1968 Democratic Party presidential primaries

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1968 Democratic Party presidential primaries

← 1964 March 12 to June 11, 1968 1972 →

2,607 delegates to the 1968 Democratic National Convention
1,304 (majority) votes needed to win
  160x160px EugeneMcCarthy.jpg Robert F Kennedy crop.jpg
Candidate Hubert Humphrey Eugene McCarthy Robert F. Kennedy
Home state Minnesota Minnesota New York
Delegate count 1,759.25 601 393 (146.5)
Contests won 0 6 4
Popular vote 166,463 2,914,933 2,305,148
Percentage 2.2% 38.7% 30.6%

1968DemocraticPresidentialPrimaries.svg
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     Kennedy/McGovern[lower-alpha 1]      Humphrey     McCarthy      Various[lower-alpha 2]

Previous Democratic nominee

Lyndon B. Johnson

Democratic nominee

Hubert Humphrey

From March 12 to June 11, 1968, Democratic Party voters elected delegates to the 1968 Democratic National Convention for the purpose of selecting the party's nominee for President in the upcoming election. After an inconclusive and tumultuous campaign marred by the assassination of Robert F. Kennedy, incumbent Vice President Hubert Humphrey was nominated the 1968 Democratic National Convention held from August 26 to August 29, 1968, in Chicago, Illinois.

The primary season began with incumbent President Lyndon B. Johnson expected to win re-nomination for a second consecutive election, despite low approval ratings following the Tet Offensive in January 1968. His only significant challenger was Eugene McCarthy, an anti-war Senator from Minnesota. After McCarthy nearly won the New Hampshire primary, Johnson ended his re-election campaign and Robert F. Kennedy, another critic of the war and the brother of the late President John F. Kennedy, entered the race. In April, Vice President Hubert H. Humphrey joined the race as the establishment candidate; he did not criticize the war and avoided the primaries.

McCarthy and Kennedy traded primary victories while Humphrey collected delegates through the closed caucus and convention systems in place in most states. The race was upended on June 5, the night of the California and South Dakota primaries. Both races went for Kennedy, but he was assassinated after his victory speech at the Ambassador Hotel. At the moment of his assassination, Kennedy trailed Humphrey in the delegate count, with McCarthy third.

At the convention, Humphrey secured the nomination easily despite anti-war protests outside the convention center; he went on to lose the presidential election narrowly to Richard Nixon. Partly in reaction to Humphrey's victory without entering most state primaries, George McGovern led the McGovern-Fraser Commission, dramatically reforming the nomination process to expand the use of primaries.

Background

1960 and 1964 presidential elections

In 1960, John F. Kennedy won the Democratic nomination over Lyndon B. Johnson. After he secured the nomination at the party convention, Kennedy offered Johnson the vice presidential nomination; the offer was a surprise, and some Kennedy supporters claimed that the nominee expected Johnson to decline. Robert F. Kennedy, the nominee's brother and campaign manager, reportedly went to Johnson's hotel suite to dissuade Johnson from accepting.[1] Johnson accepted, and the Kennedy-Johnson ticket was narrowly elected, but the 1960 campaign intensified the personal enmity between Robert F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson, which dated to as early as 1953. President Kennedy named his brother to his cabinet as United States Attorney General.

President Kennedy was assassinated on November 22, 1963; Johnson succeeded him with tremendous national popularity amid a wave of mourning and sympathy. Robert Kennedy remained in the cabinet for several months amid what Johnson staffers began to refer to as "the Bobby problem": despite the personal hatred between the two, Democratic voters overwhelmingly favored Kennedy as Johnson's running mate in the 1964 election.[2] Kennedy began to plan for a nationwide campaign,[3] and in the informal New Hampshire vice-presidential primary, Kennedy defeated Hubert H. Humphrey in a landslide.[4] In July 1964, Johnson issued an official statement ruling out any cabinet member for the vice presidency.[5] Instead, Kennedy ran for and won election to the United States Senate from New York. Johnson was re-elected in a landslide.

Vietnam War

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United States involvement in the Vietnam War began as shortly after the end of World War II. In 1964, President Johnson began to dramatically escalate American military presence after the Gulf of Tonkin incident. General William C. Westmoreland, whom Johnson had appointed to command American troops in Vietnam, expanded U.S. manpower from 16,000 to more than 553,000 by 1969.

As U.S. involvement escalated throughout 1964 to 1966, protests against the war escalated in proportion. Several anti-war groups were founded or expanded during the period.

1966 midterms and "Dump Johnson" movement

File:Eugene McCarthy A Breath of Fresh Air.jpg
Anti-war Senator Eugene McCarthy agreed to challenge President Johnson in October 1967, after several better-known candidates (including Robert Kennedy) declined to run.

Amid criticism of U.S. handling of the war from both parties, President Johnson's approval rating sank from a high above 70 percent to below 40 percent by the 1966 midterm elections. The Democratic Party had already begun to split between anti-war "doves" and pro-war "hawks," and the Republican Party gained dozens of seats in Congress.

As opposition grew in 1967, anti-war Democrats led by Allard Lowenstein and Curtis Gans formed the Dump Johnson movement, which sought to challenge the President's re-election. Their first choice was Robert Kennedy, who had sufficiently established himself as a critic of the war and an effective popular campaigner. He declined, as did a series of lesser-known candidates, including Senator George McGovern. Lowenstein finally found a candidate in October 1967, when Minnesota Senator Eugene McCarthy agreed to challenge the President. At first, McCarthy merely expressed his interest, telling Lowenstein, "Somebody has to raise the flag."[6][7] On November 30, 1967, McCarthy publicly announced his campaign for the nomination.

Kennedy continued to demur, despite pressure from his aides to enter the race and worry that anti-war allies, like George McGovern, would begin to make commitments to McCarthy.[8] On January 30, he again indicated to the press that he had no plans to campaign against Johnson.[9]

In early February 1968, after the Tet Offensive in Vietnam, Kennedy received an anguished letter from writer Pete Hamill, noting that poor people in the Watts area of Los Angeles had hung pictures of Kennedy's brother, President John F. Kennedy, in their homes. Hamill's letter reminded Robert Kennedy that he had an "obligation of staying true to whatever it was that put those pictures on those walls."[10] There were other factors that influenced Kennedy's decision to enter the presidential primary race. On February 29, 1968, the Kerner Commission issued a report on the racial unrest that had affected American cities during the previous summer. The Kerner Commission blamed "white racism" for the violence, but its findings were largely dismissed by the Johnson administration.[10]

However, by early March, he had made up his mind to enter the race, albeit too late to contest the upcoming New Hampshire primary.[11] He may have been influenced by the January Tet Offensive, a victorious Northern assault across South Vietnam, and the February 29 report of the Kerner Commission, which blamed "white racism" for the series of race riots in the summer of 1967 but was largely ignored by the Johnson administration.[citation needed]

On March 10, Kennedy told his aide, Peter Edelman, that he had decided to run and had to "figure out how to get McCarthy out of it."[11][12] However, Kennedy hesitated to enter the race with McCarthy still in and agreed to McCarthy's request to delay an announcement of his intentions until after the New Hampshire primary.[11]

Candidates

Nominee

Candidate Born Most recent position Home state Campaign
130px
Hubert Humphrey
May 27, 1911
(Age 57)
Wallace, South Dakota
Vice President of the United States
(1965–69)
100px
Minnesota
x120px
(Campaign)

Competed in primaries

These candidates participated in multiple state primaries or were included in multiple major national polls.

Candidate Born Most recent position Home state Campaign
150x150px
Lyndon B. Johnson
August 27, 1908
(age 59)
Stonewall, Texas
President of the United States
(1963–1969)
Flag of Texas.svg
Texas
Withdrew: March 31, 1968
Robert F Kennedy crop.jpg
Robert F. Kennedy
November 20, 1925
(age 42)
Brookline, Massachusetts
U.S. Senator
from New York
(1965–1968)
New York
New York
152x152px
(Campaign)
Assassinated: June 5, 1968
EugeneMcCarthy.jpg
Eugene McCarthy
March 29, 1916
(age 52)
Watkins, Minnesota
U.S. Senator
from Minnesota
(1959–1971)
70x70px
Minnesota
152x152px
(Campaign)

Bypassing primaries

The following candidate did not place his name directly on the ballot for any state's presidential primary, but instead sought to influence selection from unelected delegates or sought the support of uncommitted delegates.

Candidate Born Most recent position Home state Campaign
150x150px
George McGovern
July 19, 1922
(Age 45)
Avon, South Dakota
U.S. Senator
from South Dakota
(1963–1981)
70x70px
South Dakota
[lower-alpha 3]
  1. After Kennedy's assassination, most but not all of the delegates he had won voted for George McGovern at the Convention.
  2. Favorite sons won the Ohio (Stephen Young) and Florida (George Smathers) primaries. President Lyndon Johnson won the New Hampshire primary before withdrawing.
  3. McGovern entered the race following Robert Kennedy's assassination.

Favorite sons

The following candidates ran only in their home state's primary or caucus for the purpose of controlling its delegate slate at the convention and did not appear to be considered national candidates by the media.

Declined to run

The following persons were listed in two or more major national polls or were the subject of media speculation surrounding their potential candidacy, but declined to actively seek the nomination.

Polling

Nationwide polling

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Graph of opinion polls conducted
Poll source Publication
Hubert Humphrey
Lyndon B. Johnson
Robert F. Kennedy
Eugene McCarthy
Gallup[13] Feb. 1966 5% 52% 27%
Gallup[13] Aug. 1966 6% 38% 40%
Gallup[13] Jan. 1967 8% 34% 43%
Gallup[13] Sep. 1967 6% 37% 39%
Newsweek[13] Jan. 7, 1968 74.3% 16.7%
Theodore H. White[13] Jan. 10, 1968 79% 12%
Newsweek[13] Jan. 21, 1968 73% 18%
U.S. News & World Report[13] Jan. 22, 1968 66.7% 24.3%
Newsweek[13] Jan. 28, 1968 80% 11%
New York Times/CBS[13] Feb. 1, 1968 71% 20%
Theodore H. White[13] Feb. 10, 1968 73% 18%
Newsweek[13] Feb. 25, 1968 76.7% 14.3%
U.S. News & World Report[13] Feb. 26, 1968 76.2% 14.8%
New York Times/CBS[13] Feb. 29, 1968 77% 14%
Newsweek[13] Mar. 3, 1968 69% 20%
U.S. News & World Report[13] Mar. 5, 1968 65% 30%
Theodore H. White[13] Mar. 10, 1968 65.5% 26.5%
March 12: New Hampshire primary
March 16: Robert F. Kennedy enters the race
New York Times/CBS[13] Mar. 21, 1968 50% 41%
U.S. News & World Report[13] Mar. 24, 1968 39% 52%
March 31: Johnson withdraws
New York Times/CBS[13] Apr. 4, 1968 12% 79%
Gallup[13] Apr. 9, 1968 31% 35% 23%
Gallup[13] Apr. 23, 1968 25% 28% 33%
Gallup[13] May 7, 1968 40% 31% 19%
June 5: Robert F. Kennedy is assassinated
Gallup[13] July 23, 1968 53% 39%

Campaign

New Hampshire: March 12

Running as an antiwar candidate in the New Hampshire primary, McCarthy hoped to pressure the Democrats into publicly opposing the Vietnam War. Trailing badly in national polls and with little chance to influence delegate selection absent primary wins, McCarthy decided to pour most of his resources into New Hampshire, the first state to hold a primary election. He was boosted by thousands of young college students who volunteered throughout the state, who shaved their beards and cut their hair to "Get Clean for Gene."

On March 12, McCarthy was the only person on the ballot, as Johnson had not filed, and was only a write in candidate. McCarthy won 42% of the primary vote to Johnson's 49%, an extremely strong showing for such a challenger which gave McCarthy's campaign legitimacy and momentum.

Kennedy enters: March 16

Despite his desire to oppose Johnson directly and the fear that McCarthy would split the anti-war vote, Kennedy pushed forward with his planned campaign. On March 16, Kennedy declared, "I am today announcing my candidacy for the presidency of the United States. I do not run for the presidency merely to oppose any man, but to propose new policies. I run because I am convinced that this country is on a perilous course and because I have such strong feelings about what must be done, and I feel that I'm obliged to do all I can."[14]

Johnson withdraws: March 31

File:President Lyndon B. Johnson speech re bombing halt and decision not to run for re-election - NARA - 192620.tif
President Lyndon B. Johnson delivers a speech withdrawing from the race on March 31.

Johnson now had two strong challengers, sitting members of the Senate with demonstrated popularity. To make matters worse, polling in Wisconsin showed McCarthy beating Johnson badly, with the latter getting only 12% of the vote.[15] Facing declining health and bleak political forecasts in the upcoming primaries,[16] Johnson concluded that he could not win the nomination without a major political and personal struggle. On March 31, 1968, at the end of a televised address on Vietnam, he shocked the nation by announcing that he would not seek re-election. By withdrawing, he could avoid the stigma of defeat and could keep control of the party machinery to support Hubert Humphrey, his loyal vice president. As the year developed, it also became clear that Johnson believed he could secure his place in the history books by ending the war before the election in November, which would give Humphrey the boost he would need to win.[17][18][19]

After Johnson's withdrawal, the Wisconsin primary on April 2 was effectively uncontested. McCarthy won 56–35%. Kennedy received 6%. Pennsylvania on April 23 was similarly a rout for McCarthy, who took 71% of the vote.

Humphrey declares: April 27

After Johnson's withdrawal, Vice President Hubert Humphrey announced his candidacy on April 27.[20] Humphrey's campaign concentrated on winning the delegates in non-primary states, where party leaders controlled the delegate votes. Humphrey did not compete in the primaries, leaving favorite sons to win delegates as surrogates, notably United States Senator George A. Smathers from Florida, United States Senator Stephen M. Young from Ohio, and Governor Roger D. Branigin of Indiana.

With Johnson's withdrawal, the New Deal Coalition effectively dissolved.

  • Hubert Humphrey, Johnson's Vice-President, gained the support of labor unions and big-city party bosses (such as Chicago Mayor Richard J. Daley), who had been the Democratic Party's primary power base since the days of President Franklin D. Roosevelt. It was also believed that Johnson himself was covertly supporting Humphrey, despite the public claims of neutrality.
  • McCarthy rallied students and intellectuals who had been the early activists against the war in Vietnam.
  • Kennedy gained some support from the poor, Catholics, African-Americans, and other racial and ethnic minorities.
  • Conservative white Southern Democrats, or "Dixiecrats," had their influence decline swiftly in the national party and tended to support either Humphrey or former Alabama Governor George C. Wallace, who was running in a third-party campaign for the general election.

McCarthy-Kennedy contests

File:SWPC-RFK-C004-003.jpg
Kennedy campaigning in Los Angeles (photo courtesy of John F. Kennedy Presidential Library & Museum, Boston)

McCarthy and Kennedy engaged in a series of state primaries. Despite Kennedy's high profile, McCarthy won most of the early primaries, including Kennedy's native state of Massachusetts;[21][22] however, in primaries where they campaigned directly against one another, Kennedy won three primaries (Indiana, Nebraska, and California) and McCarthy won one (Oregon).[23] Kennedy defeated Roger Branigin and McCarthy in the Indiana primary, and then defeated McCarthy in the Nebraska primary. However, McCarthy upset Kennedy in the key battleground of Oregon, after which it was assumed that McCarthy was the preferred choice of young voters.[24]

California, South Dakota, and New Jersey: June 5

After Kennedy's defeat in Oregon, the California primary was seen as crucial to both Kennedy and McCarthy. McCarthy stumped the state's many colleges and universities, where he was treated as a hero for being the first presidential candidate to oppose the war. Kennedy campaigned in the ghettos and barrios of the state's larger cities, where he was mobbed by enthusiastic supporters. Kennedy and McCarthy engaged in a television debate a few days before the election that was generally considered a draw. On June 4, Kennedy defeated McCarthy in California, 46% to 42%, and also won the South Dakota primary held the same day. McCarthy, who defeated Kennedy in New Jersey that very same night, refused to withdraw from the presidential race and made it clear that he would contest Kennedy in the upcoming New York primary, where McCarthy had much support from antiwar activists in New York City.

Kennedy assassination

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After giving his victory speech at the Ambassador Hotel in Los Angeles, California, Kennedy was assassinated in the kitchen service pantry in the early morning of June 5. A Palestinian immigrant with Jordanian citizenship, Sirhan Sirhan, was arrested. Kennedy died 26 hours later at Good Samaritan Hospital.

At the moment of Kennedy's death, the delegate totals were:

Robert Kennedy's death threw the Democratic Party into disarray. The loss of his campaign, which had relied on his popularity and charisma convincing non-primary delegates to support him at the convention, meant that the antiwar movement was effectively over, and that Humphrey would be the prohibitive favorite for the nomination. Some of Kennedy's support went to McCarthy, but many of Kennedy's delegates, remembering their bitter primary battles with McCarthy, rallied around the late-starting candidacy of Senator George McGovern of South Dakota, a Kennedy supporter in the spring primaries.

Schedule and results

Results by winners:[25]

Statewide results by winner

Date
(daily totals)
Total
pledged delegates
Contest Delegates won and popular vote
Eugene McCarthy Robert F. Kennedy Hubert Humphrey Lyndon B. Johnson Other/Uncommitted
March 12 New Hampshire primary (42%) (1%) -- (50%) (7%)
April 2 Wisconsin (56%) (6%) -- (35%) (3%)
April 23 Pennsylvania (71%) (11%) (9%) (4%) (5%)
April 30 Massachusetts (49%) (28%) (18%) (3%) (2%)
May 7 Washington, D.C.[26] -- (62%) -- -- 38%
Indiana (7%) (42%) -- -- (51%)
Ohio -- -- -- -- (100%)[lower-alpha 1]
May 14 Nebraska (31%) (52%) (7%) (6%) (4%)
West Virginia -- -- -- -- 100%
May 28 Florida 29% -- -- -- (71%)[lower-alpha 2]
Oregon (44%) (38%) (3%) (12%) (3%)
June 4
( )
California (42%) (46%) -- -- (12%)
New Jersey (36%) (31%) (20%) -- (13%)
South Dakota (20%) (50%) - (30%) -
June 11 Illinois (39%) -- (17%) (1%) (43%)
  1. All of the vote went to Stephen M. Young, who was unopposed.
  2. 236,242 votes (46%) went to George Smathers.

Total popular vote:[27]

Johnson/Humphrey surrogates:

Minor candidates and write-ins:

800px

Primary Map By County (Massachusetts not Included) Hubert Humphrey - Red Lyndon B. Johnson - Yellow (outside of Florida) Robert F. Kennedy - Purple Eugene McCarthy - Green George Wallace - Lime Green Roger D. Branigin - Orange George Smathers - Yellow (Florida Only) Stephen Young - Brown

Democratic Convention and antiwar protests

When the 1968 Democratic National Convention opened in Chicago, thousands of young antiwar activists from around the nation gathered in the city to protest the Vietnam War. In a clash covered on live television, Americans were shocked to see Chicago Police officers brutally beating antiwar protesters. While the protesters chanted "the whole world is watching," the police used clubs and tear gas to beat back the protesters, leaving many of them bloody and dazed. The tear gas even wafted into numerous hotel suites. In one of them, Humphrey was watching the proceedings on television. Meanwhile, the convention itself was marred by the strong-armed tactics of Chicago Mayor Richard J. Daley, who was seen on television angrily cursing Connecticut Senator Abraham Ribicoff, who had made a speech at the convention denouncing the excesses of the Chicago police in the riots.

In the end, the nomination itself was anticlimactic, with Humphrey handily beating McCarthy and McGovern on the first ballot. The convention then chose Senator Edmund Muskie of Maine as Humphrey's running mate. However, the tragedy of the antiwar riots crippled the Humphrey campaign from the start, and it never fully recovered. (White, pp. 377-378;[28])

The Final Ballot
Presidential tally Vice Presidential tally:
Hubert Humphrey 1759.25 Edmund S. Muskie 1942.5
Eugene McCarthy 601 Not Voting 604.25
George S. McGovern 146.5 Julian Bond[29] 48.5
Channing Phillips 67.5 David Hoeh 4
Daniel K. Moore 17.5 Edward M. Kennedy 3.5
Edward M. Kennedy 12.75 Eugene McCarthy 3.0
Paul E. "Bear" Bryant 1.5 Others 16.25
James H. Gray 0.5
George Wallace 0.5

Source: Keating Holland, "All the Votes... Really," CNN[30]

Endorsements

Hubert Humphrey

Robert F. Kennedy

Eugene McCarthy

George McGovern (during convention)

See also

References

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  6. Gould, Lewis L. 1968: The Election That Changed America (Chicago 1993), pp. 20–21.
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  8. Thomas 2000, p. 351.
  9. Thomas 2000, p. 357.
  10. 10.0 10.1 Thomas, p. 357.
  11. 11.0 11.1 11.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. Excerpt from The Last Campaign: Robert F. Kennedy and the 82 Days that Inspired America (New York, Henry Holt, 2008) by Thurston Clark.
  12. Schlesinger 1978, p. 884.
  13. 13.00 13.01 13.02 13.03 13.04 13.05 13.06 13.07 13.08 13.09 13.10 13.11 13.12 13.13 13.14 13.15 13.16 13.17 13.18 13.19 13.20 13.21 13.22 13.23 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  14. Kennedy, Robert F., "Robert F. Kennedy's Announcement of his candidacy for president" Archived 2012-02-05 at the Wayback Machine (speech, Washington, DC, 1968-03-16). Retrieved 31 Dec 2022.
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  17. Dallek 1998, p. [page needed].
  18. Woods 2006, p. [page needed].
  19. Gould 1993, p. [page needed].
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  23. Cook, p. 12–13.
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  29. Not eligible to serve as Vice President because he was only 28 years old
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  34. The Rise of a Prairie Statesman: The Life and Times of George McGovern, p. 405

Further reading

  • Alterman, Eric. The Cause: The Fight for American Liberalism from Franklin Roosevelt to Barack Obama (Penguin, 2013).
  • Boomhower, Ray E. "Fighting the Good Fight: John Bartlow Martin and Hubert Humphrey's 1968 Presidential Campaign." Indiana Magazine of History (2020) 116#1 pp 1-29.
  • Chester, Lewis, Hodgson, Godfrey, Page, Bruce. An American Melodrama: The Presidential Campaign of 1968. (The Viking Press, 1969).
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  • Johns, Andrew L. The Price of Loyalty: Hubert Humphrey's Vietnam Conflict (Rowman & Littlefield, 2020).
  • Nelson, Justin A. "Drafting Lyndon Johnson: The President's Secret Role in the 1968 Democratic Convention." Presidential Studies Quarterly 30.4 (2000): 688-713.
  • Nelson, Michael. "The Historical Presidency: Lost Confidence: The Democratic Party, the Vietnam War, and the 1968 Election." Presidential Studies Quarterly 48.3 (2018): 570-585.
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  • Small, Melvin. "The Doves Ascendant: The American Antiwar Movement in 1968." South Central Review 16 (1999): 43-52 online.
  • Solberg, Carl. Hubert Humphrey: A Biography. (Norton, 1984).
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  • White, Theodore H. The Making of the President 1968. (1969)
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