2020 United States Senate special election in Georgia
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2020 United States Senate special election in Georgia will be held on November 3, 2020, following Senator Johnny Isakson's resignation effective December 31, 2019. Governor Brian Kemp appointed Kelly Loeffler to serve as Isakson's replacement, effective January 6, 2020, until the special election.[1]
On November 3, 2020, per Georgia law, a special general election will take place on the same day as the regularly scheduled U.S. Senate election for the seat held by David Perdue. A primary election will not occur; instead, all candidates, regardless of party, will be placed on the same ballot. Party labels will be printed on the ballot and if no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, the top two finishers will advance to a runoff election, to be held on January 5, 2021.[2]
Contents
Background
On August 28, 2019, Isakson announced that he would resign from the Senate effective December 31, 2019, due to his deteriorating health.[1] This triggered a special election to fill the remainder of his term. On September 17, 2019, Georgia Governor Brian Kemp launched a website inviting Georgia citizens to submit their résumés to be considered for appointment.[3] President Donald Trump advocated the appointment of Rep. Doug Collins.[4] Kemp appointed Republican Kelly Loeffler to fill the seat until the 2020 special election; she took office on January 6, 2020.[5]
Republican candidates
Declared
- Doug Collins, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district[6]
- Derrick Grayson, minister, network engineer, software developer, perennial candidate, U.S. Navy veteran[7]
- Annette Davis Jackson, businesswoman, 2016 Republican candidate for Georgia State Senate[7]
- Wayne Johnson, former chief operating officer of the Office of Federal Student Aid[8]
- Kelly Loeffler, incumbent U.S. Senator[9]
- Kandiss Taylor, student services coordinator for Appling County Board of Education[10]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Nick Ayers, former chief of staff to Vice President Mike Pence[13]
- Ashley Bell, regional administrator for the Small Business Administration[14]
- Paul Broun, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 10th congressional district[15]
- Buddy Carter, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district[16]
- Geoff Duncan, incumbent Lieutenant Governor of Georgia[17]
- Stuart Frohlinger, finance expert[18][19]
- Tom Graves, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district[17]
- Karen Handel, former U.S. Representative and former Georgia Secretary of State (running for Georgia's 6th congressional district)[20]
- Scott Hilton, former state representative (endorsed Loeffler)[21]
- Jan Jones, Speaker pro tempore of the Georgia House of Representatives[22]
- Brian Kemp, incumbent Governor of Georgia[23] (endorsed Loeffler)[24]
- Butch Miller, state senator[25]
- B. J. Pak, United States Attorney for the Northern District of Georgia and former state representative[15]
- Sonny Perdue, United States Secretary of Agriculture and former Governor of Georgia[25]
- Tom Price, former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services and former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district[26]
Endorsements
| Kelly Loeffler |
|---|
|
| Doug Collins |
|---|
|
Democratic candidates
Declared
- Deborah Jackson, former mayor of Lithonia and attorney[7]
- Jamesia James, businesswoman and U.S. Air Force veteran[7]
- Tamara Johnson-Shealey, businesswoman and frequent candidate[7]
- Matt Lieberman, businessman, activist, and son of Joe Lieberman, former U.S. Senator from Connecticut[50]
- Joy Felicia Slade, physician[7]
- Ed Tarver, former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Georgia and former state senator[51][52]
- Raphael Warnock, reverend and pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church[53]
- Richard Dien Winfield, professor and candidate for Georgia's 10th congressional district in 2018[54]
Declined
- Stacey Abrams, nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives (endorsed Raphael Warnock)[55]
- Sherry Boston, DeKalb County District Attorney[55][56]
- Jason Carter, nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2014, former state senator, and grandson of former U.S. President Jimmy Carter (endorsed Raphael Warnock)[57]
- Stacey Evans, candidate for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and former state representative (running for state house)[58]
- Jen Jordan, state senator[59][60]
- Lucy McBath, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district (running for re-election)[61]
- Michelle Nunn, CEO of CARE USA and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014[62]
- Jon Ossoff, documentary filmmaker and nominee for Georgia's 6th congressional district in 2017 (running for Class 2 seat)[63]
- Mike Thurmond, DeKalb County chief executive, former Labor Commissioner of Georgia, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010[59]
- Teresa Tomlinson, former mayor of Columbus (running for Class 2 seat)[64][65]
- Nikema Williams, state senator and Chair of the Georgia Democratic Party[61]
- Sally Yates, former United States Deputy Attorney General[66][67]
Endorsements
| Matt Lieberman |
|---|
|
Members of Congress
State Executives
State Officials
Local Officials
Party Officials
Individuals
|
Other candidates
Libertarian Party
Declared
- Brian Slowinski, Republican candidate for Georgia's 10th congressional district in 2014[96]
Green Party
Declared
- John "Green" Fortuin[12]
Independents
Declared
- Al Bartell, businessman, former Republican and Vietnam-era Air Force veteran[97][98][99]
- Allen Buckley, attorney, accountant, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004, 2008, 2016 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Georgia in 2006
- Michael Todd Greene[100][12]
- Rod Mack (as a write-in candidate), member of the City of Hapeville Board of Appeals and candidate in the 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election[12]
- Valencia Stovall, state representative[12]
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Doug Collins (R) |
Matt Lieberman (D) |
Kelly Loeffler (R) |
Ed Tarver (D) |
Raphael Warnock (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth University | September 17–21, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 21% | 6%[lower-alpha 2] | 13% |
| 402 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | 23% | 11% | 23% | 3% | 23% | 5%[lower-alpha 4] | 12% | |||
| 402 (LV)[lower-alpha 5] | 24% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 25% | 4%[lower-alpha 6] | 12% | |||
| Siena College/NYT Upshot | September 16–21, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 19% | 7% | 23% | 4% | 19% | 1%[lower-alpha 7] | 27%[lower-alpha 8] |
| University of Georgia | September 11–20, 2020 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 21% | 11% | 24% | 5% | 20% | 4%[lower-alpha 9] | 16% |
| Data For Progress (D) | September 14–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 22% | 14% | 21% | – | 26% | – | 17% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 12–17, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 19% | 15% | 26% | – | 21% | 5%[lower-alpha 10] | 15% |
| GBAO Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 1] | September 14–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 19% | 11% | 29% | 5% | 25% | – | – |
| Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[upper-alpha 2] | August 30 – September 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± < 4% | 20% | 10% | 24% | 7% | 19% | – | 20% |
| HarrisX (D)[upper-alpha 3] | August 20–30, 2020 | 1,616 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 21% | 13% | 26% | 7% | 16% | 18%[lower-alpha 11] | – |
| SurveyUSA | August 6–8, 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 17% | 13% | 26% | 3% | 17% | 2%[lower-alpha 12] | 21% |
| HIT Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 4] | July 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 6% | 14% | 1%[lower-alpha 13] | 23% |
| Monmouth University | July 23–27, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | 14% | 26% | 5% | 9% | 8%[lower-alpha 14] | 18% |
| 402 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | 21% | 14% | 26% | 5% | 10% | 6%[lower-alpha 15] | 17% | |||
| 402 (LV)[lower-alpha 5] | 22% | 13% | 26% | 4% | 10% | 6%[lower-alpha 16] | 19% | |||
| Spry Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 5] | July 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 9% | – | – | 20% |
| GBAO Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 1] | July 6–9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 26% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 16% | – | – |
| Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 6] | July 6–8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 26% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 10% | 2%[lower-alpha 17] | 26% |
| Gravis Marketing (R)[upper-alpha 7] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 26% | 11% | 24% | 9% | 18% | – | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 8] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 20% | – | 22% |
| MRG (D)[upper-alpha 9] | June 18–23, 2020 | 1,259 (LV) | – | 27% | 13% | 21% | – | 23% | 5%[lower-alpha 18] | 12% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 34% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 18% | 4%[lower-alpha 19] | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 19% | 17% | 18% | – | 9% | 11%[lower-alpha 20] | 26% |
| Cygnal (R)[upper-alpha 10] | April 25–27, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 11% | 2%[lower-alpha 21] | 31% |
| Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 6] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.01% | 36% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 16% | 4%[lower-alpha 22] | 17% |
| Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 6] | March 24, 2020 | 1,025 (LV)[lower-alpha 23] | – | 34% | 18% | 14% | 5% | 13% | – | 15% |
| Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 6] | March 21, 2020 | 1,025 (LV)[lower-alpha 24] | – | 32% | 19% | 15% | 5% | 12% | – | 18% |
| Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 6] | March 12, 2020 | 1,025 (LV)[lower-alpha 25] | – | 30% | 18% | 19% | 5% | 10% | – | 18% |
| Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 6] | March 7, 2020 | 1,025 (LV)[lower-alpha 26] | – | 29% | 16% | 20% | 5% | 12% | – | 18% |
| University of Georgia | February 24 – March 2, 2020 | 1,117 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 21% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 6% | 8%[lower-alpha 27] | 31% |
| Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 6] | February 26–27, 2020 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 28% | 5% | 20% | 3% | 13% | – | 31% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 11] | February 17–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 18% | 20% | –[lower-alpha 28] | – | 7%[lower-alpha 29] | 21% |
| Warnock announces his candidacy | ||||||||||
| Collins announces his candidacy | ||||||||||
| Tarver announces his candidacy | ||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 6] | December 16–18, 2019 | 600 (LV) | – | 32% | 42% | 11% | – | — | — | 16% |
Head to head matchups
- Loeffler vs. Collins
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Loeffler |
Doug Collins |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing (R)[upper-alpha 7] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 28% | 34% | 37% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | December 12–13, 2019 | 711 (LV)[lower-alpha 30] | — | 16% | 56% | 27% |
- Loeffler vs. Lieberman
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Loeffler (R) |
Matt Lieberman (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing (R)[upper-alpha 7] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 44% | 18%[lower-alpha 31] | 6% |
- Loeffler vs. Tarver
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Loeffler (R) |
Ed Tarver (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 43% | 20%[lower-alpha 32] | 6% |
- Loeffler vs. Warnock
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Loeffler (R) |
Raphael Warnock (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing (R)[upper-alpha 7] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 37% | – | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 8] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 43% | – | 17% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 45% | 18%[lower-alpha 33] | 6% |
| Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 6] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 41% | – | 19% |
| The Progress Campaign (D) | March 12-21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 38% | 38% | – | 24% |
- Collins vs. Lieberman
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Doug Collins (R) |
Matt Lieberman (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing (R)[upper-alpha 7] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 37% | – | 16% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 44% | 7%[lower-alpha 34] | 5% |
- Collins vs. Tarver
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Doug Collins (R) |
Ed Tarver (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 42% | 8%[lower-alpha 35] | 5% |
- Collins vs. Warnock
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Doug Collins (R) |
Raphael Warnock (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing (R)[upper-alpha 7] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 38% | – | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 8] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 41% | – | 17% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | 6%[lower-alpha 36] | 5% |
| The Progress Campaign (D) | May 6–15, 2020 | 2,893 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 43% | 41% | – | 16%[lower-alpha 37] |
| Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 6] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | – | 15% |
| The Progress Campaign (D) | March 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 39% | – | 20% |
|
Hypothetical polling
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|
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[101] | Lean R | August 17, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[102] | Lean R | September 18, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[103] | Likely R | August 5, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[104] | Lean R | August 31, 2020 |
| Politico[105] | Lean R | September 9, 2020 |
| RCP[106] | Lean R | September 17, 2020 |
| Niskanen[107] | Likely R | September 15, 2020 |
| DDHQ[108] | Likely R | September 16, 2020 |
| 538[109] | Likely R | September 18, 2020 |
Results
| 2020 United States Senate special election in Georgia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Independent | Al Bartell | |||
| Independent | Allen Buckley | |||
| Republican | Doug Collins | |||
| Green | John Fortuin | |||
| Republican | Derrick Grayson | |||
| Independent | Michael Todd Greene | |||
| Republican | Annette Davis Jackson | |||
| Democratic | Deborah Jackson | |||
| Democratic | Jamesia James | |||
| Republican | Wayne Johnson | |||
| Democratic | Tamara Johnson-Shealey | |||
| Democratic | Matt Lieberman | |||
| Republican | Kelly Loeffler (incumbent) | |||
| Democratic | Joy Felicia Slade | |||
| Libertarian | Brian Slowinski | |||
| Independent | Valencia Stovall | |||
| Democratic | Ed Tarver | |||
| Republican | Kandiss Taylor | |||
| Democratic | Raphael Warnock | |||
| Democratic | Richard Dien Winfield | |||
| Independent | Rod Mack (write-in) | |||
| Total votes | ' | 100.0 | ||
Notes
- Partisan clients
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<references />, or <references group="..." />- Voter samples and additional candidates
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<references />, or <references group="..." />External links
- Official campaign websites
- Al Bartell (I) for Senate
- Allen Buckley (I) for Senate
- Doug Collins (R) for Senate
- John "Green" Fortuin (G) for Senate
- Derrick Grayson (R) for Senate
- Michael Todd Greene (I) for Senate
- Deborah Jackson (D) for Senate
- Jamesia James (D) for Senate
- Wayne Johnson (R) for Senate
- Matt Lieberman (D) for Senate
- Kelly Loeffler (R) for Senate
- Rod Mack (I) for Senate
- Brian Slowinski (L) for Senate
- Valencia Stovall (I) for Senate
- Ed Tarver (D) for Senate
- Kandiss Taylor (R) for Senate
- Raphael Warnock (D) for Senate
- Richard Dien Winfield (D) for Senate
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- ↑ 82.0 82.1 82.2 82.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 89.0 89.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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