2024 United States gubernatorial elections
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13 governorships 11 states; 2 territories |
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Template:2024 United States gubernatorial elections imagemap TBD results
Nonpartisan No election |
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United States gubernatorial elections are currently being held on November 5, 2024, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2020, except in New Hampshire and Vermont, where governors only serve two-year terms and elected their governors in 2022. In addition to state gubernatorial elections, the territories of American Samoa and Puerto Rico will also hold elections for their governors.
The elections will take place concurrently with the 2024 presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and Senate, and numerous state and local elections. This will be the first election cycle since 2017 that no incumbent Democratic governors will be running for re-election.[lower-alpha 1] With the primary defeat of Puerto Rico governor Pedro Pierluisi, this is also the first cycle since 2020 in which an incumbent governor lost renomination, also in Puerto Rico. This is the first election cycle since 2015 in which there was no net change in state governorships held by either party.
Contents
Partisan composition
Going into the election, there are 27 Republican governors and 23 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors is made up of 8 Republicans and 3 Democrats. Republicans are defending two governorships in states that Joe Biden won in 2020 (New Hampshire and Vermont) while Democrats are defending one governorship in a state that Donald Trump won in 2020 (North Carolina).[1]
Election predictions
Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
| State | PVI | Incumbent | Last race |
Cook October 15, 2024[2] |
IE September 26, 2024[3] |
Sabato November 4, 2024[4] |
RCP October 1, 2024[5] |
ED November 4, 2024[6] |
CNalysis November 1, 2024[7] |
Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Template:Shading PVI | John Carney (term-limited) |
59.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | TBD |
| Indiana | Template:Shading PVI | Eric Holcomb (term-limited) |
56.5% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | TBD |
| Missouri | Template:Shading PVI | Mike Parson (term-limited) |
57.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | TBD |
| Montana | Template:Shading PVI | Greg Gianforte | 54.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | TBD |
| New Hampshire | Template:Shading PVI | Chris Sununu (retiring) |
57.0% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Tilt R | TBD |
| North Carolina | Template:Shading PVI | Roy Cooper (term-limited) |
51.5% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | TBD |
| North Dakota | Template:Shading PVI | Doug Burgum (retiring) |
65.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | TBD |
| Utah | Template:Shading PVI | Spencer Cox | 63.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | TBD |
| Vermont | Template:Shading PVI | Phil Scott | 69.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | TBD |
| Washington | Template:Shading PVI | Jay Inslee (retiring) |
56.6% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | TBD |
| West Virginia | Template:Shading PVI | Jim Justice (term-limited) |
63.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | TBD |
Race summary
States
| State | Governor | Party | First elected | Last race | Status | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | John Carney | Democratic | 2016 | 59.5% D | Incumbent term-limited. Democratic hold. |
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| Indiana | Eric Holcomb | Republican | 2016 | 56.5% R | Incumbent term-limited. Republican hold. |
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| Missouri | Mike Parson | Republican | 2018[lower-alpha 2] | 57.1% R | Incumbent term-limited. Republican hold. |
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| Montana | Greg Gianforte | Republican | 2020 | 54.4% R | Incumbent re-elected. | <templatestyles src="Plainlist/styles.css"/>
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| New Hampshire | Chris Sununu | Republican | 2016 | 57.0% R | Incumbent retiring.[8] Republican hold. |
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| North Carolina | Roy Cooper | Democratic | 2016 | 51.5% D | Incumbent term-limited. Democratic hold. |
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| North Dakota | Doug Burgum | Republican | 2016 | 65.8% R | Incumbent retiring.[9] Republican hold. |
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| Utah | Spencer Cox | Republican | 2020 | 63.0% R | Incumbent re-elected. | <templatestyles src="Plainlist/styles.css"/>
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| Vermont | Phil Scott | Republican | 2016 | 69.2% R | Incumbent re-elected. | <templatestyles src="Plainlist/styles.css"/>
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| Washington | Jay Inslee | Democratic | 2012 | 56.6% D | Incumbent retiring.[10] Democrat hold. |
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| West Virginia | Jim Justice | Republican | 2016[lower-alpha 3] | 63.5% R | Incumbent term-limited. Republican hold. |
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Territories
| State | Governor | Party | First elected | Last race | Status | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Samoa | Lemanu Peleti Mauga | Nonpartisan[lower-alpha 4] | 2020 | 60.3% NP/D | Incumbent running. | <templatestyles src="Plainlist/styles.css"/>
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| Puerto Rico | Pedro Pierluisi | New Progressive[lower-alpha 5] | 2020 | 32.9% PNP | Incumbent lost renomination.[13] | <templatestyles src="Plainlist/styles.css"/>
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Delaware
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Governor John Carney was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 59.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Delaware Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third term. New Castle County Executive Matt Meyer defeated Lieutenant Governor Bethany Hall-Long and President of the National Wildlife Federation and former secretary of the Delaware Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Control Collin O'Mara for the Democratic nomination and state House Minority Leader Michael Ramone has defeated Police Officer Jerry Price and Contactor Bobby Williamson for the Republican nomination.
Indiana
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Governor Eric Holcomb, who was re-elected in the 2020 with 57% of the vote, will be term-limited by the Indiana Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. U.S. Senator Mike Braun has won the Republican nomination, defeating Lieutenant Governor Suzanne Crouch, former president of the Indiana Economic Development Corporation Eric Doden and former Attorney General Curtis Hill.
Former Republican state Superintendent of Schools Jennifer McCormick won the Democratic nomination, previously switching parties in 2021.[22]
Missouri
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Governor Mike Parson took office on June 1, 2018, upon the resignation of Eric Greitens and was elected to a full term in his own right in 2020 with 57.2% of the vote. Because Parson served more than two years of Greitens' term, he is term-limited by the Missouri Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a second full term. Incumbent Lieutenant Governor Mike Kehoe won the Republican gubernatorial nomination with 39% of the vote, defeating state Senator Bill Eigel and Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft.[23] In the Democratic primary, state House Minority Leader Crystal Quade won the nomination.[24]
Montana
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Governor Greg Gianforte was elected in 2020 with 54.4% of the vote. He is running for re-election and defeated State Representative Tanner Smith in the primary.
Businessman Ryan Busse won the Democratic nomination and will face Gianforte in the general election.
New Hampshire
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Governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth term in 2022. However on July 19, 2023, he announced he would not seek re-election.[25] Former U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte won the Republican gubernatorial nomination, defeating former state Senator Chuck Morse.[26]
In the Democratic primary former Manchester Mayor Joyce Craig defeated state Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington for the Democratic nomination.[27]
North Carolina
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Governor Roy Cooper was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 51.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the North Carolina Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Attorney General Josh Stein defeated former state Supreme Court justice Michael Morgan for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, while Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson defeated State Treasurer Dale Folwell for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[28][29][30][31]
North Dakota
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Governor Doug Burgum was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 65.8% of the vote. In the November 2022 elections, voters amended the North Dakota Constitution to place a limit of two, four-year terms for succeeding governors sworn into office after the amendment's effective date of January 1, 2023.[32] Burgum, sworn into office before the amendment's effective date, remained eligible to run for re-election for a third term. Burgum initially ran for the Republican nomination in the 2024 United States presidential election,[33] but dropped out before the primaries. On January 22, 2024, he announced he would not seek re-election as Governor. United States Representative Kelly Armstrong won the Republican nomination and defeated Lieutenant Governor Tammy Miller.[9]
On the other side, state Senator Merrill Piepkorn won the Democratic nomination unopposed.
Utah
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Governor Spencer Cox was elected in 2020 with 63% of the vote and is running for re-election to a second term. He won the Republican primary over conservative state Representative Phil Lyman to be the nominee.[34]
On the other side, state Representative Brian King won the Democratic nomination unopposed.
Vermont
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Governor Phil Scott won re-election to a fourth two-year term in 2022. Because Vermont does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a fifth term in 2024, and has announced that he will do so.[35] Scott won the August 12 primary unopposed and will face educator Esther Charlestin in the general election.[36]
Washington
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Washington Governor Jay Inslee was re-elected to a third term in 2020 with 56.6% of the vote. Because Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a fourth term, but he has decided not to seek re-election.[37] State Attorney General Bob Ferguson won the Democratic nomination.[38][39] In the Republican primary, former U.S. representative Dave Reichert won the nomination.[40][41]
West Virginia
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Governor Jim Justice was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 63.5% of the vote. He is term-limited by the West Virginia Constitution in 2024 and ineligible to seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Justice is running for the United States Senate.
State Attorney General Patrick Morrisey won the Republican nomination, defeating former state Delegate Moore Capito, businessman Chris Miller, and Secretary of State Mac Warner.[42][43][44][45]
Huntington Mayor Steve Williams won the Democratic nomination unopposed.[46][47]
Territories
American Samoa
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Lemanu Peleti Mauga was elected Governor in the 2020 general election with 60.3% of the vote. On April 10, 2024, Mauga and incumbent Lieutenant Governor Eleasalo Ale announced their campaign for reelection under the slogan "E Lavatia le Alofa” — "Love Beareth All."[48] Prior to Magua's announcement, Paramount Chief Mauga Tasi Asuega was advocating for the Governor's reelection.[49] Pula T. I. Nikolao Pula, former Director of the Office of Insular Affairs, announced his candidacy on March 4, 2024.[50] Pula announced High Chief Pulu Ae Ae Jr., a former faipule for Maʻopūtasi County as his running mate.[49]
Puerto Rico
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Governor Pedro Pierluisi was elected in 2020 with 32.9% of the vote. He announced his re-election campaign on March 20, 2022, during the New Progressive Party's general assembly.[16] However, he was defeated by Jenniffer González-Colón, the resident commissioner, in the New Progressive Party primary election.[13]
Territorial legislator Jesús Manuel Ortiz won the nomination of the Popular Democratic Party.[51] Other candidates include former territorial senator Juan Dalmau of the Alianza de País (an alliance between the Puerto Rican Independence Party and Citizen's Victory Movement), and San Sebastián mayor Javier Jiménez of Project Dignity. Because Citizen's Victory was required by law to field a candidate in the governor's race, Javier Córdova Iturregui is also on the ballot.
See also
Notes
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