a presidential candidate's campaign
- ↑ Booker with 2%; "someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Bennet with 2%; Booker with 1%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%; Patrick and "Someone else" with 0%
- ↑ If the primary came down to the seven candidates listed in this poll
- ↑ "None of these" with 3%; Booker with 2%
- ↑ If the primary came down to the four candidates listed in this poll
- ↑ "None of these" with 5%
- ↑ Booker with 2%; Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet with <1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%; someone else with 2%; would not vote with 3%
- ↑ Includes "refused"
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Bloomberg and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro and Delaney and Sestak and with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Bullock, Castro and Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%; refused with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 5%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%, "Someone else" with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Bennet and Castro, with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney and other with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%; Castro with 0% and Williamson with 0%; other with 3%
- ↑ 156.0 156.1 156.2 The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ↑ Steyer with 4%; Ryan with 1%, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; "Other" with 1%; Castro with 0%; Delaney, Bullock, Bennet and Williamson with less than 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Castro, Delaney and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Messam and Sestak with 0%; "no one" with 1%;
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; de Blasio, Delaney, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Castro with 1%; others with 2%
- ↑ Delaney with 3%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%; someone else with 3%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 4%; Castro with 2%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%
- ↑ Bennet with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Steyer with 1%; others with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand with 1%; Inslee with 0%
- ↑ Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ↑ Gillibrand, Gravel, Inslee, and Moulton with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Delaney, Gravel, and Inslee with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ↑ Hickenlooper and Ryan with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet, Castro, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
- ↑ Delaney with 2%; Moulton, and Ryan with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
- ↑ Ryan with 2%; Gillibrand, Messam, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
- ↑ Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
- ↑ Bloomberg, Brown, and Gillibrand with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 3%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 2%; Brown, Delaney, and Gillibrand with 1%; Castro with 0%; others with 5%
- ↑ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Castro with 1%; others with 3%
- ↑ Gillibrand with 0%
- ↑ Kennedy with 9%; Clinton with 3%; Bloomberg, Kerry, and Klobuchar with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ojeda, and Steyer with 1%; Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Swalwell with 0%
- ↑ Kennedy with 7%; Holder with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 2%
- ↑ Gillibrand and McAuliffe with 2%
- ↑ Gillibrand with 3%; McAuliffe with 2%; others with 1%
- ↑ Kennedy with 3%; O'Malley with 2%; Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Ryan with 0%; others with 2%
- ↑ Gillibrand with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; others with 4%
- ↑ O'Malley with 3%; Hickenlooper and Zuckerberg with 2%; Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney with 0%; others with 5%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1.3%; Bloomberg not reported
- ↑ Gabbard with 2.0%; Bloomberg not reported
- ↑ Bloomberg with 9.1%; Gabbard with 1.9%
- ↑ Individual candidate numbers add up to more than 100%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 3.0%; Gabbard with 1.7%
- ↑ Uncommitted with 0.4%; Gabbard with 0.3%; Yang with 0.6%; Bennet and Patrick with 0.1%; Delaney with 0.0%
- ↑ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; "other" with 4%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; someone else with 2%
- ↑ others with 4%
- ↑ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 0%; Other with 5%
- ↑ Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Patrick with 0%; Bennet and Williamson with no voters; other with 0%; refused with 2%
- ↑ Sponsored by a presidential candidate's campaign
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Bloomberg and Gabbard with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; others with 0%; none with 8%
- ↑ Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%; none with 2%
- ↑ Bennet, Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 7%
- ↑ Castro, Gabbard and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Bullock, Castro and Gabbard with 1%; de Blasio, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; "refused" with 1%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Ryan, and Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Messam, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%
- ↑ Bennet, de Blasio, and Gabbard with 2%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%
- ↑ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Bullock, de Blasio, and Ryan with 1%; others with 4%
- ↑ Castro, Gabbard, and Williamson with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
- ↑ Abrams, Castro, Gabbard, and Swalwell with 1%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Ryan with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Gillibrand with 1%; Hickenlooper and Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
- ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined; Bloomberg included as write-in votes are not permitted in SC primaries
- ↑ Candidate percentages add up to more than 100%
- ↑ Bloomberg 10.3%; Write-in votes are not permitted in SC primaries; this appears to be based on trendline regression
- ↑ Bloomberg only in 538, so no average can be made
- ↑ Reported as "Someone else/Undecided"
- ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
- ↑ "Other" with 2%
- ↑ "Other" with 2%
- ↑ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ↑ Accumulated responses until he withdrew; name not included afterwards.
- ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Bennet and Patrick were included until they withdrew; Bennet received no voters; Patrick accumulated few enough to round down to 0%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ The poll's sponsor, Unite the Country, is a pro-Biden super PAC.
- ↑ data from 538.com
- ↑ not released
- ↑ data from 538.com
- ↑ not released
- ↑ not released
- ↑ data from 538.com
- ↑ data from 538.com
- ↑ data from 538.com
- ↑ not released
- ↑ not released
- ↑ not released
- ↑ Booker with 2%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; "None of the above" with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%; Bloomberg with 3%; Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Patrick and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%; Yang with 3%; Bloomberg and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney and Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; Bullock and Castro with no voters
- ↑ Yang with 4%; Gabbard, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Patrick and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Messam, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ↑ Bloomberg, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Williamson and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam and Sestak with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Castro, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 4%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 3%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 2%
- ↑ The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ↑ Bennet, Klobuchar, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, and Sestak with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ↑ Bullock, Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard and Williamson with 1%; Bennet and Ryan with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Gabbard, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Klobuchar, and Messam with < 0.5%; Sestak with 0%; someone else with 3%
- ↑ Yang with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, Castro and "Someone else" with 1%; Delaney, Sestak and Bennet with 0%; Bullock, Messam, Ryan and Williamson with less than 0.5%
- ↑ Bennet, Klobuchar, Gabbard, and Williamson with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Ryan, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ poll results among likely voters of this RV sample
- ↑ de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 1%; "A different Democratic candidate" with 7%
- ↑ Bennet and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Inslee with <1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ poll results among likely voters of this RV sample
- ↑ Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Gravel, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 2%; Bullock, de Blasio, and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 3%; de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ↑ Gillibrand, Gravel, Klobuchar, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 3%
- ↑ Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Klobuchar, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 1%
- ↑ Abrams with 7%; Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney, Inslee, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Gabbard and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg and Gabbard with 2%: Brown and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, and Delaney with 0%; others with 8%
- ↑ Brown and Holder with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, McAuliffe, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 5%; Castro with 4%; Delaney with 3%; Gabbard and Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand and Yang with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 1%; Gillibrand with 0%
- ↑ But for the Biden vs Warren matchup, 'undecided' and 'other' voters are not included in the listed percentages for this poll.
- ↑ Would not vote with 4%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Sestak with 3%; Bennet with 2%; de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, and Ryan with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Klobuchar, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Messam and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 7%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ↑ Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 4.8%; Yang with 2%; "someone else" with 3.3%
- ↑ includes Buttigieg with 6.0%; Klobuchar with 4.0%; Steyer not averaged
- ↑ Gabbard with 0.1%; "Other" with 5.9%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard with 5%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "None/No one" with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "Others" with 1%
- ↑ Included in poll despite being withdrawn because he is still on the ballot.
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Castro with 1%; Bennet, Williamson, Patrick, Sestak, Delaney, Greenstein, Ellinger, Boyd, and De La Fuente with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%; "Another candidate" with 3%
- ↑ Tulsi Gabbard 1%; someone else 1%
- ↑ "Some other Democrat" with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ "someone else/skipped"
- ↑ Answers listed in this row are for the question, "If electability wasn't a concern, who would you support?"
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; Booker with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Listed as "no response"
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; Booker, Patrick and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Listed as "no response"
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%; Bennet, Delaney and Patrick with <1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1.4%; Bennet with 0.9%; Booker with 0.8%; "All others" with 0.5%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; others with 0%
- ↑ someone else (included Bloomberg) 6%
- ↑ Booker and "someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Booker with 1%; Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; no response with 0%
- ↑ Bloomberg, Castro and Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; "None/No one" with 1%
- ↑ The top row presents results which exclude Kamala Harris as an option.
- ↑ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 4%; Castro with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 4%; Castro, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Patrick with no voters
- ↑ Klobuchar with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Steyer with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Patrick, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Bloomberg and Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Patrick with 0%; others with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; other with 4%
- ↑ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Steyer, and some other Democrat with 1%
- ↑ Castro and Gabbard with 2%; Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio and Ryan with 0%; no response with 2%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; someone else with 3%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 2%; Bennet, Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%;
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; Castro, Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney and Ryan with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ "Anyone" with 2%; "None of them" with 5%; "Others" with 7%
- ↑ Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Klobuchar, Steyer, Williamson with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Castro and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with <1%, others with <1%
- ↑ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, & Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell & Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar & Inslee with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer & Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard & Hickenlooper with 2%; Bennet, Gillibrand & Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan & Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Inslee & Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 3%; Inslee with 2%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Castro with 0%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Gabbard, Inslee, Klobuchar, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with <1%; others with <1%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Brown, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Holder, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bloomberg, Bullock, Cuomo, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro with 6%; Gabbard with 4%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 2%; Williamson with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 4%; Gabbard and Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 5%; "Others" with 4%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 6%; Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 6%; Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Booker with 2%; de Blasio, Gabbard, O'Rourke, Ryan , Williamson, and "Someone else" with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Sestak and Steyer with 0%
- ↑ O’Rourke with 1%; Booker, Castro, Inslee, de Blasio, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Ryan, Steyer, Williamson, Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard not averaged
- ↑ Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 0%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Not yet released
- ↑ Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 4%; Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick and "Someone else" with no voters
- ↑ "Other" with 6.5%; Booker with 2.7% and O'Rourke with 2.2%
- ↑ Booker with 2%; Castro and O'Rourke with 1%; "someone else/undecided" with 16%
- ↑ The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ↑ Ryan with 4%; Booker and Williamson with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Gillibrand, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Hickenlooper Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%
- ↑ Calculated by subtracting polled candidates from 100%
- ↑ Steyer with 4%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 2.4%; Gabbard with 0.8%; refused with 0.4%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 2%; Would not vote with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 4%; Yang with 3%; Booker with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Delaney, Steyer and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%; would not vote with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Yang with 1%; de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; refused with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ↑ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 0%; others with 5%
- ↑ Moulton with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer and "Another Candidate" with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 4%; Booker with 1%; Steyer, Castro, and Refused to answer with 0%; Someone else not reported
- ↑ Yang with 2%; Booker, Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 3%; "Another Candidate" with 3%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 4%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 6%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 5%; "Another Candidate" with 5%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar and Steyer with 4%; Booker and Patrick with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Booker with 2%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 6%; Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 4%; Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ↑ Klobuchar with 6%; "Another Candidate" with 7%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 4.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Yang with 0.7%; Steyer, Bennet, Patrick, and Williamson with 0.5%; Castro and Delaney with 0.0%
- ↑ "No preference" with 3.7%; "Don't know" with 11.2%; "No answer/Refused" with 1.6%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 7%; Gabbard and Steyer with 3%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 5%; others with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Steyer and Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 5% and Steyer with 2%
- ↑ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ↑ Klobuchar and Steyer with 3%
- ↑ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%; none with 3%
- ↑ Democrats only
- ↑ Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; refused with 6%
- ↑ All adults
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%; Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 1%; refused with 21%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Klobuchar, and O'Rourke with 1%
- ↑ Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; O'Rourke with 0%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 3%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%
- ↑ Steyer and Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 7%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with <1%, Patrick with <1% and Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Yang with 3%
- ↑ Booker and Bennet with 2%; Inslee, O'Rourke, Gillibrand, Bullock, Delaney, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 6%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 4%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Bennet with 2%; Booker, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, and O'Rourke with 1%; de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gravel, Inslee, Ryan, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Steyer and Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ↑ None/No one 1%; No opinion 4%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Respondents were asked who they would vote for if Bloomberg were not a candidate.
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Reported as "Someone else/Undecided"
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Reported as "Someone else/Undecided"
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer with 2%; "Another candidate" with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 1%; "No one/None of them" with 4%
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; others with 8%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Patrick with <1%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Bennet with 1%; De La Fuente, Delaney, Gabbard and Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Booker with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; "none of the above" with 4%
- ↑ Bloomberg with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Gabbard, and Patrick with 1%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard, Sestak and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0; Bennet, Bullock, and Messam with no voters
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam and Steyer with 1%; de Blasio, Gabbard, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Ryan and Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ↑ Delaney with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; would not vote with 1%
- ↑ Steyer, Gabbard, Bennet, Delaney with 1%; Rest with 0%
- ↑ Not listed separately
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%
- ↑ Gabbard, Ryan, Steyer, Delaney and Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ↑ Bullock with 2%; Gabbard, Ryan, Bennet, McAuliffe, Moulton, Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan with 1%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with <1%; "someone else" with 1%
- ↑ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ↑ Delaney with 2%; Hickenlooper, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with <1%
- ↑ Abrams with 2%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel and Hickenlooper with 1%; Messam, Ryan, Swalwell and Williamson with 0%; "someone else" with 7%
- ↑ Abrams and Swalwell with 1%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Ryan with 0%
- ↑ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Other" with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Not specified in release
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 0%; Steyer with no voters; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Yang with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Compared to the other figures, this might be unusually high
- ↑ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Not yet released
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Andrew Yang with 5%; Steyer with 1%; Michael Bennet with 0%
- ↑ Undecided with 13%; Don't know/Refused with 3%
- ↑ Yang with 2%; Castro with 1%; Non-voter/no answer with 43%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Bullock, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; Messam with 0%; others with 5%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 9%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 1%; "Uncommitted" with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ 504.0 504.1 504.2 Part of a 1,750 registered voter poll of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%; "Uncommitted" with 6%
- ↑ "Other" with 9%
- ↑ "Declined" with 13%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Delaney, Steyer, and Williamson with 0%; Castro and Sestak with no voters; "Refused" with 5%
- ↑ "Not sure/other" with 14%
- ↑ Steyer with 1.7%; Delaney with 1.6%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.7%; Patrick with 0.5%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; Someone else with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ↑ Castro and Steyer with no voters; someone else with 0%
- ↑ Bennet with 2%; Gabbard, Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Labelled as "Other/unsure"
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Labelled as "Other/unsure"
- ↑ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 4%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Bennet with 3%; Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, O'Rourke, Ryan, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 5%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ "Other" with 10%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Someone else/undecided" with 6%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 2%; Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Booker and Yang with 1%; Castro with <1%; rest with 0%; Someone else with 6%
- ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Other with 24%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ "Some Other Democrat" with 13%
- ↑ Estimated early vote share; respondents in the poll who indicated Warren as their first choice but that they had not yet voted were assigned to their indicated second choice.
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Steyer, Bennet, Patrick, and Booker with no voters; "other" with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 0%; "Some Other Democrat" with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 2%; Booker, Delaney, Gabbard, and Hickenlooper with 1% ; Someone else with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 18%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 7%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 7%
- ↑ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ↑ 546.0 546.1 546.2 546.3 546.4 546.5 546.6 546.7 546.8 In a two-person race
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 5%
- ↑ "Another Candidate" with 4%
- ↑ Booker, Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Bennet, Gabbard, O'Rourke and Steyer with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Bullock and Williamson with no voters; other with 7%
- ↑ Gabbard, Klobuchar and O'Rourke with 2%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 1%; Booker, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 0%; others with 0%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 3%; Booker, Castro, Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 4%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ↑ Booker, Castro, Delaney, and O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee and Klobuchar with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 10%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ 559.0 559.1 559.2 559.3 559.4 559.5 Not yet released
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 6%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Yang with <1%
- ↑ Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%
- ↑ Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Steyer with 1%; "None of these" with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard, Bennet, and Yang with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%
- ↑ If only Biden, Sanders and Warren remained as candidates
- ↑ Steyer with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Delaney, and Gabbard 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ↑ Listed as "someone else/unsure"
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ↑ Listed as others
- ↑ Messam with 3%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Gabbard and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro and Messam with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; others with 1%
- ↑ Delaney with 2%; Bennet, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard and Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%
- ↑ Castro with 2%; Gillibrand, Gravel, and Moulton with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 9%
- ↑ Brown, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%
- ↑ Winfrey with 17%; Holder with 5%; Brown with 3%; Cuomo, Gillibrand, and Murphy with 2%; Bullock, Landrieu, Patrick, and McAuliffe with 1%; others with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard not averaged
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 7%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 4%
- ↑ Result after "Undecided" is ruled out as an option.
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%
- ↑ Steyer with 3.4%; Gabbard with 1.0%
- ↑ Steyer and Yang with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ↑ Patrick with 2.4%; Booker with 2.3%; Steyer with 1.8%; Castro with 1.6%; Yang with 1.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Williamson with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bullock with 0.5%; Sestak with 0.3%; Delaney with 0.1%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 2.1%; Booker with 1.4%; Gillibrand with 1.0%; Steyer with 0.8%; Inslee with 0.7%; Castro with 0.6%; de Blasio with 0.4%; Bullock, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 0.3%; Gravel with 0.2%; Moulton and Sestak with 0.1%; Delaney and Messam with 0.0%
- ↑ Don't know with 2%; Refused to answer with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
- ↑ "Not sure/other" with 11%
- ↑ Gabbard with 0.8%; Patrick with 0.6%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.4%; Steyer with 0.3%
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; Bennet and Delaney not reported
- ↑ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; none of the above with 1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; would not vote with 1%
- ↑ Bullock, Steyer, Williamson, someone else, Would not vote, and Refused with 1%; Bennet, Castro, and Delaney with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; others with 0%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 1%; Steyer with 0%; Castro with no voters; other with 0%
- ↑ Bullock, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, Williamson and Other with <1%; Castro and Messam with 0%; None of the above with 1%
- ↑ "Someone else", Bullock, Gillibrand, O'Rourke, Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Gabbard, Delaney, Castro, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; Inslee, O'Rourke, Steyer, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard and O'Rourke with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell and Williamson with 0%; Messam and Sestak with no voters
- ↑ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 1%; Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 0%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 5%; Hickenlooper with 2%; Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 2%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 6%; Gillibrand with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
- ↑ Delaney with <1%
- ↑ Gabbard with 6%; "Other" with 4%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 2.2%; Klobuchar with 1.5%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.5%; Delaney with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.3%
- ↑ Ryan with 2%; Castro, Delaney, O'Rourke, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Messam and Sestak with 0%; Other/Unsure with 10%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Bullock with 1%; Ryan, Bennett, Klobuchar, Sestak, Steyer, Castro, and Messam with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, Ryan, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Booker and Williamson with 2%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Steyer with 1%; Sestak with 0%
- ↑ Booker with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro, and Steyer with 0%
- ↑ O'Rourke with 3%; Booker, Gabbard, and Williamson with 2%; Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, and Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Castro with 3%; Booker, Bullock, and Klobuchar with 2%; O'Rourke and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ↑ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and McAuliffe with 1%
- ↑ Other with 19.5%
- ↑ Other with 3.4%
- ↑ Not reported by source
- ↑ Bloomberg, Delaney, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%
- ↑ Booker with 1%; Klobuchar with <1%; others with <1%
- ↑ Gabbard with <1%; Steyer with 0%; "Refused" with 4%
- ↑ Booker, Delaney, O'Rourke, and Yang with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Other with <1%; Refused to answer with 5%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 2%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 3%, Steyer with 2%, Gabbard with 0%, someone else at 1%
- ↑ Yang with 6%, Klobuchar with 3%, Gabbard with 3%, Delaney with 2%, someone else at 2%
- ↑ Gabbard with 2%; de Blasio, Klobuchar and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, O’Rourke, Ryan, Steyer and Williamson with <1%
- ↑ Gabbard, Steyer, and Yang with 1%
- ↑ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 10%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 5%; "Others" not reported separately
- ↑ contains also "others"
- ↑ Yang and Klobuchar with 5%; "Other" with 2%; "None" with 6%
- ↑ Klobuchar and Yang with 2.5%; Bennet with 1.2%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Delaney with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.3%
- ↑ Bennet, Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Yang with 1%; Bullock with <1%; none with 8%; other with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; others with 0%
- ↑ Yang with 2%; Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, O'Rourke, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with no voters; refused with 1%
- ↑ Bennet with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, Williamson and Yang with 0%; someone else/none with 3%; refused to answer with 1%
- ↑ Bullock, Gabbard, and "Other" with 1%
- ↑ Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%; others with 2%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 3%; others with 6%
- ↑ Gabbard with 3%; Gillibrand with 2%; Castro and Yang with 1%; Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%; others with 4%
- ↑ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ↑ Steyer and Yang with 4%; Bennet with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Patrick with 1%
- ↑ Booker and Yang with 2%; Bennet, Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Patrick, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; others with 4%
- ↑ also includes "refused"
- ↑ Yang with 3%; Booker, and O'Rourke with 1%; de Blasio and Gabbard with <1%; other with 4%
- ↑ also includes "refused"
- ↑ Gabbard and Yang with 1%; Booker, de Blasio, Castro and O'Rourke with less than 1%; "Other" with 1%
References
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- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 18.00 18.01 18.02 18.03 18.04 18.05 18.06 18.07 18.08 18.09 18.10 18.11 18.12 18.13 18.14 18.15 18.16 18.17 18.18 18.19 18.20 18.21 18.22 18.23 18.24 18.25 18.26 18.27 18.28 18.29 18.30 18.31 18.32 18.33 18.34 18.35 18.36 18.37 18.38 18.39 18.40 18.41 18.42 18.43 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 23.0 23.1 23.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
See also
Wikimedia Commons has media related to Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries. |
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Democratic National Convention
- Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election
External links
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