Leadership opinion polling for the 2016 Spanish general election
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In the run up to the 2016 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 20 December 2015, to the day the next election was held, on 26 June 2016.
Contents
Preferred Prime Minister
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become Prime Minister.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | 55px | 55px | 55px | 55px | 55px | Other/ None/ Not care |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajoy PP |
Sánchez PSOE |
Iglesias Podemos |
Rivera C's |
Garzón IU |
||||||
| InvyMark/laSexta[1] | 17–19 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 25.1 | 21.3 | 28.0 | 12.3 | – | – | 13.3 | 2.9 |
| TNS Demoscopia[2] | 13–19 Jun 2016 | 500 | 20.5 | 17.5 | 16.0 | 15.6 | – | 9.9 | 20.5 | 3.0 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[3] | 15–16 Jun 2016 | ? | 25.7 | 23.2 | 25.6 | 12.9 | – | – | 12.6 | 0.1 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[4] | 13–16 Jun 2016 | 1,502 | 14.7 | 16.4 | 26.0 | 20.5 | – | – | 22.4 | 5.5 |
| TNS Demoscopia[5] | 6–12 Jun 2016 | 500 | 19.3 | 18.9 | 18.2 | 16.6 | – | 8.0 | 18.9 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[6] | 3–7 Jun 2016 | 1,816 | 23.0 | 17.5 | 21.5 | 16.7 | – | 15.9 | 5.4 | 1.5 |
| GAD3/La Vanguardia[7] | 6–9 Jun 2016 | 1,016 | 23.2 | 16.9 | 16.3 | 11.3 | – | 27.9 | 4.4 | 6.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 21.0 | 24.0 | 19.0 | 21.0 | – | – | 15.0 | 3.0 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[9] | 9–13 May 2016 | ? | 24.5 | 23.6 | 25.5 | 14.5 | – | – | 11.9 | 1.0 |
| IMOP/Llorente & Cuenca[10] | 6–10 Apr 2016 | 1,027 | 23.4 | 27.1 | 11.9 | 21.9 | 12.3 | 3.4 | 3.7 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[11] | 5–8 Mar 2016 | 1,000 | 20.5 | 22.6 | 12.7 | 18.9 | 11.0 | 10.6 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[12] | 21–23 Dec 2015 | ? | 27.0 | 20.3 | 26.3 | 12.8 | – | – | 13.6 | 0.7 |
Predicted Prime Minister
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become Prime Minister.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | 55px | 55px | 55px | 55px | Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajoy PP |
Sánchez PSOE |
Iglesias Podemos |
Rivera C's |
||||||
| InvyMark/laSexta[1] | 17–19 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 45.3 | 13.7 | 10.8 | 1.6 | – | 28.6 | 31.6 |
| TNS Demoscopia[2] | 13–19 Jun 2016 | 500 | 40.5 | 19.4 | 11.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 22.5 | 21.1 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[3] | 15–16 Jun 2016 | ? | 47.1 | 14.7 | 7.5 | 1.1 | – | 29.6 | 32.4 |
| GAD3/ABC[13] | 13–16 Jun 2016 | 1,400 | 38.3 | 10.1 | 8.6 | 1.2 | 41.8 | 28.2 | |
| TNS Demoscopia[5] | 6–12 Jun 2016 | 500 | 42.7 | 15.7 | 11.3 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 24.9 | 27.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 46.0 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | – | 15.0 | 19.0 |
| GAD3/ABC[13] | 23–26 May 2016 | 1,000 | 37.6 | 13.4 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 43.5 | 24.2 | |
| Encuestamos[14] | 2–22 May 2016 | 2,000 | 35.2 | 28.6 | 29.5 | 4.8 | 6.8 | – | 5.7 |
| InvyMark/laSexta[9] | 9–13 May 2016 | ? | 54.0 | 18.4 | 7.1 | 1.6 | – | 18.9 | 35.6 |
| GAD3/ABC[15] | 26–29 Apr 2016 | 800 | 33.7 | 17.4 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 10.3 | 34.3 | 16.3 |
| Encuestamos[16] | 1–20 Apr 2016 | 2,000 | 35.2 | 35.1 | 13.0 | 5.8 | 10.9 | – | 0.1 |
| GAD3/ABC[17] | 6–7 Apr 2016 | 800 | 26.8 | 33.2 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 10.3 | 24.8 | 6.4 |
| Encuestamos[18] | 1–20 Mar 2016 | 2,000 | 28.5 | 36.1 | 13.1 | 6.0 | 16.3 | – | 7.6 |
| GAD3/ABC[19] | 7–10 Mar 2016 | 800 | 25.3 | 28.8 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 17.3 | 22.0 | 3.5 |
| Encuestamos[20] | 1–17 Feb 2016 | 1,800 | 9.2 | 49.9 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 34.0 | – | 40.7 |
| GAD3/ABC[21] | 8–11 Feb 2016 | 800 | 21.1 | 40.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 12.1 | 21.2 | 18.9 |
| GAD3/ABC[22] | 15–21 Jan 2016 | 802 | 32.5 | 31.7 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 10.3 | 17.9 | 0.8 |
Approval ratings
The tables below list the public approval ratings of the leaders and leading candidates of the main political parties in Spain.
Mariano Rajoy
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Mariano Rajoy (PP) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
 |
 |
Net | |||
| Simple Lógica[23] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 26.2 | 66.2 | 7.6 | −40.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[24] | 7–8 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 30.0 | 70.0 | 0.0 | −40.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 28.0 | 71.0 | 1.0 | −43.0 |
| Simple Lógica[25] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 23.0 | 70.3 | 6.6 | −47.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País[26] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.0 | −50.0 |
| Simple Lógica[27] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 22.6 | 73.9 | 3.5 | −51.3 |
| Metroscopia[28] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 27.0 | 73.0 | 0.0 | −46.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 25.0 | 74.0 | 1.0 | −49.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[30] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 28.0 | 72.0 | 0.0 | −44.0 |
| Simple Lógica[31] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 25.4 | 71.9 | 2.6 | −46.5 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 27.3 | 69.6 | 3.1 | −42.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 4 Feb 2016 | 600 | 34.0 | 65.0 | 1.0 | −31.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[34] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 30.0 | 69.0 | 1.0 | −39.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 2 Feb 2016 | ? | 33.0 | 66.0 | 1.0 | −33.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 20–21 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 33.0 | 66.0 | 1.0 | −33.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[35] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 35.0 | 64.0 | 1.0 | −29.0 |
| Simple Lógica[36] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 30.3 | 65.5 | 4.2 | −35.2 |
Pedro Sánchez
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Pedro Sánchez (PSOE) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Simple Lógica[23] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 20.8 | 68.6 | 10.5 | −47.8 |
| Metroscopia/El País[24] | 7–8 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 31.0 | 68.0 | 1.0 | −37.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 30.0 | 68.0 | 2.0 | −38.0 |
| Simple Lógica[25] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 24.1 | 67.6 | 8.4 | −43.5 |
| Metroscopia/El País[26] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 31.0 | 68.0 | 1.0 | −37.0 |
| Simple Lógica[27] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 25.7 | 68.0 | 6.3 | −42.3 |
| Metroscopia[28] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 36.0 | 62.0 | 2.0 | −26.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 2.0 | −20.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[30] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 46.0 | 52.0 | 2.0 | −6.0 |
| Simple Lógica[31] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 35.4 | 59.9 | 4.7 | −24.5 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 27.2 | 66.3 | 6.5 | −39.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 4 Feb 2016 | 600 | 50.0 | 47.0 | 3.0 | +3.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[34] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 50.0 | 46.0 | 4.0 | +4.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 2 Feb 2016 | ? | 44.0 | 52.0 | 4.0 | −8.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 20–21 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 31.0 | 64.0 | 5.0 | −33.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[35] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 37.0 | 57.0 | 6.0 | −20.0 |
| Simple Lógica[36] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 23.2 | 69.1 | 7.7 | −45.9 |
Pablo Iglesias
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Pablo Iglesias (Podemos) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Simple Lógica[23] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 20.5 | 69.1 | 10.4 | −48.6 |
| Metroscopia/El País[24] | 7–8 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 27.0 | 72.0 | 1.0 | −45.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 29.0 | 69.0 | 2.0 | −40.0 |
| Simple Lógica[25] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 21.0 | 71.5 | 7.6 | −50.5 |
| Metroscopia/El País[26] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 24.0 | 75.0 | 1.0 | −51.0 |
| Simple Lógica[27] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 22.8 | 72.9 | 4.3 | −50.1 |
| Metroscopia[28] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 26.0 | 72.0 | 2.0 | −46.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 30.0 | 68.0 | 2.0 | −38.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[30] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 32.0 | 67.0 | 1.0 | −35.0 |
| Simple Lógica[31] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 30.8 | 65.5 | 3.7 | −34.7 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 27.5 | 66.7 | 5.9 | −39.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 4 Feb 2016 | 600 | 36.0 | 61.0 | 3.0 | −25.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[34] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 2.0 | −20.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 2 Feb 2016 | ? | 33.0 | 64.0 | 3.0 | −31.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 20–21 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 37.0 | 59.0 | 4.0 | −22.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[35] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 39.0 | 56.0 | 5.0 | −17.0 |
| Simple Lógica[36] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 7.0 | −25.0 |
Albert Rivera
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Albert Rivera (C's) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Simple Lógica[23] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 40.1 | 49.5 | 10.3 | −9.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[24] | 7–8 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 2.0 | ±0.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 52.0 | 45.0 | 3.0 | +7.0 |
| Simple Lógica[25] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 42.7 | 48.4 | 8.9 | −5.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País[26] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 51.0 | 48.0 | 1.0 | +3.0 |
| Simple Lógica[27] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 44.5 | 49.8 | 5.7 | −5.3 |
| Metroscopia[28] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 56.0 | 42.0 | 2.0 | +14.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 56.0 | 37.0 | 7.0 | +19.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[30] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 65.0 | 33.0 | 2.0 | +32.0 |
| Simple Lógica[31] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 52.8 | 42.9 | 4.3 | +9.9 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 51.1 | 42.0 | 6.9 | +9.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 4 Feb 2016 | 600 | 65.0 | 32.0 | 3.0 | +33.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[34] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 63.0 | 35.0 | 2.0 | +28.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 2 Feb 2016 | ? | 62.0 | 35.0 | 3.0 | +27.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 20–21 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 56.0 | 38.0 | 6.0 | +18.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[35] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 53.0 | 41.0 | 6.0 | +12.0 |
| Simple Lógica[36] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 47.4 | 45.5 | 7.1 | +1.9 |
Alberto Garzón
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Alberto Garzón (IU) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Simple Lógica[23] | 1–15 Jun 2016 | 1,226 | 29.7 | 58.1 | 12.2 | −28.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[8] | 31 May–1 Jun 2016 | 1,200 | 44.0 | 52.0 | 4.0 | −8.0 |
| Simple Lógica[25] | 2–10 May 2016 | 1,035 | 37.7 | 50.4 | 11.9 | −12.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País[26] | 26–28 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 47.0 | 48.0 | 5.0 | −1.0 |
| Simple Lógica[27] | 4–12 Apr 2016 | 1,047 | 37.3 | 52.4 | 10.3 | −15.1 |
| Metroscopia[28] | 5–6 Apr 2016 | 1,200 | 51.0 | 45.0 | 4.0 | +6.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 28–30 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 55.0 | 42.0 | 3.0 | +13.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[30] | 8–9 Mar 2016 | 1,200 | 55.0 | 41.0 | 4.0 | +14.0 |
| Simple Lógica[31] | 1–9 Mar 2016 | 1,206 | 46.7 | 46.2 | 7.1 | +0.5 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 1–5 Feb 2016 | 1,048 | 37.3 | 50.2 | 12.5 | −12.9 |
| Metroscopia/El País[34] | 3–4 Feb 2016 | 1,000 | 55.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 | +17.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[35] | 12–14 Jan 2016 | 1,200 | 49.0 | 43.0 | 8.0 | +6.0 |
| Simple Lógica[36] | 4–12 Jan 2016 | 1,050 | 39.9 | 47.7 | 12.4 | −7.8 |
References
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