30th Saskatchewan general election

30th Saskatchewan general election

On or before October 28, 2024
61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan 31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
160x160px Leader Scott Moe Carla Beck Party Saskatchewan New Democratic Leader since January 27, 2018 June 26, 2022 Leader's seat Rosthern-Shellbrook Regina Lakeview Last election 48 seats, 60.67% 13 seats, 31.82% Current seats 48 11 Seats needed 20
Incumbent Premier Scott Moe Saskatchewan

The 30th Saskatchewan general election will be held on or before October 28, 2024 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan.

Background

Since 2010, the Legislative Assembly has had a fixed four-year term. According to the 2019 amendment to {{|The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007 (Saskatchewan)}}, "the first general election after the coming into force of this subsection must be held on Monday, October 26, 2020". Subsequent elections, must occur "on the last Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the last general election". However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 7, 2025. The fixed election law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.

Timeline

2020

• October 26: The Saskatchewan Party wins a majority government in the 2020 Saskatchewan general election. The Saskatchewan New Democratic Party (NDP) forms the official opposition. No other parties won seats in the election.

2021

• August 10: Athabasca MLA Buckley Belanger (NDP) resigned his seat to seek a federal Liberal nomination in the 2021 Canadian federal election.
• September 30: MLA Nadine Wilson resigned from the Sask. Party caucus after misrepresenting her COVID-19 vaccination status, becoming an independent MLA.

2022

• February 15: Sask. Party candidate Jim Lemaigre won the 2022 Athabasca provincial by-election.

• February 18: Ryan Meili announced his intention to resign as NDP leader. He intends to remain leader until a successor is chosen.

• May 19: Ryan Meili announces his intention to resign as the MLA for Saskatoon Meewasin, effective July 1.

• June 26: Carla Beck is elected as Leader of the Saskatchewan NDP.

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Client	Dates conducted	Source	SK Party	NDP	Green	Liberal	Buffalo	PC	Others	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead
Angus Reid	N/A	Template:Opmdrts		57%	34%	1%	2%	6%			4%	513	Online	23%
Angus Reid	N/A	Template:Opmdrts		54%	36%	2%	2%	6%			4%	602	Online	18%
Research Co.	N/A	Template:Opmdrts		53%	37%	2%	1%	3%	2%	1%	3.5%	808	Online	16%
Angus Reid	N/A	Template:Opmdrts		48%	39%	1%	2%	10%			5%	415	Online	9%
Angus Reid	N/A	Sep 29–Oct 3, 2021		52%	35%	1%	2%	9%			2%	505	Online	17%
Angus Reid	N/A	Template:Opmdrts		57%	31%	3%	2%	8%			4%	412	Online	26%
Leger	Common Ground	Template:Opmdrts		41.5%	36.3%	3.9%	6.2%	4.5%	7.3%	0.2%	N/A	802	Online	5.3%
Angus Reid	N/A	Template:Opmdrts		58%	29%	12%					1.4%	459	Online	29%
2020 general election		Oct 24, 2020	N/A	60.7%	31.8%	2.3%	0.1%	2.6%	1.9%	2.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A	28.9%
Polling firm	Client	Dates conducted	Source							Others	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead
				SK Party	NDP	Green	Liberal	Buffalo	PC