2020 Arkansas Democratic primary
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36 Democratic National Convention delegates (31 pledged, 5 unpledged) The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote |
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300px Election results by county
Joe Biden
Bernie Sanders
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The 2020 Arkansas Democratic primary took place in Arkansas, United States, on March 3, 2020, as one of 14 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Arkansas primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 36 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 31 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary. Joe Biden easily won the state, winning every county but Washington County, the home of the University of Arkansas.
Procedure
Arkansas is one of 14 states holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday",[1] having joined other states on the date after the signing of a bill calling for simultaneous state, local, and presidential primaries on the first Tuesday in March in presidential election years by governor Asa Hutchinson on March 21, 2019.[2]
Voting is expected to take place throughout the state from 7:30 a.m. until 7:30 p.m. local time (CST). In the open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 31 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 31 pledged delegates, between 4 and 6 are allocated to each of the state's 4 congressional districts and another 4 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 7 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as Arkansas shares a primary date with numerous other states on Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.[3]
The congressional district caucus and state conventions will subsequently be held in Little Rock on Saturday, May 30, 2020 to vote on the 7 pledged at-large and 4 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 31 pledged delegates Arkansas sends to the national convention will be joined by 5 unpledged PLEO delegates (5 members of the Democratic National Committee).[3]
Candidates
The following people have filed for the presidential primary.[4]
Running
Withdrawn
Polling
| Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
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| 270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 6–March 2, 2020 | 27.7% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 0.5% | 19.5% | |||
| RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
| FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 2] | 27.5% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 0.3% | 20.6% | |||
| Average | 27.6% | 21.65% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 0.4% | 20.05% | |||||
| Arkansas primary results (March 3, 2020) | 40.5% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 10.0% | 0.7% | 9.7% | |||||
| Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Arkansas Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||||||
| Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 714 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 28% | 25% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 13%[lower-alpha 4] | – | ||||||
| Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 36% | 22% | 2% | 23% | 15% | 2%[lower-alpha 5] | – | ||||||
| Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | February 6–7, 2020 | 496 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 10.1%[lower-alpha 6] | 11% | ||||||
Results
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[6] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 93,012 | 40.59 | 17 |
| Bernie Sanders | 51,413 | 22.44 | 9 |
| Michael Bloomberg | 38,312 | 16.72 | 5 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 22,971 | 10.03 | |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) | 7,649 | 3.34 | |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) | 7,009 | 3.06 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) | 2,053 | 0.90 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1,593 | 0.70 | |
| Kamala Harris (withdrawn) | 715 | 0.31 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 715 | 0.31 | |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 574 | 0.25 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 572 | 0.25 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 501 | 0.22 | |
| Steve Bullock (withdrawn) | 485 | 0.21 | |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 443 | 0.19 | |
| Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 408 | 0.18 | |
| Mosie Boyd | 393 | 0.17 | |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 304 | 0.13 | |
| Total | 229,122 | 100% | 31 |
†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.
Notes
- ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ↑ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑ Klobuchar with 7%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ↑ Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
- ↑ Klobuchar with 4.8%; Yang with 2%; "someone else" with 3.3%
References
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- ↑ https://www.ark.org/arelections/index.php
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