United States Senate election in Kansas, 2010

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United States Senate election in Kansas, 2010
← 2004 November 2, 2010 2016 →
  Jerry Moran, official portrait, 112th Congress headshot.jpg
Nominee Jerry Moran Lisa Johnston
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 578,768 215,270
Percentage 70.3% 26.2%
Kansas Senatorial Election Results by County, 2010.svg
County results
U.S. senator before election

Sam Brownback
Republican

 Elected U.S. Senator

Jerry Moran
Republican

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2010 United States Senate election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2010 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Sam Brownback decided to retire to run for Governor of Kansas, instead of seeking a third term. Republican nominee Jerry Moran won the open seat.

Background

Sam Brownback was first elected to the Senate in 1996, replacing Bob Dole, who resigned to run for President. Brownback has stated that he would not run for re-election in 2010 because of self-imposed term limits. Kansas is one of the most Republican states in the nation; no Democrat has been elected to either Senate seat since 1932.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Charles Schollenberger Lisa Johnston Robert Conroy David Haley Undecided
Survey USA July 29-August 1, 2010 21% 29% 7% 12% 25%
Survey USA July 15–18, 2010 14% 23% 7% 12% 36%
Survey USA June 24–27, 2010 16% 24% 11% 11% 35%

Results

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lisa Johnston 25,421 31.2
Democratic Charles Schollenberger 19,228 23.6
Democratic David Haley 15,584 19.2
Democratic Patrick Wiesner 13,359 16.4
Democratic Robert Conroy 7,779 9.6
Total votes 81,371 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

The retirement of Brownback, a popular U.S. Senator, led to a heavily competitive primary election. Tiahrt, who was on the Committee of Appropriations, had been accused of excessive earmarking while he was in Congress. From 2006-2008, Tiahrt had requested and supported a total of 63 solo earmarks, costing $53.9 million. In the same period, Moran had requested and supported a total of 29 earmarks, with a pricetag of $13.4 million.[9][10]

Endorsements

Moran

Tiahrt

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Todd Tiahrt Jerry Moran
Survey USA July 29-August 1, 2010 39% 49%
Survey USA July 15–18, 2010 36% 50%
Survey USA June 24–27, 2010 33% 53%
Survey USA May 21–23, 2010 29% 52%
Survey USA March 26–28, 2010 32% 42%
Survey USA January 29–31, 2010 33% 40%
Survey USA December 4–6, 2009 34% 37%
Survey USA October 2–4, 2009 27% 43%
Survey USA June 12–14, 2009 38% 40%
Survey USA April 17–19, 2009 35% 39%
Research 2000 February 2–4, 2009 24% 19%

Results

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jerry Moran 161,407 49.8
Republican Todd Tiahrt 144,372 44.6
Republican Tom Little 10,104 3.1
Republican Bob Londerholm 8,168 2.5
Total votes 324,051 100

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

Kansas is a very red state, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election since 1932.[14] After the primary, Moran chose not to release any more negative advertisements. Democrat Lisa Johnston ran a low-profile, quiet race. On election day, she won only two counties: Wyandotte County and Douglas County, while Moran won statewide by a landslide.[15]

Debates

The two never met for a debate.[16]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid R[17] October 21, 2010
Rothenberg Safe R[18] October 15, 2010
Swing State Project Safe R[citation needed]
RealClearPolitics Safe R[19] October 21, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R[20] October 21, 2010
CQ Politics Safe R[21] October 21, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Jerry Moran Lisa Johnston
Survey USA October 22–26, 2010 66% 26%
Survey USA October 10–12, 2010 67% 27%
Survey USA September 14–16, 2010 66% 24%
Survey USA August 12–15, 2010 69% 23%
Rasmussen Reports August 4, 2010 61% 28%
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2010 59% 23%
Rasmussen Reports May 11, 2010 61% 25%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Lisa Johnston (D) $10,627 $4,530 $6,096 $1,131
Jerry Moran (R) $2,749,244 $4,497,168 $795,015 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[22]

Results

United States Senate election in Kansas, 2010
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Jerry Moran 578,768 70.34% +1.18%
Democratic Lisa Johnston 215,270 26.16% -1.33%
Libertarian Michael Dann 17,437 2.12% +0.18%
Reform Joe Bellis 11,356 1.38% -0.04%
Majority 363,498 44.18%
Total votes 822,831 100
Republican hold Swing

References

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External links

Official candidate sites
Debates
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  14. ↑ http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadianpress/article/ALeqM5jGDefz_GrsjqKrRCw5Gi4uHe6Dlw?docId=5014559
  15. ↑ http://www.bonnersprings.com/news/2010/nov/02/democrats-take-lead-wyandotte-county/
  16. ↑ http://www.mcphersonsentinel.com/newsnow/x4794677/Moran-takes-Senate-seat
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