United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina, 2008
Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The United States House of Representative elections of 2008 in North Carolina were held on 4 November 2008 as part of the biennial election to the United States House of Representatives. All thirteen seats in North Carolina, and 435 nationwide, were elected to the 111th United States Congress. The party primary elections were held 6 May 2008.
Carried on the coattails of Barack Obama winning the state in the presidential election, the Democrats added one seat to their seven won in 2006. The Republican Party won the other five. In the 8th district, Democrat Larry Kissell defeated incumbent Robin Hayes. All other incumbents won re-election. The Republicans' hold on the 10th district had been thought to be at risk by CQ Politics, but Republican Patrick McHenry won re-election. The Democrats increased their total vote share by 1.5% statewide, and 2.5% if excluding the 1st, which the Republicans didn't contest in 2006.
It is not to be confused with the election to the North Carolina House of Representatives, which was held on the same day.
Contents
Summary
District | Incumbent | 2008 Status | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | G.K. Butterfield | Re-election | G.K. Butterfield | Dean Stephens | |
2 | Bob Etheridge | Re-election | Bob Etheridge | Dan Mansell | Will Adkins |
3 | Walter B. Jones | Re-election | Craig Weber | Walter B. Jones | |
4 | David Price | Re-election | David Price | B.J. Lawson | |
5 | Virginia Foxx | Re-election | Roy Carter | Virginia Foxx | |
6 | Howard Coble | Re-election | Teresa Sue Bratton | Howard Coble | |
7 | Mike McIntyre | Re-election | Mike McIntyre | Will Breazeale | |
8 | Robin Hayes | Defeated | Larry Kissell | Robin Hayes | |
9 | Sue Myrick | Re-election | Harry Taylor | Sue Myrick | Andy Grum |
10 | Patrick McHenry | Re-election | Daniel Johnson | Patrick McHenry | |
11 | Heath Shuler | Re-election | Heath Shuler | Carl Mumpower | Keith Smith |
12 | Mel Watt | Re-election | Mel Watt | Ty Cobb, Jr. | |
13 | Brad Miller | Re-election | Brad Miller | Hugh Webster |
2008 United States House of Representative elections in North Carolina – Summary | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Seats | Gains | Losses | Net gain/loss | Seats % | Votes % | Votes | +/− | ||
Democratic | 8 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 61.54 | 54.42 | 2,293,971 | +1.51 | ||
Republican | 5 | 0 | 1 | –1 | 38.46 | 45.11 | 1,901,517 | –1.98 | ||
Libertarian | 0 | 0 | 0 | ±0 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 19,605 | +0.47 |
District 1
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This district, located in the northeastern portion of the state, is represented by Democrat G.K. Butterfield, who first won it in a 2004 special election. It is the only majority-black district in the state, and is overwhelmingly Democratic (Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9). It is one of the few districts in the former Confederacy that hasn't elected a Republican since the end of Reconstruction. Butterfield was opposed by Republican William A. "Dean" Stephens. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | G. K. Butterfield (incumbent) | 192,765 | 70.28 | -29.72 | |
Republican | Dean Stephens | 81,506 | 29.72 | N/A | |
Turnout | 274,271 |
District 2
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This district includes several suburban and rural areas near Raleigh, Rocky Mount and Fayetteville. It has been represented by Democrat Bob Etheridge since 1997. The district is a swing district on paper (CPVI of R+3); it narrowly supported Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, and gave equally narrow margins to George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004. However, Etheridge is very popular in this area. In 2008, he faced his 2006 opponent, Republican Dan Mansell, and Libertarian Will Adkins. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bob Etheridge (incumbent) | 199,730 | 66.93 | +0.40 | |
Republican | Dan Mansell | 93,323 | 31.27 | –2.20 | |
Libertarian | Will Adkins | 5,377 | 1.80 | N/A | |
Turnout | 298,430 |
District 3
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This district stretches along the northeastern and east-central portions of the state, including the Outer Banks. It has been represented by Republican Walter B. Jones, Jr. since 1995. Although Democrats have a 14-point plurality of registered voters, Jones had long been thought to have an unbreakable hold on this district. Much of this area had been part of the 1st prior to 1993, and Jones's father, popular 14-term Democrat Walter Jones, Sr., is still an icon in this region. However, Jones's voting record has shifted increasingly to the center for some time, and he has become one of the most vocal Republican opponents of the Iraq War. This has caused considerable chagrin among Republicans in his district. Onslow County Commissioner Joe McLaughlin announced in mid-2007 that he would challenge Jones in the Republican primary. Jones defeated McLaughlin in the May 6 primary, with about 60 percent of the vote. 2006 Democratic nominee Craig Weber won his party's primary over Marshall Adame, carrying about 70 percent of the vote. The district has a CPVI of R+15—a three-way statistical tie for the most Republican district in the state, making it a very difficult pickup for Democrats on paper. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Walter B. Jones (incumbent) | 201,686 | 65.90 | –2.74 | |
Democratic | Craig Weber | 104,364 | 34.10 | +2.74 | |
Turnout | 306,050 |
District 4
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This district includes the heart of the Triangle area, including part of Raleigh and all of Durham and Chapel Hill, North Carolina. It has been represented by Democrat David Price since 1997 (he previously represented the 4th from 1987 to 1995). Despite a CPVI of only D+5, the influence of the state's three major research universities plus Price's status as an Appropriations subcommittee chairman (or "Cardinal") make Price a heavy favorite. Two Republicans competed in a May primary for the right to face Price: Augustus Cho and William (B.J.) Lawson. Lawson won, with about 70 percent of the vote. Libertarian Maximillian Longley also ran in the general election. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | David Price (incumbent) | 265,751 | 63.32 | –1.67 | |
Republican | B.J. Lawson | 153,947 | 36.68 | +1.67 | |
Turnout | 419,698 |
District 5
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Democrats Roy Carter and Diane Hamby filed to run against incumbent Virginia Foxx. Carter won the May 6 primary, with just over 50 percent of the vote. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Virginia Foxx (incumbent) | 190,820 | 58.37 | +1.21 | |
Democratic | Roy Carter | 136,103 | 41.63 | –1.21 | |
Turnout | 326,923 |
District 6
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Democrats Johnny J. Carter, Jay Ovittore, and Teresa Sue Bratton (campaign website) filed to run against incumbent Howard Coble. Bratton won the May 6 primary, with 61 percent of the vote. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Howard Coble (incumbent) | 221,018 | 67.00 | –3.83 | |
Democratic | Teresa Sue Bratton | 108,873 | 33.00 | +3.83 | |
Turnout | 329,891 |
District 7
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Republican Will Breazeale opposed incumbent Mike McIntyre. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike McIntyre (incumbent) | 215,383 | 68.84 | –3.95 | |
Republican | Will Breazeale | 97,472 | 31.16 | +3.95 | |
Turnout | 312,855 |
District 8
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Democratic nominee Larry Kissell won against incumbent Robin Hayes, reversing the result from 2006 when Kissell came up only 329 votes short of upsetting Hayes. Libertarian Thomas Hill also ran. CQ Politics rated it as 'No Clear Favorite',[2] The Rothenberg Political Report as 'Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic',[3] and The Cook Political Report as 'Republican Toss Up'[4]
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Hayes (R-i) vs Kissell (D) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Larry Kissell | 157,185 | 55.38 | +5.52 | |
Republican | Robin Hayes (incumbent) | 126,634 | 44.62 | –5.52 | |
Turnout | 283,819 |
District 9
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Ross Overby and Harry Taylor ran in the Democratic primary, and incumbent Sue Myrick faced opposition from Jack Stratton in the Republican primary. Taylor defeated Overby, with about 58 percent of the vote, while Myrick easily won re-nomination with 92 percent of the vote. Libertarian Andy Grum also ran in the general election. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sue Wilkins Myrick (incumbent) | 241,053 | 62.37 | –4.16 | |
Democratic | Harry Taylor | 138,719 | 35.89 | +2.42 | |
Libertarian | Andy Grum | 6,711 | 1.74 | N/A | |
Turnout | 386,483 |
District 10
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Republican incumbent Patrick McHenry defeated Democratic nominee Daniel Johnson, but the margin of victory was McHenry's smallest to date.[5] Johnson defeated Steve Ivester in the May 6 Democratic primary, with about 60 percent of the vote. McHenry won the Republican primary, garnering about 67 percent of the vote in a race against attorney Lance Sigmon.[6] CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Republican Favored', while Cook Political Report ranked it as 'Likely Republican'.
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Race Rankings from Cook Political Report
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- McHenry (R-i) vs Johnson (D) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Patrick McHenry (incumbent) | 171,774 | 57.55 | –4.25 | |
Democratic | Daniel Johnson | 126,699 | 42.45 | +4.25 | |
Turnout | 298,473 |
District 11
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First-term incumbent Heath Shuler faced Carl Mumpower, who won a three-way Republican primary that included Spence Campbell and John C. Armor. Shuler was favored, since he did not face opposition from the man he defeated in 2006, former Rep. Charles H. Taylor. Libertarian Keith Smith also ran in the general election. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Heath Shuler (incumbent) | 211,112 | 61.96 | +8.17 | |
Republican | Carl Mumpower | 122,087 | 35.83 | –10.37 | |
Libertarian | Keith Smith | 7,517 | 2.21 | N/A | |
Turnout | 340,716 |
District 12
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Incumbent Mel Watt was the heavy favorite over little-known Republican and U.S. Army veteran Ty Cobb, Jr. (no known relation to the baseball legend, Ty Cobb).[7] CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mel Watt (incumbent) | 215,908 | 71.56 | +4.55 | |
Republican | Ty Cobb, Jr. | 85,814 | 28.44 | –4.55 | |
Turnout | 301,722 |
District 13
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Incumbent Brad Miller faced Republican former state senator Hugh Webster, after easily defeating little-known Derald Hafner in the Democratic primary, with 88 percent of the vote. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brad Miller (incumbent) | 221,379 | 65.93 | +2.22 | |
Republican | Hugh Webster | 114,383 | 34.07 | –2.22 | |
Turnout | 335,762 |
See also
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.10 1.11 1.12 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Race Ratings Chart: House CQ Politics
- ↑ 2008 House Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report, October 14, 2008
- ↑ 2008 Competitive House Race Chart The Cook POlitical Report, October 14, 2008
- ↑ OurCampaigns.com
- ↑ [1]
- ↑ Salisbury Post
References
- Congressional Wrap-up, Charlotte Observer, May 7, 2008
- State Board of Elections: Primary Election Results
- State Board of Elections: Candidate Filings
- Libertarians File List of 2008 Candidates
- Daily Reflector: Local Democrats celebrate taking top seats